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Financial Crisis: Forms- Indicators- Models- and Financial Contagion Theoretical - Analytical Study of Asian Crisis
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اسهم تطور ادوات الاسواق المالية والتغيرات العالمية كالعولمة المالية وتحرير الاسواق المالية العالمية في احداث العديد من الازمات ومنها الازمة المالية الدولية التي تعد من اكثر الظواهر ملازمة للاسواق المالية على الرغم من التطورات التي تشهدها تلك الاسواق نتيجة تطور ادواتها المالية وانفتاحها على بعضها البعض. وتتعرض الاسواق المالية الدولية والناشئة  (Emerging Market) منها بشكل خاص الى العديد من الازمات المالية حيث تعرضت تلك الاسواق خلال القرن الماضي للعديد من الأزمات المالية التي أثر بعضها في مختلف قطاعات الدولة  التي امتد تأثيرها لأسواق مالية عالمية أخرى الامر الذي شكل تحديا للادارة المالية في مواجهة تلك الازمات المالية.

اتجهت أدبيات الفكر المالي إلى التركيز على تحليل الأزمات المالية في ضوء الظواهر الحديثة المرتبطة بها كالعدوى المالية (Financial Contagion)، ودور المؤسسات المالية مثل صندوق النقد الدولي ) IMF، International Monetary Funds) لتلافي المخاطر الكبيرة للازمات المالية من خلال التدخل الايجابي على وفق طبيعة كل أزمة مالية.

من ابرز الأزمات الدولية المعاصرة، أزمة أسواق جنوب شرق أسيا (1997) التي تعرضت لها أسواق مجموعة دول جنوب شرق أسيا، بعد أن اندلعت تلك الأزمة في سوق تايلند المالي لتنتقل بسرعة وبقوة إلى أسواق مالية مجاورة أخرى، والذي ميز تلك الأزمة عن غيرها هو النمو المتميز للأسواق المالية والاقتصادية لتلك الدول قبل حدوث الأزمة، أذ أطلق عليها النمور الأسيوية (Asian Tigers) الأمر الذي جعل إمكانية تعرضها لازمة مالية أمرا بعيد الاحتمال، وعندما ضربت تلك الأزمة أسواق المال في جنوب اسيا، أصبحت مسألة توقع حدوث أزمات مالية مفاجئة امرأ ليس بعيد الاحتمال بالرغم مما تمتلكه الأسواق المالية من مقومات أداء متميز.

تتناول الدراسة الحالية بعض النواحي الأساسية المتعلقة بالأزمات المالية الدولية، مع التركيز على أزمة أسواق جنوب أسيا بشكل خاص. وقد تمثلت مشكلة الدراسة في الجدل المعرفي حول الأطار المفاهيمي للأزمة المالية (Financial Crisis Concept)، والمفاهيم الأخرى ذات العلاقة، فضلا عن إمكانية أستجلاء التحليل لبعض نواحيها في الأسواق المالية لدول جنوب شرق آسيا (اندنوسيا، ماليزيا، الفلبين، تايلند، تايوان، وكوريا الجنوبية)  للفترة  (1998-1997)م.

بدأت الازمة الاسيوية عام 1997، ازمة في سوق العملات، وازمة سيولة مؤقتة، لكنها تحولت فيما بعد ذلك الى ازمة مالية واقتصادية ذات ابعاد سياسية خطيرة- الى حد كبير– بسبب السياسات غير المرنة لاسعار الصرف، وشركات مدينة اكثر من اللازم، وقطاع مصرفي ضعيف، وقروض كبيرة وقصيرة الاجل بالعملات الرئيسة للحكومات، ولوائح مصرفية واشرافية غير كافيتين بصفة عامة وضوابط مصرفية داخلية متراخية، وتقييم غير صارم للمخاطر الائتمانية والسوقية، وكان يعتقد بصفة عامة، ان الحكومات لن تسمح بفشل المصارف، وان الودائع مضمونة تماماً، كما ان قطاع التصدير الذي اعتمدت عليه هذه الدول لتحقيق معدلات عالية لنموها الاقتصادي قد تعرض لهزة كبيرة اضعفت قدرته التنافسية، وذلك عندما قامت الصين عام 1994 بتخفيض سعر صرف عملتها.

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Estimating and Analyzing Food Security Indicators in Selected Arab Countries for the Period (1996 - 2012)
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        The study hypothesize that the majority of Arab countries  show a poor agricultural economic efficiency which resulted in a weak productive capacity of wheat in the face of the demand, which in turn led to the fluctuation of the rate of self-sufficiency and thus increase the size of the food gap. The study aims at estimating and analyzing the food security indicators for their importance in shaping the Arabic agricultural policy, which aims to achieve food security through domestic production and reduce the import of food to less possible extent. Some of the most important results reached by the study were that the increase in the amount of consumption of wheat in the countries of t

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 03 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The relationship of the investment environment with the indicators of the national economy
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The investment environment is the incubator for all types of domestic and foreign investments, so if their determinants are encouraging, they increase the levels of investment flows and vice versa, as there is a relationship between the nature of the investment environment and the level of investment flows, and the determinants of the investment environment are numerous and the most important of which are security and political stability, and economic and financial factors that include relative stability In the exchange rate and inflation rates, the availability of banks and their development, transparency and integrity in administrative dealings and the lack of prevalence of administrative and financial corruption, and the clari

