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تقدير مصفوفة الحسابات القومية وتحديثها بإستخدام طريقة (C.E) دراسة مقارنة بين الطرق المستخدمة
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ليس جديداً القول بان هناك حاجة مستمرة ومتزايدة لاستخدام البيانات الاقتصادية المتسقة عن القطاعات المختلفة في الاقتصاد القومي لدعم وإسناد عملية التحليل الاقتصادي وتطوير النماذج الاقتصادية الكلية.

وتعرض مصفوفة الحسابات القومية Social Accounting Matrix  (SAM) اطاراً شاملاً من المعلومات الأساسية لهذا النوع من النماذج والتحليل. فهي تتضمن كلا من المستخدم- المنتج
(جداول المدخلات- المخرجات) وحسابات الناتج والدخل القومي في اطار متناسق.

وبينما يتم اعداد جداول المستخدم – المنتج عادة مرة واحدة كل خمس سنوات او شيء من هذا القبيل، فان حسابات الناتج والدخل القومي تعد سنوياً وبتباطؤ زمني، أي لفترة زمنية سابقة. اما تحديث مصفوفة حسابات قومية لفترة لاحقة، فأنها لا تعد مسالة صعبة فحسب، وإنما تعد  مسالة تحدي.

ولتركيب مصفوفة حسابات قومية موسعة قابلة للتحليل الاقتصادي, فان البيانات المطلوبة هي من السعة بحيث يصعب توفيرها، وعند ذلك ينبغي ان تستكمل بواسطة معلومات اضافية ومن مصادر مختلفة، مثل الاحصاءات الصناعية، مسوحات العمل، البيانات الزراعية، الحسابات الحكومية، حسابات التجارة الخارجية، ومسوحات الاسر وغيرها. اما المشكلة الرئيسية في تحديث مصفوفة الحسابات القومية فانها تكمن في أيجاد طريقة كفوءة وقليلة الكلفة لدمج المعلومات المستحصلة من تلك المصادر والتوفيق بينها، بضمنها البيانات المستقاة من سنين سابقة.

ان الطريقة التقليدية لبناء مصفوفة حسابات قومية حديثة متماسكة ومتسقة، هي البدء من مصفوفة حسابات لسنة اساس معينة سابقة، ثم تحديثها لفترة لاحقة من خلال ادخال معلومات جديدة عن مجاميع الصفوف والاعمدة، لتلك المصفوفة مع بقاء المعلومات حول التدفقات الداخلية التي تتضمنها الـ ( SAM) ثابتة، وغالبا ما يتم البدء من مصفوفة حسابات غير متسقة ومعلومات غير متكاملة عن مجاميع الصفوف والاعمدة والتدفقات المختلفة في الـ (SAM).

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring and analyzing the relationship between the fiscal policy indicators and the bank stability index in Iraq for the period 2010-2016 using the ARDL model.
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The importance of this research is to clarify the nature and the relationship between the indicators of financial policy and banking stability in Iraq, as well as to find a composite index reflects the state of banking stability in Iraq in order to provide an appropriate means to help policymakers in making appropriate decisions before the occurrence of financial crises.

     Hence, the problem of research is that the fiscal policy has implications for the macro economy and does not rule out its impact on banking stability. Moreover, the central bank does not possess a single indicator that reflects the stability of the banking system, rather than the scattered indicators that depend o

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Thu Nov 01 2018
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Since the beginning of 21st century, the prices of Agricultural crops have increased. This Increases is accompanied with that increases of crude oil prices and fluctuation of a dollar exchange rate as a dominant currency used in the global trade. The paper aimed to analysis the short run and long run cointegration relationships between prices of some of Agricultural crops imported by Iraq such as wheat and rice crops and both the crude oil prices and the Iraq dinar exchange rate a gained America dollar using ARDL model. The results show the long run equilibrium between they three variable throng the error correction mechanizem. The results also show the significant and economically sound effects of cru

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Wed Feb 01 2023
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The Link between Serum Omentin Level and Insulin Resistance Biomarkers, Lipid Profile, and Atherogenic Indices in Iraqi Obese Patients.
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