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jeasiq-1373
استخدام بعض الطرائق الاحصائية والتصنيف الشجيري في التصنيف والتنبؤ بإفلاس الشركات مالياً
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تستخدم تقنيات التصنيفِ ًبصورة واسعة جدا في كثير من المجالات التطبيقية. ولاسيما في المجالات الاقتصادية والتحليلات المالية كما في عِلْمِ تحليل الزبونِ التنبؤيِpredictive customer analytics ، الذي يتضمن ذلك  الإمتلاكِ، المقايضة، إحتكار وإحراز الإئتمانِ والجباياتِ. إنّ هدفَ أيّ نموذج تصنيفِ هو أَنْ يُصنّفَ َ المشاهدات   في مجموعتين أَو أكثرِ للوصول الى التنبؤ بنتيجةً ترتبط بكُلّ مشاهدة ومثال ذلك: - متجاوب أَو غير متجاوب، مقصّر أَو غير مقصّر، متخبط أو غير متخبطchurner  الخ. نهتمُّ في الأعمال التجارية بإمكانية التنبؤ بحسنِ تصرف كُلّ شركة وادئها المستقبلي، وتقنيات التصنيفِ التي تُزوّدُنا بالنماذجِ التنبؤيةِ للغرض لنفسه. وهناك طرق مختلفة معلميه parametric  وغير معلميه
 non-parametricيمكن أن تُستَعملَ لحَلّ مشاكلِ التصنيفِ. الطرق الإحصائية المعلميه parametric في طبيعتِها تضع الفرضيات حول طبيعةِ التوزيعاتِ وتًقدر معالم َتلك التوزيعاتِ لحَلّ المشكلةِ.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison Between Partial Least Square Regression(PLSR) and Tree Regression by Using Simulation(RT).
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This research discussed, the process of comparison between the regression model of partial least squares and tree regression, where these models included two types of statistical methods represented by the first type "parameter statistics" of the partial least squares, which is adopted when the number of variables is greater than the number of observations and also when the number of observations larger than the number of variables, the second type is the "nonparametric statistic" represented by tree regression, which is the division of data in a hierarchical way. The regression models for the two models were estimated, and then the comparison between them, where the comparison between these methods was according to a Mean Square

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 21 2013
Journal Name
المؤتمر العلمي الدولي الرابع لاتحاد الاحصائيين العرب / بغداد
Estimating Fertility Rates in Iraq by using (Lee-Carter) Model And Forecasting for the Period (2012_2031)
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A large number of researchers had attempted to identify the pattern of the functional relationship between fertility from a side and economic and social characteristics of the population from another, with the strength of effect of each. So, this research aims to monitor and analyze changes in the level of fertility temporally and spatially in recent decades, in addition to estimating fertility levels in Iraq for the period (1977-2011) and then make forecasting to the level of fertility in Iraq at the national level (except for the Kurdistan region), and for the period of (2012-2031). To achieve this goal has been the use of the Lee-Carter model to estimate fertility rates and predictable as well. As this is the form often has been familiar

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using system dynamics model and the statistical indicators for Road Map of "Green government departments" project In Iraq
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Abstract                                                         

The issue of the protection of the environment is a shared responsibility between several destinations and sectors, and constitutes a main subject in which they can achieve sustainable development. In the sectors of government programs can be set up towards the establishment of the government sector to the green environment, so to be the implementati

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 20 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Administration And Economics
Proposal to use the style of the slides in the estimation and forecasting Fertility rates in Iraq for the period 2012-2031
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It is often needed in demographic research to modern statistical tools are flexible and convenient to keep up with the type of data available in Iraq in terms of the passage of the country far from periods of war and economic sanctions and instability of the security for a period of time . So, This research aims to propose the use of style nonparametric splines as a substitute for some of the compounds of analysis within the model Lee-Carter your appreciation rate for fertility detailed variable response in Iraq than the period (1977 - 2011) , and then predict for the period (2012-2031). This goal was achieved using a style nonparametric decomposition of singular value vehicles using the main deltoid , and then estimate the effect of time-s

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 18 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Modalities and Methodological Techniques in Media Studies
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There have been many writings and discussions that dealt with the details and interpretation of the research methods and the identification of the methods and methodological methods used by researchers and writers as they deal with research topics and problems in all fields of natural and human sciences. But we noticed that the movement of science and its knowledge and development requires the identification of suitable tools and methodological methods appropriate for each type of science. In other words, attempts should be established to build appropriate methodological tools for human and cognitive activity that can be referred to as a specific science that sets out certain paths of the human sciences which is certainly the ori

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 21 2023
Journal Name
مجلة علوم الرياضة
بعض زوايا الأداء الحركي وعلاقتها بنتائج منافسات سلاح السيف العربي للنساء بحث وصفي على اللاعبات المشاركات في بطوله الرافدين بالمبارزة لعام 2009 -2010 م
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       سلاح السيف العربي(sabre) حديث النشوء بالنسبة للاعبة العراقية إذ تم ممارسته خلال السنوات الأخيرة, ويتطلب شروط فنيه ميكانيكيه خاصة وفقآ لطبيعة الحركات وأن هذه الفعالية تعتمد بشكل رئيسي على مقدار مايمتلكه الرياضي من قوة وسرعه خاصة عند تطبيق المهارات الأساسية (الطعن والتقدم والتقهقر وأوضاع الدفاع المختلفة), وأن هذه الحركات تتطلب مستوى من القدرات البدنية كالقوة المميزة بالسرعة وال

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The possibility using of Accounting Information in Rationalizing the Decisions of Capital Expenditure (A case study: Companies Listed in Khartoum Stock Exchange)
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The research aims at the identity of the accounting information and its characteristics, and then to study the possibility of using accounting information in rationalizing the decisions of capital expenditure. The study relied upon the descriptive analytical approach it is suitable to the nature of this study, the hypotheses of the study were tested by using a number of statistical methods by relying on statistical package program (SPSS), and the research concluded that the companies listed in Khartoum Stock Exchange using accounting information in the comparison between investment alternatives available and estimating the number of years required to recover of the investment cost, the challenges that cause weakness in using the

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A Crime Data Analysis of Prediction Based on Classification Approaches
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Crime is considered as an unlawful activity of all kinds and it is punished by law. Crimes have an impact on a society's quality of life and economic development. With a large rise in crime globally, there is a necessity to analyze crime data to bring down the rate of crime. This encourages the police and people to occupy the required measures and more effectively restricting the crimes. The purpose of this research is to develop predictive models that can aid in crime pattern analysis and thus support the Boston department's crime prevention efforts. The geographical location factor has been adopted in our model, and this is due to its being an influential factor in several situations, whether it is traveling to a specific area or livin

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison between some well- Known methods to estimate the parameter of the proposed method of measurement and the reliability of the distribution function with two parameters Rally by simulation
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Abstract

            Rayleigh distribution is one of the important distributions used for analysis life time data, and has applications in reliability study and physical interpretations. This paper introduces four different methods to estimate the scale parameter, and also estimate reliability function; these methods are Maximum Likelihood, and Bayes and Modified Bayes, and Minimax estimator under squared error loss function, for the scale and reliability function of the generalized Rayleigh distribution are obtained. The comparison is done through simulation procedure, t

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Benford’s law to detecting earnings management Application on a sample of listed companies in the Iraqi market for securities
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Abstract

The net profit reported in the annual financial statements of the companies listed in the financial markets, is considered one of the Sources of information relied upon by users of accounting information in making their investment decisions. At the same time be relied upon in calculating the bonus (Incentives) granted to management, therefore the management of companies to manipulate those numbers in order to increase those bonuses associated to earnings, This practices are called earnings management practices. the manipulation in the figures of earnings by management will mislead the users  of financial statements who depend on reported earnings in their deci

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