Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1405
العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف (حالة الولايات المتحدة)
...Show More Authors

خضعت العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري, سواء اكان بحالة عجز ام فائض, وسعر الصرف, اكان بحالة انخفاض او ارتفاع, لجدل واسع بين اوساط الاقتصاديين بشأن هذه العلاقة واتجاهاتها.

الا ان الاعتماد المتزايد لبعض الدول على المستثمرين الاجانب لتمويل العجز في حساباتها الجارية قد يصطدم بعدم رغبة هولاء المستثمرون في الاستمرار باقتناء موجودات معينة مقوِِِِِِِِمة بعملات تلك الدول. وتنشأ الطامة الكبرى لاقتصاديات وعملات هذه الدول عندما يقرر المستثمرون التخلي عن هذه الموجودات كلية (بيعها) .

وكان المضاربون على هبوط العملات bears يؤكدون على ان زيادة عجز الحساب الجاري لدولة ما  يفضي بالضرورة الى انخفاض حاد في قيمة تلك العملة. الا ان هؤلاء المضاربين قد ثبت خطا تقديراتهم في عدة مواضع .

فعلى الرغم من تفاقم عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي في عقد التسعينات الى مستويات قياسية, فقد ارتفعت قيمة الدولار, ولم تنخفض خلال تلك  المدة, كما هو من المفروض ان يحصل.

ان الغرض من هذا البحث هو تحديد علاقة عجز الحساب الجاري بسعر الصرف على المدى المتوسط والطويل. ويبدأ البحث بمناقشة العوامل الاساسية التي اسهمت بتوسيع عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي مع الاشارة الى تدهوره في الاونة الاخيره الى مستويات قياسية.

ثم يعرج البحث لمناقشة في ما اذا كانت هذه الزيادة في العجز تمثل ظاهرة اختلالية يتحتم تصحيحها  او ان هناك عوامل معينة تجعل الولايات المتحدة تتحمل عجوزات كبيرة بالحساب الجاري بشكل اكبر من المستوى الطبيعي (بشكل مستدام ولسنوات قادمة) .

إن التطورات التكنولوجية في مضمار تكنولوجيا المعلومات قد افضت الى رفع المعدل الذي نما به الاقتصاد الأمريكي بدون استفحال التضخم في عقد التسعينات. كما إن الإنفاق الاستثماري الأمريكي ارتفع في ذات المدة, بسبب الابتكارات المثيرة في تكنولوجيا المعلومات, مما أفضى إلى إحداث فجوة متوسعة باستمرار بين المدخرات والاستثمار الأمريكي لصالح الأخير.

وطالما ان عجز الحساب الجاري يساوي الفجوة بين المدخرات والاستثمار, فأن الفجوة المتزايدة بين الاستثمار والمدخرات المحلية تتضمن وجود عجز متزايد باستمرار في الحساب الجاري.

ثم يحاول البحث التعريج على اهم الطرق المختلفة لمعالجة عجز الحساب الجاري من الناحية النظرية والتطبيقية .

ويختتم البحث بملاحظات استنتاجيه عن علاقة موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف وأثره عليه عبر عدة قنوات . ويلخص بما توصل إليه البحث بشأن دراسة الحالة (الولايات المتحدة) .

 

 

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Nov 09 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
The Prevalence of Iron Deficiency Anemia among Pregnant Women in Ibn- Albaldy Hospital
...Show More Authors

Objectives: To study the prevalence of iron deficiency anemia in pregnant women and to find out the degree of
iron deficiency anemia and to find out any association this has been found between the socio- demographic
characteristics and the degree of iron deficiency anemia.
Methodology: A cross sectional study has been conducted in Ibn-Albaldy hospital in Baghdad among 258
pregnant women attending outpatient clinics during the period from the 1st of March 2011 to fifteenth of
October 2011. Data collection was by using a previously designed questionnaire including socio-demographic
characteristics, obstetrical history. A blood sample has been obtained to estimate the hemoglobin, mean
corpuscular volume, serum iron and

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Dec 12 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Dietary Behaviors among Women with Osteoporosis at Merjan Teaching Hospital in Hilla City
...Show More Authors

Objectives: to assess Socio Demographic, Reproductive Characteristics, and healthy dietary behaviors. among women with osteoporosis . To determine the relationship between the socio demographic characteristics, reproductive data and dietary related behaviors. Methodology: A descriptive analytic design was conducted on Non- Probability ( purposive sample) of (90) women who have suffering from osteoporosis attend to (DEXADual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry) unit in Merjan Teaching Hospital in Hilla City. A questionnaire has been used as a tool of data collection and consists of three part ;including : Soci

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Oct 31 2013
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Aeroelastic Behavior of a Wind Turbine Blade by a Fluid -Structure Interaction Analysis
...Show More Authors

