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Financial Crisis: Forms- Indicators- Models- and Financial Contagion Theoretical - Analytical Study of Asian Crisis
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اسهم تطور ادوات الاسواق المالية والتغيرات العالمية كالعولمة المالية وتحرير الاسواق المالية العالمية في احداث العديد من الازمات ومنها الازمة المالية الدولية التي تعد من اكثر الظواهر ملازمة للاسواق المالية على الرغم من التطورات التي تشهدها تلك الاسواق نتيجة تطور ادواتها المالية وانفتاحها على بعضها البعض. وتتعرض الاسواق المالية الدولية والناشئة  (Emerging Market) منها بشكل خاص الى العديد من الازمات المالية حيث تعرضت تلك الاسواق خلال القرن الماضي للعديد من الأزمات المالية التي أثر بعضها في مختلف قطاعات الدولة  التي امتد تأثيرها لأسواق مالية عالمية أخرى الامر الذي شكل تحديا للادارة المالية في مواجهة تلك الازمات المالية.

اتجهت أدبيات الفكر المالي إلى التركيز على تحليل الأزمات المالية في ضوء الظواهر الحديثة المرتبطة بها كالعدوى المالية (Financial Contagion)، ودور المؤسسات المالية مثل صندوق النقد الدولي ) IMF، International Monetary Funds) لتلافي المخاطر الكبيرة للازمات المالية من خلال التدخل الايجابي على وفق طبيعة كل أزمة مالية.

من ابرز الأزمات الدولية المعاصرة، أزمة أسواق جنوب شرق أسيا (1997) التي تعرضت لها أسواق مجموعة دول جنوب شرق أسيا، بعد أن اندلعت تلك الأزمة في سوق تايلند المالي لتنتقل بسرعة وبقوة إلى أسواق مالية مجاورة أخرى، والذي ميز تلك الأزمة عن غيرها هو النمو المتميز للأسواق المالية والاقتصادية لتلك الدول قبل حدوث الأزمة، أذ أطلق عليها النمور الأسيوية (Asian Tigers) الأمر الذي جعل إمكانية تعرضها لازمة مالية أمرا بعيد الاحتمال، وعندما ضربت تلك الأزمة أسواق المال في جنوب اسيا، أصبحت مسألة توقع حدوث أزمات مالية مفاجئة امرأ ليس بعيد الاحتمال بالرغم مما تمتلكه الأسواق المالية من مقومات أداء متميز.

تتناول الدراسة الحالية بعض النواحي الأساسية المتعلقة بالأزمات المالية الدولية، مع التركيز على أزمة أسواق جنوب أسيا بشكل خاص. وقد تمثلت مشكلة الدراسة في الجدل المعرفي حول الأطار المفاهيمي للأزمة المالية (Financial Crisis Concept)، والمفاهيم الأخرى ذات العلاقة، فضلا عن إمكانية أستجلاء التحليل لبعض نواحيها في الأسواق المالية لدول جنوب شرق آسيا (اندنوسيا، ماليزيا، الفلبين، تايلند، تايوان، وكوريا الجنوبية)  للفترة  (1998-1997)م.

بدأت الازمة الاسيوية عام 1997، ازمة في سوق العملات، وازمة سيولة مؤقتة، لكنها تحولت فيما بعد ذلك الى ازمة مالية واقتصادية ذات ابعاد سياسية خطيرة- الى حد كبير– بسبب السياسات غير المرنة لاسعار الصرف، وشركات مدينة اكثر من اللازم، وقطاع مصرفي ضعيف، وقروض كبيرة وقصيرة الاجل بالعملات الرئيسة للحكومات، ولوائح مصرفية واشرافية غير كافيتين بصفة عامة وضوابط مصرفية داخلية متراخية، وتقييم غير صارم للمخاطر الائتمانية والسوقية، وكان يعتقد بصفة عامة، ان الحكومات لن تسمح بفشل المصارف، وان الودائع مضمونة تماماً، كما ان قطاع التصدير الذي اعتمدت عليه هذه الدول لتحقيق معدلات عالية لنموها الاقتصادي قد تعرض لهزة كبيرة اضعفت قدرته التنافسية، وذلك عندما قامت الصين عام 1994 بتخفيض سعر صرف عملتها.

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Some indicators of the economic productivity in the industrial sector in Iraq
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Industry represents a cornerstone of the process of economic development and a measure of progress and contribute to increased prosperity and high standard of living.

The researcher analyzed the productivity indicators in industrial facilities large and small at several time periods ranging from 1970 to 2009, according to the economic situation that prevailed in each period.

    Different impact of periods under discussion, it made ​​Iraq the cash surpluses during the period 70-1980 then the effects of the war after 1980 and the economic blockade since 1990, and the subsequent events of the year

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use some probability amputated models to study the characteristics of health payments in the Iraqi Insurance Company
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Abstract

Due to the lack of previous statistical study of the behavior of payments, specifically health insurance, which represents the largest proportion of payments in the general insurance companies in Iraq, this study was selected and applied in the Iraqi insurance company.

