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قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية في الاقتصاد العراقي للفترة 1980-2005 دراسة قياسية
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تعرض الاقتصاد العراقي إلى صدمات نقدية شديدة بسبب الظروف السياسية والاقتصادية غير المستقرة والمتمثلة بشكل أساسي لخوض العراق حرب طويلة الأمد مع إيران في الثمانينات وحربين مدمرتين مع الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية فضلاً عن فرض الحصار الاقتصادي طيلة ثلاثة عشر عاما ً .

وتهدف هذه الدراسة إلى قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية التي تعرض لها الاقتصاد العراقي في فترة الثمانينات والتسعينات وبداية هذا القرن وبيان آثارها وسبل مواجهتها .

وأظهرت الدراسة أنَّ محاولة تثبيت سعر الصرف سواء من خلال إتباع سياسة سعر الصرف الثابت كما هو الحال في الثمانينات أو سياسة سعر الصرف المدار من قبل البنك المركزي (كما هو الحال بعد عام 2003) لا يساعد على امتصاص الصدمات النقدية، وبالمقابل إن َّ إتباع سعر الصرف المعوم أو المرن كما حصل بشكل أساسي في التسعينات ساعد الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية بالرغم من الإصدار النقدي غير المنضبط خلال تلك الفترة .

كما ساعد في انتشار ظاهرة الدولرة في الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية من خلال تحوط الأفراد واحتفاظهم بالعملة الأجنبية وجعلها كمخزن للقيمة بدلا من العملة المحلية،  إذ أظهرت الدراسة  توجه الطلب على النقود نحو إحلال النقود الأجنبية الدولار بدلا ً عن العملة المحلية الدينار .

وأكدت نتائج النموذج القياسي أنَّ هناك  علاقة عكسية بين الطلب الحقيقي على النقود وبين سعر الصرف وعلاقة طردية بين الطلب على النقود وبين الناتج المحلي الإجمالي  مما يدعم  النظرية الاقتصادية والمنطق الاقتصادي

وقدم الباحث مجموعة من التوصيات أهمها: إن َّ سياسة سعر الصرف   المدار من قبل البنك المركزي العراقي والمتبعة حاليا ً ينبغي أن يرافق تثبيت أسعار الصرف معدل نمو ثابت في عرض النقد؛ لكبح معدلات التضخم للمساهمة في استقرار الاقتصاد العراقي وعزله عن الصدمات النقدية. كذلك ضرورة العمل على استقلالية البنك المركزي؛ ليأخذ دورة في رسم السياسة النقدية بعيدا ً عن تدخلات الحكومة، فضلا ً عن العمل بشكل جدي على تنويع سلة العملات الصعبة، وتكوين احتياطات من اليورو والين والجنيه الإسترليني، لمقابلة أي تغيرات نقدية عالمية في المستقبل المنظور وعدم البقاء رهينة للدولار الأمريكي .

                                           

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 20 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Multivariate GARCH Models CCC (Constant Conditional Correlation) and DCC(Dynamic Conditional Correlation) To Forecast Iraqi Dinar Exchange Rate in Dollar
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Abstract

Multivariate GARCH Models take several forms , the most important DCC dynamic conditional correlation, and CCC constant conditional correlation , The Purpose of this research is the Comparison for both Models.Using three  financial time series which is a series of daily Iraqi dinar exchange rate indollar, Global daily Oil price in dollar and Global daily gold price in dollarfor the period from 01/01/2014 till 01/01/2016, Where it has been transferred to the three time series returns to get the Stationarity, some tests were conducted including Ljung-Box , JarqueBera  , Multivariate ARCH to Returns Series and Residuals Series for both models In Comparison

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Employees Empowerment Strategy And Its Effect In Organizational Innovation Achievement: Applied Study In Diyala Public Company For Electrical Industrial
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This research tests the relationship linkage and effect between the Employees Empowerment Strategy and Organizational Innovation, The research problem is how to understand the Employees Empowerment Strategy role in the achievement Organizational Innovation in Diyala Public Company For Electrical Industrial. A questionnaire was used in data collection depending on the distribution of (32) forms to the research sample. Data were analyzed Using (SPSS)program. Using a number of statistical tools for tests the research hypothesis. The research found set of conclusions, one of the most important thinks was, that there is a linkage and impact relation between Employees Empowerment Strategy, its variables, and Organizational Innovation a

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 25 2022
Journal Name
Al-mağallaẗ Al-šāmilaẗ Li-l-ḥuqūq
The intention to harm others is one of the forms of abuse of the right - a study in the light of American law
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In a world of limited space, the owners are always surrounded by others next to them, and, consequently, there is hardly any activity which the owner may exercise on his land which would not affect the other owners. If he builds a building, that building may block the sun's rays or the air from the buildings next to it and owned by other people. And if he runs a business, the lands adjacent to that business may be overburdened with the accompanying noise or traffic. If oil is prospected in a land, the neighboring lands may be deprived of oil or their owners may be exposed to toxic fumes. Hence the importance of researching the intention of harming others, as it is one of the most important forms of abuse in the use of the right (especially

