Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1405
العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف (حالة الولايات المتحدة)
...Show More Authors

خضعت العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري, سواء اكان بحالة عجز ام فائض, وسعر الصرف, اكان بحالة انخفاض او ارتفاع, لجدل واسع بين اوساط الاقتصاديين بشأن هذه العلاقة واتجاهاتها.

الا ان الاعتماد المتزايد لبعض الدول على المستثمرين الاجانب لتمويل العجز في حساباتها الجارية قد يصطدم بعدم رغبة هولاء المستثمرون في الاستمرار باقتناء موجودات معينة مقوِِِِِِِِمة بعملات تلك الدول. وتنشأ الطامة الكبرى لاقتصاديات وعملات هذه الدول عندما يقرر المستثمرون التخلي عن هذه الموجودات كلية (بيعها) .

وكان المضاربون على هبوط العملات bears يؤكدون على ان زيادة عجز الحساب الجاري لدولة ما  يفضي بالضرورة الى انخفاض حاد في قيمة تلك العملة. الا ان هؤلاء المضاربين قد ثبت خطا تقديراتهم في عدة مواضع .

فعلى الرغم من تفاقم عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي في عقد التسعينات الى مستويات قياسية, فقد ارتفعت قيمة الدولار, ولم تنخفض خلال تلك  المدة, كما هو من المفروض ان يحصل.

ان الغرض من هذا البحث هو تحديد علاقة عجز الحساب الجاري بسعر الصرف على المدى المتوسط والطويل. ويبدأ البحث بمناقشة العوامل الاساسية التي اسهمت بتوسيع عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي مع الاشارة الى تدهوره في الاونة الاخيره الى مستويات قياسية.

ثم يعرج البحث لمناقشة في ما اذا كانت هذه الزيادة في العجز تمثل ظاهرة اختلالية يتحتم تصحيحها  او ان هناك عوامل معينة تجعل الولايات المتحدة تتحمل عجوزات كبيرة بالحساب الجاري بشكل اكبر من المستوى الطبيعي (بشكل مستدام ولسنوات قادمة) .

إن التطورات التكنولوجية في مضمار تكنولوجيا المعلومات قد افضت الى رفع المعدل الذي نما به الاقتصاد الأمريكي بدون استفحال التضخم في عقد التسعينات. كما إن الإنفاق الاستثماري الأمريكي ارتفع في ذات المدة, بسبب الابتكارات المثيرة في تكنولوجيا المعلومات, مما أفضى إلى إحداث فجوة متوسعة باستمرار بين المدخرات والاستثمار الأمريكي لصالح الأخير.

وطالما ان عجز الحساب الجاري يساوي الفجوة بين المدخرات والاستثمار, فأن الفجوة المتزايدة بين الاستثمار والمدخرات المحلية تتضمن وجود عجز متزايد باستمرار في الحساب الجاري.

ثم يحاول البحث التعريج على اهم الطرق المختلفة لمعالجة عجز الحساب الجاري من الناحية النظرية والتطبيقية .

ويختتم البحث بملاحظات استنتاجيه عن علاقة موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف وأثره عليه عبر عدة قنوات . ويلخص بما توصل إليه البحث بشأن دراسة الحالة (الولايات المتحدة) .

 

 

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Dec 04 2024
Journal Name
المكتب العربي للمعارف
إدراة الصراع بين القوى الإقليمية في آسيا بعد 2011 (الصين والهند وروسيا واليابان )انموذجاً
...Show More Authors

تعيش قارة آسيا حالة فريدة تكاد تقترب من حالة أوروبا قبل الحرب العالمية الثانية، فالقارة حاليا تحتوي على العديد من القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة أبرزها الصين وروسيا والهند واليابان، أما القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة في نطاق نظمها الإقليمية الفرعية نجد من أهمها الكوريتين (الشمالية والجنوبية)، وباكستان، وإيران وغيرها، ووجه الاختلاف عن أوروبا هو أن آسيا منطقة شاسعة جغرافياً، وكل نظام إقليمي فرعي فيها هو نظام قاري بحد ذات

... Show More
Publication Date
Thu Oct 31 2013
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Aeroelastic Behavior of a Wind Turbine Blade by a Fluid -Structure Interaction Analysis
...Show More Authors

In this paper, a numerical model for fluid-structure interaction (FSI) analysis is developed for investigating the aeroelastic response of a single wind turbine blade. The Blade Element Momentum (BEM) theory was adopted to calculate the aerodynamic forces considering the effects of wind shear and tower shadow. The wind turbine blade was modeled as a rotating cantilever beam discretized using Finite Element Method (FEM) to analyze the deformation and vibration of the blade. The aeroelastic response of the blade was obtained by coupling these aerodynamic and structural models using a coupled BEM-FEM program written in MATLAB. The governing FSI equations of motion are iteratively calculated at each time step, through exchanging data between

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Al- Nahrain University-science
Correlation between Levels of Serum Prolactin and Total Sialic Acids Concentrations in Fertile and Infertile Women
...Show More Authors

The aim of this study was investigating the correlation between elevation of Prolactin levels and the increase of the concentrations of total sialic acids. The study was performed on 149 women consisted of 93 infertile hyperprolactinimic women (patients), age ranged16-38 years old, and 56 normoprolactinemic women as a control group, 18-37 years old. Serum prolactin (PRL) and gonadotroph hormones (Follicle stimulating hormone FSH and Luteinizing hormone LH) were measured using enzymatic immunoassay (EIA) method, resorcinol method for serum total sialic acids (SIA). Patients were divided into four groups, each group represented the level of prolactin of infertile women as follow: G1= (21-30), G2= (31-40), G3= (41-50), and G4= (51-60) ng/mL. S

... Show More
Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A Comparison between Ericson's Formulae Results and Experimental Data Using New Formulae of Single Particle Level Density
...Show More Authors

The partial level density PLD of pre-equilibrium reactions that are described by Ericson’s formula has been studied using different formulae of single particle level density . The parameter  was used from the equidistant spacing model (ESM) model and the non- equidistant spacing model (non-ESM) and another formula of  are derived from the relation between  and level density parameter . The formulae used to derive  are the Roher formula, Egidy formula, Yukawa formula, and Thomas –Fermi formula. The partial level density results that depend on  from the Thomas-Fermi formula show a good agreement with the experimental data.

View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison Between Maximum Likelihood and Bayesian Methods For Estimating The Gamma Regression With Practical Application
...Show More Authors

In this paper, we will illustrate a gamma regression model assuming that the dependent variable (Y) is a gamma distribution and that it's mean ( ) is related through a linear predictor with link function which is identity link function g(μ) = μ. It also contains the shape parameter which is not constant and depends on the linear predictor and with link function which is the log link and we will estimate the parameters of gamma regression by using two estimation methods which are The Maximum Likelihood and the Bayesian and a comparison between these methods by using the standard comparison of average squares of error (MSE), where the two methods were applied to real da

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
(The trade-off between privatization Options General contracting firms Using the strategic analysis of the external environment
...Show More Authors

Discussed the research variables are important, privatization options and strategic analysis of the external environment, and that the purpose of the research is the trade-off between privatization options and choose the most appropriate alternative in proportion to the external environment, the research aims to determine the privatization the most appropriate option for companies and public contracting, showing the importance of the study provide the privatization of public companies as a strategy can all its way public sector organizations from the transfer of work practices or private sector organizations and mechanisms to it as contributing to improving the level of skills Develop the current and future level of performance,

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using median rule in determining the establishment of service station between Al hasaka and Al kamishly serian cities
...Show More Authors

Research indicates that the second half of the twentieth century marked large interests in the service industry by government and private organizations in that one, and the service industry has become the bedrock of plans in achieving economic and social development. From this standpoint felt specialists and researchers the importance of transport modes, including rail, which should be available between Almnltq Civil populated as services organized by the competent authorities to achieve the active participation of citizens in economic and social development in the region and that the term services means economic activities, which are the results Pollack concrete such as accepting the situation and satisfaction them or satisfacti

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jun 14 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
Expressive Topics in Plastic Art Achievement A comparative study between Gustav Klimt and Star Kauusch
...Show More Authors

 Schools and artistic trends derive their themes from artistic styles and styles as methods followed by the artist to express his themes embodied in the values of artistic and plastic elements as symbols and signs that can be described according to the type of art school and the extent to which the artist is influenced in employing them as a goal to achieve the plastic achievement in the painting, and from those vocabulary (human beings nature Life) as encoded messages that have an appearance and an interior, the appearance of which are forms, colors, formats and distributions of space and their interior meanings and semantics embody attitudes, events and circumstances that stem from the social depth and daily life and derive their comp

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue May 02 2023
Journal Name
المؤتمر العلمي الدولي السادس للعلوم الانسانية والتربوية (مؤتمر ايجهار السادس) في جامعة اغادير الحكومية التركية واكاديمية
قواعد السلوك الاجتماعي في العهد الجديد بين التأويل والترجمة الحرفية في نصوص العهد القديم
...Show More Authors

الملاخص

Publication Date
Wed Dec 12 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Dietary Behaviors among Women with Osteoporosis at Merjan Teaching Hospital in Hilla City
...Show More Authors

Objectives: to assess Socio Demographic, Reproductive Characteristics, and healthy dietary behaviors. among women with osteoporosis . To determine the relationship between the socio demographic characteristics, reproductive data and dietary related behaviors. Methodology: A descriptive analytic design was conducted on Non- Probability ( purposive sample) of (90) women who have suffering from osteoporosis attend to (DEXADual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry) unit in Merjan Teaching Hospital in Hilla City. A questionnaire has been used as a tool of data collection and consists of three part ;including : Soci

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF