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قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية في الاقتصاد العراقي للفترة 1980-2005 دراسة قياسية
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تعرض الاقتصاد العراقي إلى صدمات نقدية شديدة بسبب الظروف السياسية والاقتصادية غير المستقرة والمتمثلة بشكل أساسي لخوض العراق حرب طويلة الأمد مع إيران في الثمانينات وحربين مدمرتين مع الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية فضلاً عن فرض الحصار الاقتصادي طيلة ثلاثة عشر عاما ً .

وتهدف هذه الدراسة إلى قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية التي تعرض لها الاقتصاد العراقي في فترة الثمانينات والتسعينات وبداية هذا القرن وبيان آثارها وسبل مواجهتها .

وأظهرت الدراسة أنَّ محاولة تثبيت سعر الصرف سواء من خلال إتباع سياسة سعر الصرف الثابت كما هو الحال في الثمانينات أو سياسة سعر الصرف المدار من قبل البنك المركزي (كما هو الحال بعد عام 2003) لا يساعد على امتصاص الصدمات النقدية، وبالمقابل إن َّ إتباع سعر الصرف المعوم أو المرن كما حصل بشكل أساسي في التسعينات ساعد الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية بالرغم من الإصدار النقدي غير المنضبط خلال تلك الفترة .

كما ساعد في انتشار ظاهرة الدولرة في الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية من خلال تحوط الأفراد واحتفاظهم بالعملة الأجنبية وجعلها كمخزن للقيمة بدلا من العملة المحلية،  إذ أظهرت الدراسة  توجه الطلب على النقود نحو إحلال النقود الأجنبية الدولار بدلا ً عن العملة المحلية الدينار .

وأكدت نتائج النموذج القياسي أنَّ هناك  علاقة عكسية بين الطلب الحقيقي على النقود وبين سعر الصرف وعلاقة طردية بين الطلب على النقود وبين الناتج المحلي الإجمالي  مما يدعم  النظرية الاقتصادية والمنطق الاقتصادي

وقدم الباحث مجموعة من التوصيات أهمها: إن َّ سياسة سعر الصرف   المدار من قبل البنك المركزي العراقي والمتبعة حاليا ً ينبغي أن يرافق تثبيت أسعار الصرف معدل نمو ثابت في عرض النقد؛ لكبح معدلات التضخم للمساهمة في استقرار الاقتصاد العراقي وعزله عن الصدمات النقدية. كذلك ضرورة العمل على استقلالية البنك المركزي؛ ليأخذ دورة في رسم السياسة النقدية بعيدا ً عن تدخلات الحكومة، فضلا ً عن العمل بشكل جدي على تنويع سلة العملات الصعبة، وتكوين احتياطات من اليورو والين والجنيه الإسترليني، لمقابلة أي تغيرات نقدية عالمية في المستقبل المنظور وعدم البقاء رهينة للدولار الأمريكي .

                                           

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Straight Iats in Holly Qura
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Thank for Allah lord of worlds and peace be upon his messenger last one of them Muhammad
and his followers.
The honored thing which the searcher can present to serve the holly quran and all its sciences
in their searching and composing .
The straight is the order of Allah is great goal and elite target in this life and every Muslim
should follow and aim to get it and from the mercy of Allah to us he ordered us to follow it
and he showed to us how to and to obey him and showed the way to it as was mentioned in
the Quarn ( this is my straight way so you follow it and do not follow other ways ) and the importance of straight he ordered the prophet peace be upon him to catch the right and
straight and warned us f

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 20 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
National security and human security concepts in the study
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Security reflects a permanent and complex movement that complies with international and societal needs and developments in all its dimensions, interactions and levels. To constitute a universal demand for all States, communities and individuals. The question of security is one of the most important motivations and motivations that govern the behavior, and even the objectives of those societies and States. These groups or individuals have always sought to avoid fear and harm, and to provide stability, safety and security. In the light of this, security studies have been among the important fields of study in the field of international and strategic relations. The field witnessed many theoretical efforts, from the traditional perspective,

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Publication Date
Fri Aug 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
A Cognitive Linguistic Study of the English Preposition 'in'
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The present study aims at analyzing the polysemy of the English preposition in from the cognitive linguistic (CL) point of view using Evans' and Tyler's approach (2003). The perplexity faced by Iraqi second language learners (L2) due to the multi-usages of this preposition has motivated the researcher to conduct this study. Seventy-six second year university students participated in this experimental study. The data of the pre-test and post-test were analyzed by SPSS statistical editor. The results have shown the following: First, a progress of more than (0.05≤) has been detected as far as students' understanding of the multiple usages of the preposition in is concerned. Second, the results of the questionnaire have s

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
A trade union movement in Britain
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Labor movement is considered important in Britain because it is an international phenomenon of the feudal system and one of the flowerings of the era of the capitalist machine. At the beginning of the 18th century, the world witnessed a change and progress in many aspects of the industrial fields such as the different means of production .this era is called the industrial revolution which especially appeared in Britain and extended to other areas of the world .it leads to many changes in Europe and participated in different economic, political and cultural and social fields. and it has a very important role in progress and development but its disadvantage is that it is exploited by the capitalists to achieve their special rights .in othe

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
المنظمات الدولية دراسة في منهجها وطبيعة فهمها
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المنظمات الدولية دراسة في منهجها وطبيعة فهمها

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Rental in fees faik hassan
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The super good artist, and its leading role experience detailed instrumental in the birth of the modern Iraqi drawing because of the represented technical personal super good in leading production Iraqi drawing since the early forties. If taken Excellence professional to experience the artist compared to the experiences of other pioneers and strengthened, the stylistic diversity through metaphors Different presented by the super good so that covered the period from romantic to Impressionism through schools drawing expressionism and cubism space, and therefore the heritage and the richness of diversity stylistic high to experience the good represents documentation required by contemporary Iraqi formation history, so the researcher found t

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 13 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Convincing methods in designing infographic content analytical study
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The research aims to reveal the recent trends used in providing information and to know the persuasive methods used in designing the content of the infographic as well as the nature of persuasive design methods and the topics presented by the infographic in the research sample.   The researcher used the survey method, specifically the survey, by using the content analysis method to analyze the infographic material from the sample selected from the press and news sites that are the subject of the research, based on the method of what was said? How was it said? The researcher relied on the intentional sample, and this sample depends on the researcher selecting the vocabulary of the sample based on experiences and evaluating the c

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اسواق بغداد في العصر العباسي (دراسة اجتماعية)
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Markets had organized in Islamic cities since the time of the Prophet Muhammad(pbuh),

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
ماهية الازمة الدولية : دراسة في الاطار النظري
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ماهية الازمة الدولية : دراسة في الاطار النظري

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 31 2012
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Optics Narrators in the Six Books : (Analytical Study)
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Praise be to God, and may blessings and peace be upon the Messenger of God, his family and companions, and from his family and after ...
It is the right of every nation to be proud of its heritage, science and civilization among the nations, taking pride in the efforts of its construction and the keenness of its scholars and dedication to serve their nation and their history, and from the great sciences that boast and honor our great nation and distinguish it over others the science of attribution and the preservation of the novel over generations and ages. The novel is preserved from the plagiarism of the nullified, the excess of the deceitful and the liars, and the science of isnad from religion as the scholars said, and without the

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