In this paper, a numerical model for fluid-structure interaction (FSI) analysis is developed for investigating the aeroelastic response of a single wind turbine blade. The Blade Element Momentum (BEM) theory was adopted to calculate the aerodynamic forces considering the effects of wind shear and tower shadow. The wind turbine blade was modeled as a rotating cantilever beam discretized using Finite Element Method (FEM) to analyze the deformation and vibration of the blade. The aeroelastic response of the blade was obtained by coupling these aerodynamic and structural models using a coupled BEM-FEM program written in MATLAB. The governing FSI equations of motion are iteratively calculated at each time step, through exchanging data between

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jun 08 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
PDF Sensing and differentiation between normal flora and pathogenic of E.coli Bacteria using 410 nm diode laser
...Show More Authors

Abstract: Background: Optical biosensors offer excellent properties and methods for detecting bacteria when compared to traditional analytical techniques.  It allows direct detection of many biological and chemical materials.  Bacteria are found in the human body naturally non-pathogenic and pathologically, as they are found in other living organisms.  One of these bacteria is Escherichia coli (E. coli) which are found in the human body in its natural and pathogenic form. E.coli bacteria cause many diseases, including Stomach, intestines, urinary system infections, and others. The aim of this study: is sensing and differentiation between normal flora and pathogenic E.coli. Material and method:

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of classical method and optimization methods for estimating parameters in nonlinear ordinary differential equation
...Show More Authors

 ABSTRICT:

  This study is concerned with the estimation of constant  and time-varying parameters in non-linear ordinary differential equations, which do not have analytical solutions. The estimation is done in a multi-stage method where constant and time-varying parameters are estimated in a straight sequential way from several stages. In the first stage, the model of the differential equations is converted to a regression model that includes the state variables with their derivatives and then the estimation of the state variables and their derivatives in a penalized splines method and compensating the estimations in the regression model. In the second stage, the pseudo- least squares method was used to es

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of Some Methods for Estimating the Survival Function and Failure Rate for the Exponentiated Expanded Power Function Distribution
...Show More Authors

 

     We have presented the distribution of the exponentiated expanded power function (EEPF) with four parameters, where this distribution was created by the exponentiated expanded method created by the scientist Gupta to expand the exponential distribution by adding a new shape parameter to the cumulative function of the distribution, resulting in a new distribution, and this method is characterized by obtaining a distribution that belongs for the exponential family. We also obtained a function of survival rate and failure rate for this distribution, where some mathematical properties were derived, then we used the method of maximum likelihood (ML) and method least squares developed  (LSD)

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of the rebound effect and interactive between fiscal and monetary policy on the General economic equilibrium (IS-LM)
...Show More Authors

      Will address this research interaction and coordination between fiscal and monetary policies and the impact of this interaction and coordination on economic stability and growth، and how the financial implications of monetary policy may stimulate action monetary policy and treatment side effects and the nature of responsiveness and bounce between procedures both two policies and their impact on the balance of overall economic and explained in the folds of searchjustifications coordination and the extent necessary in order to address the imbalances in economic activity through twinning actions of monetary and fiscal، has embodied this coordination and interaction between policies and their impact m

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Dec 04 2024
Journal Name
المكتب العربي للمعارف
إدراة الصراع بين القوى الإقليمية في آسيا بعد 2011 (الصين والهند وروسيا واليابان )انموذجاً
...Show More Authors

تعيش قارة آسيا حالة فريدة تكاد تقترب من حالة أوروبا قبل الحرب العالمية الثانية، فالقارة حاليا تحتوي على العديد من القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة أبرزها الصين وروسيا والهند واليابان، أما القوى الإقليمية الفاعلة في نطاق نظمها الإقليمية الفرعية نجد من أهمها الكوريتين (الشمالية والجنوبية)، وباكستان، وإيران وغيرها، ووجه الاختلاف عن أوروبا هو أن آسيا منطقة شاسعة جغرافياً، وكل نظام إقليمي فرعي فيها هو نظام قاري بحد ذات

... Show More
Publication Date
Fri Oct 28 2022
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The Difficulties of Teaching Political Science Research Methods: A Comparative Study between Western and Arab Universities
...Show More Authors

This research aims to identify the reality of teaching political science research methods curriculum, to observe practices, and differences in teaching and learning between the Arab and Western universities. Moreover, it focuses on the difficulties that face students' acquisition of the course skills. The research uses the course model of some Western and Arab universities as case study.

This research shows that the curriculum do not reach yet the final form as other political science curriculums, and its upcoming changes will reflect the needs of stakeholders. The best method to teach this curriculum is to use applied learning in groups, learning by doing, and finally problem-based learning approach. Using optimal assessment deep

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compared with Genetic Algorithm Fast – MCD – Nested Extension and Neural Network Multilayer Back propagation
...Show More Authors

The study using Nonparametric methods for roubust to estimate a location and scatter it is depending  minimum covariance determinant of multivariate regression model , due to the presence of outliear values and increase the sample size and presence of more than after the model regression multivariate therefore be difficult to find a median location .       

It has been the use of genetic algorithm Fast – MCD – Nested Extension and compared with neural Network Back Propagation of multilayer in terms of accuracy of the results and speed in finding median location ,while the best sample to be determined by relying on less distance (Mahalanobis distance)has the stu

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref