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تقدير دالة الأنحدار اللامعلمي باستخدام بعض الطرائق اللامعلمية الرتيبة
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المستخلـص

تم في هذا البحث دراسة الطرائق اللامعلمية الرتيبة لتقدير دالة الأنحدار اللامعلمي، ومعالجة القيم الشاذة الموجودة في دالة الأنحدار اللامعلمي لجعل الدالة رتيبة (متزايدة أو متناقصة).

لذا سنقوم أولاً بتقدير دالة الأنحدار اللامعلمي بإستخدام ممهد Kernel ومن ثم تطبيق الطرائق الرتيبة لجعل الدالة متزايدة إذ سنتناول ثلاث طرائق للتقدير:-

1- طريقة stern)-Mukerjee) إذ سيتم الأستفادة من الحدود الدنيا والحدود العليا للمجاميع الجزئية للبيانات لتعديل مقدر Kernel بإستخدام دالة تقلص (Shrunken).

2- إعتماداً على الطريقة الأولى سيتم أستخدام الحالة الخاصة لدالة التقلص (Shrunken) عندما بوصفها طريقة أخرى مستقلة عن الطريقة الأولى.

3- خوارزمية الأنحدار الرتيب ذو المربعات الصغرى (LSIR) لمعالجة القيم الشاذة.

 

وسيتم في هذا البحث مقارنة بين هذه الطرائق من خلال إيجاد متوسط مربعات الخطأ والكفاءة النسبية لكل مقدر ولكل أنموذج في الجانب التجريبي من خلال أسلوب محاكاة مونتي كارلو (Monte Carlo)، وتم ايضا مقارنة الطرائق من خلال التطبيق على بيانات لخمسة وعشرين مريضاً مصابين بضغط الدم (العالي والواطئ) وتم التوصل الى أن طريقة stern)-Mukerjee) هي الأفضل من بين الطرائق الأخرى.

 

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The use of standard rates in the test of the financial stability for the banking sector in Iraq For the period 2009-2013
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ABSTRACT

The research focuses on the key issue concerning the use of the best ways to test the financial stability in the banking sector, considering that financial stability cannot be achieved unless  the financial sector in general and the banking sector  in particular are able to perform its key role in addressing the economic and social development requirements, under the laws and regulations that control  banking sector , as the only way that increases its ability to deal with any risks or negative effects experienced by banks and other financial institutions. The research goal is  to evaluate the stability of the banking system in Iraq, through the use of a set of econometrics an

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
International Journal Of Drug Delivery Technology
. Preparation and Characterization of Atorvastatin Calcium Trihydrate-cyclodextrin Inclusion Complex
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Atorvastatin calcium (ATR) is an antihyperlipidemic agent used for lowering blood cholesterol levels. However, it is very slightly soluble in water with poor oral bioavailability, which interferes with its therapeutic action. It is classified as a class II drug according to Biopharmaceutical Classification System (low solubility and high permeability).

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The Gumbel- Pareto Distribution: Theory and Applications
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In this paper, for the first time we introduce a new four-parameter model called the Gumbel- Pareto distribution by using the T-X method. We obtain some of its mathematical properties. Some structural properties of the new distribution are studied. The method of maximum likelihood is used for estimating the model parameters. Numerical illustration and an application to a real data set are given to show the flexibility and potentiality of the new model.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compared with Genetic Algorithm Fast – MCD – Nested Extension and Neural Network Multilayer Back propagation
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The study using Nonparametric methods for roubust to estimate a location and scatter it is depending  minimum covariance determinant of multivariate regression model , due to the presence of outliear values and increase the sample size and presence of more than after the model regression multivariate therefore be difficult to find a median location .       

It has been the use of genetic algorithm Fast – MCD – Nested Extension and compared with neural Network Back Propagation of multilayer in terms of accuracy of the results and speed in finding median location ,while the best sample to be determined by relying on less distance (Mahalanobis distance)has the stu

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Study About The Robustness Of The Bayesian Criterion
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In this research work an attempt has been made to investigate about the Robustness of the Bayesian Information criterion to estimate the order of the autoregressive process when the error of this model,  Submits to a specific distributions and different cases of the time series on various size of samples by using the simulation,  This criterion has been studied by depending on ten distributions, they are (Normal, log-Normal, continues uniform, Gamma , Exponential, Gamble, Cauchy, Poisson, Binomial, Discrete uniform) distributions, and then it has been reached to many collection and recommendations related to this object , when the series residual variable is subject to each  ( Poisson , Binomial , Exponential , Dis

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 26 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Al-qadisiyah For Computer Science And Mathematics
Modified LASS Method Suggestion as an additional Penalty on Principal Components Estimation – with Application-
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This research deals with a shrinking method concernes with the principal components similar to that one which used in the multiple regression “Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection: LASS”. The goal here is to make an uncorrelated linear combinations from only a subset of explanatory variables that may have a multicollinearity problem instead taking the whole number say, (K) of them. This shrinkage will force some coefficients to equal zero, after making some restriction on them by some "tuning parameter" say, (t) which balances the bias and variance amount from side, and doesn't exceed the acceptable percent explained variance of these components. This had been shown by MSE criterion in the regression case and the percent explained v

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
التنبؤ بقيم السلاسل الزمنية بأستعمال أنموذج (ARMAX) مع تطبيق عملي
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Abstract :

          Researchers have great interest in studying the black box models this thesis has been focused in the study one of the black box models , a ARMAX model which is one of the important models and can be accessed through a number of special cases which models (AR , MA , ARMA, ARX) , which combines method of the time series that depend on historical data and and regression method as explanatory variables addition to that past errors , ARMAX model importance has appeared in many areas of application that direct contact with our daily lives , it consists of constructing ARMAX model several traditional stages of the process , a iden

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 26 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Administration And Economics
Proposal to use the style of the slides in the estimation and forecasting Fertility rates in Iraq for the period 2012-2031
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It is often needed in demographic research to modern statistical tools are flexible and convenient to keep up with the type of data available in Iraq in terms of the passage of the country far from periods of war and economic sanctions and instability of the security for a period of time . So, This research aims to propose the use of style nonparametric splines as a substitute for some of the compounds of analysis within the model Lee-Carter your appreciation rate for fertility detailed variable response in Iraq than the period (1977 - 2011) , and then predict for the period (2012-2031). This goal was achieved using a style nonparametric decomposition of singular value vehicles using the main deltoid , and then estimate the effect of time-s

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Publication Date
Wed May 01 2019
Journal Name
المجلة العربية للعلوم التربوية والنفسية
الصحة النفسية وعلاقتها بتقدير الذات لدى عينة من أطفال الشوارع في مدينة بغداد
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هدف البحث إلى الکشف عن العلاقة بين الصحة النفسية وتقدير الذات لدى أطفال الشوارع، تألفت عينة البحث من (50) طفلاَ وطفلة، وتم تطبيق مقياسا البحث - مقياس الصحة النفسية ومقياس تقدير الذات وهما (من إعداد الباحثة)، وقد اسفرت نتائج البحث عن إن أطفال الشوارع اظهروا مستوى منخفض في الصحة النفسية وکذلک الحال بالنسبة لتقدير الذات، فضلاً عن وجود علاقة ارتباطية موجبة دالة إحصائيا بين الصحة النفسية وتقدير الذات. وفي ضوء نتائج

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A comparison of the Semiparametric Estimators model smoothing methods different using
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In this paper, we made comparison among different parametric ,nonparametric and semiparametric estimators for partial linear regression model users parametric represented by ols and nonparametric methods represented by cubic smoothing spline estimator and Nadaraya-Watson estimator, we study three nonparametric regression models and samples sizes  n=40,60,100,variances used σ2=0.5,1,1.5 the results  for the first model show that N.W estimator for partial linear regression model(PLM) is the best followed the cubic smoothing spline estimator for (PLM),and the results of the second and the third model show that the best estimator is C.S.S.followed by N.W estimator for (PLM) ,the

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