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 01 2017
Journal Name
Auditing & Interior Magazine Of Educational &scientific Studies
Seeds morphological study of different species of Medicago L., Leguminosae (Fabaceae) family in Iraq.
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This research delts with study seven species of seeds and wild varieties wild belonging to the genus Medicago L., these species are: M. constricta Dur., M. coronata (L.) Bartal., M. intertexta (L.) Mill., M. intertexta.var. ciliaris (L.) Hyen., M. laciniata (L.) Mill., M. lupulina L., M. minima (L.) Bartal. and M. sativa L., the research involved characteristics of shapes, dimensions, colors and the nature of the surface ornamentation of seeds and also the hilum site. the seeds forms ranged between crescent, reniform and ovate, in addition there was a clear difference in seeds dimensions in height and width, while, the color has been vary between light brown to brown and dark brown. The nature of the surface ornamentation was smooth, retic

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Encoding errors in reading the first grade of primary (analytical study)
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    Aims current research to identify the mistakes coding contained in the reading first grade. Encoding knew that he had failed in Retrieval or identifying information, the researcher diagnosis of mistakes and presented to a group of teachers first grade and they have an appropriate adjustment and using the percentage shows that the agreement on the mistakes ratio and adjusted researcher recommended a set of proposals and recommendations can work out the future for the advancement of scientific level

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أسباب الرسوب في الكليتين المتناظرتين الادارة والاقتصاد في الجامعة المسنتصرية وجامعة بغداد ( دراسة مقارنة)
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مشكلة البحث واهميته:

نتيجة لما يشهده قطاع التربية من تغير كبير وتطور سريع, فقد اتجه تخطيط السياسة التعليمية في القطر نحو تحديد كفاءة النظام التعليمي بمختلف مراحله كونها اجزاء متداخلة في تركيب تنظيمي واحد(9: 3 ) . وذلك من اجل استمرار تطويره, وتوجيهه بما يتفق واحداث المرحلة ومتطلباتها, على اساس ان مخرجات كل مرحلة تعليمية من مراحله المتتابعة تمثل المدخلات الجديدة لمرحلة تعليمية لاحقة.

وقد حظي التعلي

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 02 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Suicide (theoretical study)
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Statistics indicate criminal in most countries of the world that the suicide rate continues to increase, as it prevalence manufacturing and complexity of life and the intensification of conflicts and escalating problems of rising suicide rates. And suicide is death intentional, that is, the intentional act that leads to ending the life of the individual and self-on purpose. The current research aims to identify the suicide in terms of its causes and its factors and come up with recommendations for the prevention of suicide. Because suicide is a life-threatening problem has tried several theories of interpretation and stand on its grounds. Considering the theories of psychoanalysis (Freud) that suicide is the result of the individ

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 29 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Obscene speech in the Qur'anic perspective An objective study based on the verses and interpretation of the Noble Qur’an in diagnosis and treatment
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t:

The most famous thing a person does is talk. He loves and hates, and continues with it confirming relationships, and with it, too, comes out of disbelief into faith. Marry a word and separate with a word. He reaches the top of the heavens with a kind word, with which he will gain the pleasure of God, and the Lord of a word that the servant speaks to which God writes with our pleasure or throws him on his face in the fire. Emotions are inflamed, the United Nations is intensified with a word, and relations between states and war continue with a word.

What comes out of a person’s mouth is a translator that expresses the repository of his conscience and reveals the place of his bed, for it is evidence of

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Polygamy in light of societal changes in Iraq (A Field Study in Baghdad)
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The polygamy as a social was known before Islam, has kept Islam on this system after it organized and put his controls and conditions, as justice between wives and the ability to alimony, it was not the purpose of satisfying the instinct of man and enjoyment, but his goal nominal than that, because it addresses problems humanity has goals noble, so the pluralism overlap of the fabric of families belonging to governance and benefits for women and men and society, which leads to increased ties of love between people of the same society and thus increases the cohesion and importance of the topic and its association with financial conditions have emerged as needed so you viewed in the second scientific Conference of the Department social Ser

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Role of Knowledge Management in Small Project Management Afield Study in Oxygen Ahli Plant in Iraq
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       Most of the literature on the management and application terkzat waved the last period on large organizations was the negligence  of  knowledge management in small organizations where research aims to find out knowleddge management, small projects  In oxygen Ahli plant in Iraq, and the fact the role of knowledge management in small projects from the standpoint of employees in order to achieve this used production method results.  The results showed that knowledge management has a role in the high level of productivity during the years 2010-2013. The results showed that knowledge management has a role in the high level of productivity during the years 2

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