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Financial Crisis: Forms- Indicators- Models- and Financial Contagion Theoretical - Analytical Study of Asian Crisis

اسهم تطور ادوات الاسواق المالية والتغيرات العالمية كالعولمة المالية وتحرير الاسواق المالية العالمية في احداث العديد من الازمات ومنها الازمة المالية الدولية التي تعد من اكثر الظواهر ملازمة للاسواق المالية على الرغم من التطورات التي تشهدها تلك الاسواق نتيجة تطور ادواتها المالية وانفتاحها على بعضها البعض. وتتعرض الاسواق المالية الدولية والناشئة  (Emerging Market) منها بشكل خاص الى العديد من الازمات المالية حيث تعرضت تلك الاسواق خلال القرن الماضي للعديد من الأزمات المالية التي أثر بعضها في مختلف قطاعات الدولة  التي امتد تأثيرها لأسواق مالية عالمية أخرى الامر الذي شكل تحديا للادارة المالية في مواجهة تلك الازمات المالية.

اتجهت أدبيات الفكر المالي إلى التركيز على تحليل الأزمات المالية في ضوء الظواهر الحديثة المرتبطة بها كالعدوى المالية (Financial Contagion)، ودور المؤسسات المالية مثل صندوق النقد الدولي ) IMF، International Monetary Funds) لتلافي المخاطر الكبيرة للازمات المالية من خلال التدخل الايجابي على وفق طبيعة كل أزمة مالية.

من ابرز الأزمات الدولية المعاصرة، أزمة أسواق جنوب شرق أسيا (1997) التي تعرضت لها أسواق مجموعة دول جنوب شرق أسيا، بعد أن اندلعت تلك الأزمة في سوق تايلند المالي لتنتقل بسرعة وبقوة إلى أسواق مالية مجاورة أخرى، والذي ميز تلك الأزمة عن غيرها هو النمو المتميز للأسواق المالية والاقتصادية لتلك الدول قبل حدوث الأزمة، أذ أطلق عليها النمور الأسيوية (Asian Tigers) الأمر الذي جعل إمكانية تعرضها لازمة مالية أمرا بعيد الاحتمال، وعندما ضربت تلك الأزمة أسواق المال في جنوب اسيا، أصبحت مسألة توقع حدوث أزمات مالية مفاجئة امرأ ليس بعيد الاحتمال بالرغم مما تمتلكه الأسواق المالية من مقومات أداء متميز.

تتناول الدراسة الحالية بعض النواحي الأساسية المتعلقة بالأزمات المالية الدولية، مع التركيز على أزمة أسواق جنوب أسيا بشكل خاص. وقد تمثلت مشكلة الدراسة في الجدل المعرفي حول الأطار المفاهيمي للأزمة المالية (Financial Crisis Concept)، والمفاهيم الأخرى ذات العلاقة، فضلا عن إمكانية أستجلاء التحليل لبعض نواحيها في الأسواق المالية لدول جنوب شرق آسيا (اندنوسيا، ماليزيا، الفلبين، تايلند، تايوان، وكوريا الجنوبية)  للفترة  (1998-1997)م.

بدأت الازمة الاسيوية عام 1997، ازمة في سوق العملات، وازمة سيولة مؤقتة، لكنها تحولت فيما بعد ذلك الى ازمة مالية واقتصادية ذات ابعاد سياسية خطيرة- الى حد كبير– بسبب السياسات غير المرنة لاسعار الصرف، وشركات مدينة اكثر من اللازم، وقطاع مصرفي ضعيف، وقروض كبيرة وقصيرة الاجل بالعملات الرئيسة للحكومات، ولوائح مصرفية واشرافية غير كافيتين بصفة عامة وضوابط مصرفية داخلية متراخية، وتقييم غير صارم للمخاطر الائتمانية والسوقية، وكان يعتقد بصفة عامة، ان الحكومات لن تسمح بفشل المصارف، وان الودائع مضمونة تماماً، كما ان قطاع التصدير الذي اعتمدت عليه هذه الدول لتحقيق معدلات عالية لنموها الاقتصادي قد تعرض لهزة كبيرة اضعفت قدرته التنافسية، وذلك عندما قامت الصين عام 1994 بتخفيض سعر صرف عملتها.

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The risks of derivatives contracts and their reflections on the global financial crisis Analytical study in (Toronto – Dominion) bank

The research tacklets the role of risks arising from the excessive use of derivative contracts for trading in financial crises, including the recent global financial crisis in (2008) which is known the mortgage crisis.

   In order to prove the hypothesis of the research, the risk index of derivative contracts has been chosed as expressed in the measure of (value at risk) to be the main field for testing the hypothesis of research. The duration of the contract  has been also chased  for (15) years between the years (2001- 2015), the period preceding the global financial crisis, while the second represents the period of time that followed. The research reached a number of conclusions, bu

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The global financial crisis and the role of war and its characterization as solutions "The objective roots and the legal possibility of the crisis in economic thought"

في البداية اود الاشارة الى ان فهم حقيقة الازمة هو ذو جانب فني يتعلق بالجينات الوراثية لنظام يملك في احيناته قدرة عالية على تفريخ المشتقات. هذا النظام الذي يزداد عقما وتدميرا يزداد قدرة على خلق النقود الائتمانية/المشتقات، وكلما اقتربنا اكثر من فهم هذا الجانب كلما اسقطت في ايدينا تلك التوصيفات الاكاديمية الجاهزة في نقص الرقابة والاشراف، تركيز المخاطر،....الخ التي تناولتها الكتابات الشائعة في معظم طروحات

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of the Current Financial Crisis : Causes and Solutions (Iraqi crisis a model , based on the public budget for the fiscal year 2016)

The research aims to analysis of the current financial crisis in Iraq through knowing its causes and then propose some solutions that help in remedy the crisis and that on the level of expenditures and revenues, and has been relying on the Federal general budget law of the Republic of Iraq for the fiscal year 2016 to obtain the necessary data in respect of the current expenditures and revenues which necessary to achieve the objective of the research , and through the research results has been reached to a set of conclusions which the most important of them that causes of the current financial crisis in Iraq , mainly belonging to increased expenditures and especially the current ones and the lack of revenues , especially non-oil o

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Impact of the global financial crisis on the efficiency of activity of the Iraqi Stock Market, "An Empirical Study for the period 2006-2008”

Abstract
  financial market occupy very important place in the economic activity all over the world countris, and its importance increased with considerable technological progress in the world of transportation ,communications and information where its impact have spread over the whole world, which led to link the international economy in a kind of international relations so that the open policy became the prevailing trend in national and regional economies within the framework of the new world order.

the international economy has faced the financial crisis, global, that hit all world economies although the United States is the center of the crisis and the starting spark for it w

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The role of Islamic banks in facing the financial crisis in Iraq from 2012-2014

The purpose of the research is to identify the role of Islamic banks in facing the financial crisis in Iraq for the period 2012-2014, and highlight the various factors that contributed to the emergence of the financial crisis, as well as to identify the problems and challenges facing the Islamic banking business in Iraq and identify the reasons and find appropriate solutions, And the development of treatments to avoid the occurrence of such problems and overcome them. The main findings of the research are as follows,Islamic banks (the sample of the study) were affected by the global financial crisis indirectly, as the financial crisis turned into an economic crisis affecting the real economy, because the activity of Islamic banks is more

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Role of statement of cash flow in forecasting in the global financial crisis 2008: An analytical study for The American Company (Freddie Mac)

On of the direct causes which led to the global financial crisis 2008 is decrease or collapse in liquidity of large financial institutions which is reflected on investments of a considerable number of institutions and persons.

This study aim's through out its three sections to explain the disclosure level of financial institutions which affected by Financial Crisis from liquidity information which explained in the statement of cash flow according to Timeliness and Completeness.

The study concluded an important result the company of research sample was disclosure in Timeliness and Completeness from all of accounting information is related in liquidity or that related in result of operations and financial position. The more

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 12 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparative Development between the Asian Tiger Crisis and the Mortgage Crisis

Financial crisis is one of the topics that have attracted the interest of researchers in recently. The research focused on the issue of the crisis of the Asian Tigers and the mortgage crisis and comparing them in terms of causes and repercussions. It may meet most of the financial crises in many of its causes, factors, roots and results in the advanced and the developing countries. This crisis has its own pattern and its causes and nature and it is characterized by a crisis of cash liquidity and the collapse of many banks and declare bankruptcy and a sharp decline in stock prices and indices of the stock market and so far the common denominators among the causes but does not mean this There are differences between the financial c

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of financial investments using financial indicators Applied in the Middle East Bank of Iraq for investment For the fiscal period 2007-2009

The research explain the analysis of finance investments through  analyze the finance tables for commercial banks, by using the pointers to indicate the limits of economical benefit for these investments, and fix the negative deviations and as well positive, for the purpose of  diagnostic the negative (disadvantage) and develop the advantage deviation, For the importance of finance investments in the development operation and economical growth, further to that the finance investments is represent one of the most activities in the commercial banks in which aim the adequate incomes as a result of the commercial banks act to receipt the banks deposits and then make it growth and develop through  commercial advantage o

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Global Financial crisis and its impact on the performance of the Emerging Stock Exchange: الاردن نموذجا

The research aims to explain the reality and the roots of the problem financial crisis and its impact on the performance of the Amman Stock Exchange, by testing three hypotheses, the first and the second relates to the performance of the Amman Stock Exchange and its sectors before and after the financial crisis. And the third examined the relationship between indirect foreign investment and the performance of Amman Stock Exchange.
     Hypothesis testing results of the first and second pointed to the existence of statistically significant differences for the performance of the stock market in general and in particular their performance for the period before and after the financial crisis. The third hypothesis resu

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Contemporary accounting thought problems and its Roles in creation Global financial crises: An analytical study

  With occurrence of any financial crises, regardless at global or regional levels such as the great economic crises during 1929 – 1933 and the Asian financial crises at the end of twentieth century as well as the current global financial crises that started during second half 2008, we acknowledge that there are some critics loudly articulated accusing accountants and auditors for disparences, and they are numerical partner of financial manipulation as well as corrupted administrators with the company's administrators that they are difficulty. At this point, many suggestions and recommendation for upgrading the accounting system has been made.              &nbsp

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