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Publication Date
Sat Aug 01 2020
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Materials Science And Engineering
Comparison of Single and Group Jet Grout Columns Settlement Based on Field Test and Theoretical Methods
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Abstract<p>The settlement evaluation for the jet grouted columns (JGC) in soft soils is a problematic matter, because it is influenced by the number of aspects such as soil type, effect mixture between soil and grouting materials, nozzle energy, jet grouting, water flow rate, rotation and lifting speed. Most methods of design the jet-grouting column based on experience. In this study, a prototype single and group jet grouting models (single, 1*2, and 2*2) with the total length and diameter were (2000 and 150 mm) respectively and clear spacing (3D) has been constructed in soft clay and subjected to vertical axial loads. Furthermore, different theoretical methods have been used for the estimation </p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Fri Sep 01 2023
Journal Name
Nasaq Journal
Social Media and Language Evolution: A Review of Current Theoretical Efforts on Communication and Language Change
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This article is an endeavour to highlight the relationship between social media and language evolution. It reviews the current theoretical efforts on communication and language change. The descriptive design, which is theoretically based on technological determision, is used. The assumption behind this review is that the social media plays a significant role in language evolution. Moreover, different platforms of social media are characterized by being the easiest and fastest means of communication. It concludes that the current theoretical efforts have paid much attention to the relationship between social media and language evolution. Such efforts have highlighted the fact that social media platforms are awash with a lot of acronyms, cybe

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 28 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Evaluating the Indicators and Quality of Potable Water Networks in Al-Shatrah City: سميع جلاب منسي السهلاني
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The present paper aims at evaluating the vailability quality and future horizons of potable water in the city of Shatra as a model. This is done in accordance with certain subjective and objective factors alongside the classification map of Shatra as a residential area. This system follows geographical studies specialized in urban construction. The problem of the present paper as well as the data approaching that problem have been chosen from the records of 2018. The researcher offered (919) questionnaire forms to be answered by a sample of dwellers in that area. Besides, the researcher also followed lab analysis of water samples collected from districts in the city of Shatra. GIS technology was also used to arrive at the real water shar

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 30 2019
Journal Name
Modern Sport
Evaluation of training programs according to some physical abilities, functional indicators and achievement for men's 200m runners
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The effectiveness of (200 m) of the events of extreme intensity and this is characterized by training in the anaerobic energy system prevailing in the result of this privacy as these are based on the physical abilities and functional indicators identified in this direction and hence the importance of research in the evaluation of training programs on the basis of physical abilities and some indicators of the functionality of the hostile 200 m . The study aimed to: 1. Evaluation of training programs according to physical abilities and some functional indicators of hostile men.The researchers used the descriptive analytical method to suit the nature of the research. The researchers selected them research sample by the deliberate method of the

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 04 2020
Journal Name
International Journal Of Psychosocial Rehabilitation
The Effect of Using Fit Light Exercise in Some Physiological Indicators and Smash Shot for Badminton’s Players
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The reason for applying the project is for the development of some physiological variables and skill performance using a device for the first time applied in Iraq to a sample of badminton players, and this device has a patent on 7/2/2019. An experimental method is used for a sample of (12) players from (Al-Orthodoxy club). The experimental group is applied the proposal technique, while, the control group is instructed by the coach.The results of the research attribute to the role of the proposal exercises of fit light technology, thus, this technology has increased the attention and focusing of the sample and some physiological variables and smash shot skill. It has been concluded that the exercises using fit light technology is helped to i

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The effect of applying total quality management on the competitiveness from the point of view of the front-rows employees for customer service (An analytical study of Palestinian local banks)
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The study aimed to identify the effect of Total Quality Management on enhancing competitiveness through the opinions of employees of the front- rows of customer service in local Palestinian banks, the researcher adopted an analytical descriptive method through developing a special questionnaire to accomplish the study’s objectives and answer its questions. The study involved all the Palestinian local banks, with their scattered branches in West Bank. The study sample consisted of 3470 executive employees for banking services out of 4753 employees, in the rate of 73%, and the study sample reached (485) employees who were randomly selected working in the front -rows to provide services in the local Palestinian banks during the ye

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2017
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Chemical And Petroleum Engineering
Upgrading of Al-Rustamiyah Sewage Treatment Plant Through Experimental and Theoretical Analysis of Membrane Fouling
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Al-Rustamiyah plant is the oldest and biggest sewage treatment plant in Iraq; it locates in the south of Baghdad city. The plant suffers from serious problems associated with overflow and low capacity. The present work aims to upgrade the heart of biological treatment process through suggesting the use of membrane bioreactor; (MBR). In this work, fouling of membrane during sewage treatment has been analyzed experimentally and theoretically by fouling mechanisms. Aeration has been applied in order to control fouling through producing effective diameters of air bubbles close to the membrane walls. Effect of air flow rate on flux decline was investigated. Hermia's models were used to investigate the fouling mechanisms. The results showed th

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A Comparison Between Classic Local Least Estimatop And Bayesian Methoid For Estimating Semiparametric Logistic Regression Model
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Semi-parametric models analysis is one of the most interesting subjects in recent studies due to give an efficient model estimation. The problem when the response variable has one of two values either 0 ( no response) or one – with response which is called the logistic regression model.

We compare two methods Bayesian and . Then the results were compared using MSe criteria.

A simulation had been used to study the empirical behavior for the Logistic model , with  different sample sizes and variances. The results using represent that the Bayesian method is better than the   at small samples sizes.

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