In order to find the convenient model representing the health insurance payments, we initially detected two probability models by using (Easy Fit) software:

First, a single Lognormal for the whole sample and the other is a Compound Weibull  for the two Sub samples (small payments and large payments), and we focused on the compoun

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analytical Study of Crude Oil Price Shocks in the Global, Market Reasons and Result
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The global oil market is one of the most important markets in the world and occupies especially for countries consuming and producing countries, and the status of understanding of the mechanism for determining prices in the market help to stand on many factors affecting oil demand and supply of oil and geopolitical factors, climate and alternative sources of energy .. etc. factors, and that the main objective of the research is to study the causes and results left behind by the oil price shocks in the world market, and the movement of these factors be through a cycle of energy that explain the strength of competition between these factors and their effects on prices, when demand increases evolution Large image leads to significan

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Aesthetics of Lumia Art in Contemporary Textile Arts, An Analytical Study
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The research (The Aesthetics of Lumia Art in Contemporary Textile Arts: An Analytical Study) included four chapters, the first to explain the research problem summarized by the question: Does the art of Lumia achieve aesthetic values in contemporary textile arts?, and aims to: Identify the aesthetics of Lumia art and its applied uses in contemporary textile arts, within the time period (2013-2022). The third chapter included: research procedures and sample analysis (4) models according to the descriptive analytical approach, and the fourth chapter dealt with: results, conclusions and recommendations as well as sources.

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2024
Journal Name
Mathematics For Applications
DIRICHLET PROCESS ANALYSIS USING BIORTHOGONAL WAVELET: A STATISTICAL STUDY OF FINANCIAL MARKET
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The Dirichlet process is an important fundamental object in nonparametric Bayesian modelling, applied to a wide range of problems in machine learning, statistics, and bioinformatics, among other fields. This flexible stochastic process models rich data structures with unknown or evolving number of clusters. It is a valuable tool for encoding the true complexity of real-world data in computer models. Our results show that the Dirichlet process improves, both in distribution density and in signal-to-noise ratio, with larger sample size; achieves slow decay rate to its base distribution; has improved convergence and stability; and thrives with a Gaussian base distribution, which is much better than the Gamma distribution. The performance depen

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Scopus
Publication Date
Sun Jan 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of systems and information technology on stock market activity: Case study in Iraq stock market
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Financial markets play an important role in the economy, as it contributes to the financial and economic system of the state stability, as it reduces the adoption of the companies on the loans granted by the banks, as financial markets contribute to attracting and channeling savings to small savers who will be able to buy a number of shares proportional to their savings, It also provides them the place of exchange, and play technology and information systems an important role in facilitating exchanges and increased market activity, in this research touched on the importance of information technology in effect on the activity of the financial markets. Research is divided into three demands of the first concept of eating and the importance

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Iraq after war and strategy of reconstruction : Analytical study in reality and future horizon
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Abstract (Iraq post – war reconstruction strategy: analytical study in fact and future prospects.) There search aims at identifying the causes of internal instability in Iraq from the political ,economic , social and security aspects , to diagnose the imbalance and to work towards finding real solutions to this . The study also aims at identifying the reconstruction proposals to completely eliminate the organizationof the terrorist advocate, as well as to know. theproblem of research lies in the ability of Iraqi political elites to achieve internal stability and to employ reconstruction proposals at all levels . The hypothesis of the research lies in the equation that the process of building stability (political – economic)and (socia

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تحليل حسابات الاعتمادات المستندية دراسة نظرية – تطبيقية في مصرف الرشيد – بغداد للفترة من 2004 – 2006 المالية
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تلعب الاعتمادات المستندية دوراً كبيراً وخطيراً في التجارة الدولية باعتبارها إحدى أوسع أدوات الدفع انتشاراً في العالم سواءاً كان ذلك بالنسبة للمستورد أم للمصدر وتغطيتها للمخاطر المحتملة لكلا الطرفين، فهي تؤمن للمصدر استلام قيمة البضاعة بالكامل عند تنفيذها لشروط العقد، ويسمح للمستورد بعدم الدفع إلا بعد إتمام شحن البضاعة وتقديم المستندات المطلوبة واستلامها.

وتقوم المصارف التجارية المحل

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 30 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Contemporary Islamic Ideology Crisis According to Al- Sayid Muhammad Baqir Al- Sadr
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The most prominant goal aimed at by contemporary islamic ideology is to present Islam to the whole world as a message of God that establishes for man a supreme civilization to accomplish justice, peace, development and prosperity

This mission is hindered by many obstacles that create Islamic ideology crisis such as loss of Comprehensive unifying vision which led to the loss of correct vision. This resulted in a Weakness of Priority arrangement and national interests a accomplishment.

There is also a problem of the curriculum that teaches Islamic ideology .

Another problem is that of the concept taken from Islamic culture.

Also another Problem Is the lack of understanding of

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Governance work guidance for financial and institutional reform
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There has been increase in banks and financial institutions interest in governance topic, as it focused all it attention on this topic specially after the growing role and massive expansion of the private sector in economic life , this sector become vital and important and basic role in growth and developing countries economy that’s why there been increase interest in governance and its mechanism , using this mechanism ( board of directors mechanism , ownership concentration mechanism , financial compensation mechanism, minimum rate of capital mechanism) who would adjust and guide the path and orientation of banks and financial institutions as to ensure the  achievement of their goals and mission of their desired within th

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