Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1439
Using Time Series Methods To Modify The Seasonal Variations in the Consumer Price Index
...Show More Authors

     As is  known that the consumer price index (CPI) is one of the most important  price indices because of its direct effect on the welfare of the individual and his living.

       We have been address the problem of Strongly  seasonal  commodities in calculating  (CPI) and identifying some of the solution.

   We have  used an actual data  for a set of commodities (including strongly seasonal commodities) to calculate the index price by using (Annual Basket With Carry Forward Prices method) . Although this method can be successfully used in the context of seasonal  commodities  the  index  does not  get  rid  of  the  tremendous  season  fluctuations  .       

     In order to use (CPI) in  measuring  the general inflation and monthly or quarterly comparison ,we must  first  decompose the seasonal component and eliminate  its effect on the (CPI) series to get  a seasonal adjusted series of (CPI) .

     Many statistical methods are used to analysis (CPI) series, and one of these methods is the method of time series that takes into account the seasonal variations in the study of phenomena.

test to  Ljung-Box  We have used Box-Jenkens method in models building and then test the modesl ,also we have found the seasonal adjusted series by using time series  method

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Nov 03 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Incidence of Seasonal Diarrhea among Children at Child's Central Hospital
...Show More Authors

Objective: Diarrhea is a symptom of a variety of conditions may attack the child. It considered one of
mam causes of mortality rates especially in low socio- economic level countries. The child can be
easily got dehydration and pass from loss of too much body fluid and due to the Common thoueht of
increasing the incidence of diarrhea during summer season, this study is done to find out the relation
between the high incidences rate of diarrhea and weather variation
Methodology: This survey conducted in AL- Markazi Child's Teaching Hospital for the year 2005 the
data were gathered from hospital records for the period (January - December) and age groups
taxonomy used by hospital applied. Descriptive statistical analysis

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison for estimation methods for the autoregressive approximations
...Show More Authors

Abstract

      In this study, we compare between the autoregressive approximations (Yule-Walker equations, Least Squares , Least Squares ( forward- backword ) and Burg’s (Geometric and Harmonic ) methods, to determine the optimal approximation to the time series generated from the first - order moving Average non-invertible process, and fractionally - integrated noise process, with several values for d (d=0.15,0.25,0.35,0.45) for different sample sizes (small,median,large)for two processes . We depend on figure of merit function which proposed by author Shibata in 1980, to determine the theoretical optimal order according to min

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Dec 03 2024
Journal Name
Adab Al-basrah
The Time Machine: Scientific Advances and Social Milieus in H. G. Well's Vision of the Future
...Show More Authors

This study is qualitative, it illustrates H.G. Wells\\'s The Time Machine through the scientific and social framework of the Victorian Era. Wells\\'s portrayal of future societies examines the rapid technological progress and social changes of the 19th century. The analysis scrutinizes the division between the Eloi and the Morlocks, tracing the consequences of social division. To meet the objective of the study, Victorian frame of mind is utilized to examine the class struggle that is symbolized by the Eloi and the Morlocks. The analysis highlights the economic and social effects of industrialization and how Wells examines the capitalist system and its impact on human relationships and class division. The study also utilizes concepts from D

... Show More
Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Finite Difference Methods,theory And Applications
Determination of the Time-Dependent Thermal Conductivity in the Heat Equation with Spacewise Dependent Heat Capacity
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (3)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Dec 31 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
USE OF CLAY MINERAL IN WESTERN ALANBAR DESERT AND USING FOR CRUDE OIL FRACTIONATION (ALQAYAIRA CRUDE): USE OF CLAY MINERAL IN WESTERN ALANBAR DESERT AND USING FOR CRUDE OIL FRACTIONATION (ALQAYAIRA CRUDE)
...Show More Authors

In this research, a number of the western al-Anbar clays (red iron clays, Attapulgite) were modified by treating them thermally with a temperature of 650oC. After that, these clays reflux with sodium hydroxide 5% for 1 hour by using microwave as a power supply. The research included fractionation alqayaira crude oil the fractionation included removing the asphaltene by precipitation from the crude using a simple paraffin solvent (normal hexane) as a non-soluble substance. After that it was filtered using the ash-free filter paper 42, the dissolved part, maltinate, was taken, drying a temperature of 75oC and weight, and to find the percentage of the two parts. Malatine was divided into three main parts (paraf

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Mar 13 2016
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
Isolation and Identification of food Probiotic Saccharomyces boulardii by using traditional methods, Vitek 2 system and molecular identification methods.: Isolation and Identification of food Probiotic Saccharomyces boulardii by using traditional methods, Vitek 2 system and molecular identification methods.
...Show More Authors

This study was aimed to isolate and identify Saccharomyces boulardii from Mangosteen fruits (Garcinia mangostana L.) by traditional and molecular identification methods To get safe and healthy foods probiotics for use, The isolates and two commercial strains were subjected to cultural, morphological and biochemical tests, The colonies of the isolates were spherical, smooth, mucoidal, dull and white to cream colour on SD agar media .The shape of cells was globose to ovoid and sometimes with budding, in a single form or clustered like a beehive. The isolates and two commercial strains were unable to metabolized galactose and lactose , Results shows that all isolates were unable to utilize potassium nitrate and not grow in the presence of (

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Genetic Algorithm to Estimate the Parameters of the Gumbel Distribution Function by Simulation
...Show More Authors

In this research, the focus was on estimating the parameters on (min- Gumbel distribution), using the maximum likelihood method and the Bayes method. The genetic algorithmmethod was employed in estimating the parameters of the maximum likelihood method as well as  the Bayes method. The comparison was made using the mean error squares (MSE), where the best  estimator  is the one who has the least mean squared error. It was noted that the best estimator was (BLG_GE).

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Oct 22 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Statisticians Journal
Inferential Methods for the Dagum Regression Model
...Show More Authors

The Dagum Regression Model, introduced to address limitations in traditional econometric models, provides enhanced flexibility for analyzing data characterized by heavy tails and asymmetry, which is common in income and wealth distributions. This paper develops and applies the Dagum model, demonstrating its advantages over other distributions such as the Log-Normal and Gamma distributions. The model's parameters are estimated using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and the Method of Moments (MoM). A simulation study evaluates both methods' performance across various sample sizes, showing that MoM tends to offer more robust and precise estimates, particularly in small samples. These findings provide valuable insights into the ana

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Feb 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Unit Price and Cost Estimation Equations through Items Percentage of Construction Works in a Desert Area
...Show More Authors

This research will cover different aspects of estimating process of construction work in a desert area. The inherent difficulties which accompany the cost estimating of the construction works in desert environment in a developing country, will stem from the limited information available, resources scarcity, low level of skilled workers, the prevailing severe weather conditions and many others, which definitely don't provide a fair, reliable and accurate estimation. This study tries to present unit price to estimate the cost in preliminary phase of a project.  Estimations are supported by developing mathematical equations based on the historical data of maintenance, new construction of managerial and school projects.

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use Principal Component Analysis Technique to Dimensionality Reduction to Multi Source
...Show More Authors

This paper tackles with principal component analysis method (PCA ) to dimensionality reduction in the case of linear combinations to digital image processing and analysis. The PCA is statistical technique that shrinkages a multivariate data set consisting of inter-correlated variables into a data set consisting of variables that are uncorrelated linear combination, while ensuring the least possible loss of useful information. This method was applied to a group of satellite images of a certain area in the province of Basra, which represents the mouth of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers in the Shatt al-Arab in the province of Basra.

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref