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The analysis of time series considers one of the mathematical and statistical methods in explanation of the nature phenomena and its manner in a specific time period.
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The analysis of time series considers one of the mathematical and statistical methods in explanation of the nature phenomena and its manner in a specific time period.

Because the studying of time series can get by building, analysis the models and then forecasting gives the priority for the practicing in different fields, therefore the identification and selection of the model is of great importance in spite of its difficulties.

The selection of a standard methods has the ability for estimation the errors in the estimated the parameters for the model, and there will be a balance between the suitability and the simplicity of the model.

In the analysis of data there are many suitable models that can be taken for representation in certain groups of data (autocorrelation function ACF, partial autocorrelation function PACF and inverse autocorrelation function IACF).

In this search a comparison was done using generated data (simulation) and practical application, namely, the data of some climate elements in Iraq (sun-shine, temperatures and relative humidity). Where   some   new   results   are obtained.

 

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 30 2024
Journal Name
مجلة الكوفة للعلوم القانونية والسياسية
MANIPULATION OF SOFT POWER IN THE US COMPREHENSIVE STRATEGY TOWARDS FRANCE AFTER 2001
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Although the events of September 2001 marked the United States' employment of solid forces in its direct comprehensive strategy to counter terrorist organizations and any other challenges to US national security, the United States did not lose sight of the importance of the cultural variable. The cultural variable is the United States' most important instrument of soft power in ensuring its dominance of the international system and promoting its global project. France viewed US soft power as a threat to its own civilizational pattern. Therefore, France considers culture to be an inherent component of its national personality and a cornerstone of its international standing as a major force. Additionally, the US-French political and economic

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 04 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Motivation of Students Toward Enrolling to Education College Departments in Tikrit University
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The research aims to identify motivated to join the Evening Studies students to the College of Education at the University of Tikrit sections. In addition to knowledge of the differences in the degree of motivation of students according to gender, specialty, educational stage. To achieve the objectives of the research scholar us a measure consisting of (34) paragraph formulated positively, have been applied to a stratified random sample strength (500) students.

    The results showed that the degree of motivation was very big on all areas of the college and class, reaching the percentage of response (84.3%), and professional motives came first prize as a percentage of (93.8%), in addition

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Role of Social Networks Sites in Prioritizing Political Reform among University Professors
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With the development of modern mass media and the prevalence of use continues to both researchers and practitioners their efforts to understand how the media affect Hzha on both the individual and the institutions, society and culture as a whole, which means that the need to develop models and theories explain and predict the effects of the use of such means, therefore, the study of modern technologies of communication and information as an area of ​​research has become mature to establish the intellectual base cohesive, but they are not mature enough, which calls for more research developments therefore become social networking sites online, (Facebook, and YouTube, and straining) known today as the new social media, which is witness

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Technical openness in the formation of postmodernism Pop Art Example (An analytical study)
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Addressed the problem of the research is marked (technical openness in the formation of post-modernism - Pop Art an Example) the nature of the technical expansion of the output artifacts postmodern, and the nature of the raw materials taken as components of its sensual. The search came in four sections: general framework for research and identified the research problem and the need for him. With an indication of the importance of his presence. From then select the search goal (revealed openness to hire technical material in the art of Pop Art), followed by the establishment of the three search limits (objectivity, the temporal and spatial) were then determine the terms related to the title. Then provide the theoretical framework and indi

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Basic training requirements for teachers from the viewpoint of supervisors in Mafraq Governorate
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This study aimed to reveal the stage for teachers of basic training needs from the perspective of workers in Mafraq Governorate, through a survey of a sample of counselors look at the Ajloun area schools reached (58) counselors.
To achieve the objective of the study was constructed questionnaire where they are finalized (18) items distributed on two dimensions (professional needs, performance requirements) and after confirmation of the validity and reliability have been applied to the sample where the results showed that training needs were high, both on a professional or per formative level .
The results also showed no statistically significant differences in the areas of tool due to gender, educational qualification. The study co

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 16 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Evaluating Arabic Language Teachers Appraisal Form in Light of the Comprehensive Quality Standards
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The current research aims to evaluate the appraisal form for Arabic language teachers in light of comprehensive quality standards by designing standards for the competencies of primary school teacher in accordance with comprehensive quality requirements. The researcher adopted the descriptive approach. The research community included the Arabic language supervisors in the Education Directorates of Diyala Provincial and Baghdad. The research sample consisted of (14) supervisors from the Diyala Provincial Department of Education and the First Rusafa Education Directorate in Baghdad Governorate by (8) supervisors and (6) Supervisors respectively specializing in Arabic language. As for the research tool, questionnaire prepared by the researc

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Analysing errors in learning the preasent continuous tense:Associating interference with strategy of instruction
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Publication Date
Sat Jun 06 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Educational and Psychological Problems of Distinguished Students: علم النفس
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The present research aims at identifying the educational problems and psychological problems of distinguished students at the intermediate level. The research sample consists of (246) students who are randomly selected from four distinguished schools (2) in the Karkh\1 and (2) in the Rusafa\2.

The researcher has constructed two scales for measuring the educational and psychological problems. She ensures the psychometric characteristics of the two scales. Alph-Cronbach and test-retest methodsare used to ensure reliability. Some statistical treatments are used to find out the aims of research. These treatments include the one-sample T-test, two independent samples T-test, and the Pearson correlation coefficient. The results show th

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 02 2022
Journal Name
Res Militaris
Cultural Activities The Iraqi Ministry of Culture, Tourism and Antiquilies
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It’s an attempt to identify the cultural activities of the Ministry of Culture, Tourism and Antiquities, which are provided by the Ministry of Culture, Tourism and Antiquities and the departments affiliated with the Ministry of Culture only, not tourism and antiquities. The most important results areIs that the Ministry of Culture, Tourism and Antiquities has many cultural activities such as (festivals, exhibitions, conferences, fashion shows, concerts, musical evenings, theatrical and cinematic performances) in addition to literary series and cultural magazines, which are directed to the public in general, whether it is elite or not, and this shows the extent The importance of cultural activities published by the Ministry of Culture, Tou

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The Kinetic responses and foraging behavior of Drosophila melanogaster larvae
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Adaptive responses in larval behavior may be of two kinds: Taxis: This involves a change in direction relative to source of a stimulus. Kinesis: Kinesis has no directional component, but involves change in the rate of performance in response to a stimulus. Drosophila larvae exhibited flexible behavioral responses associated with food acquisition and selection for different environmental conditions. In this investigation, we are concerned explosively with kinetic responses to food viability. Third instar larvae were subjected to test for thirty minutes in each of the following conditions i) in distilled water, ii) in Ringer's solution, iii) in glucose solution and on live yeast suspension. In each case the larva was in a thin layer of solu

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