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Methods of forecasting demandOn the blood substanceApplied study at the National Blood Transfusion Center
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The current research deals with short term forecasting of demand on Blood material, and its' problem represented by increasing of forecast' errors in The National Center for Blood Transfusion because using inappropriate method of forecasting by Centers' management, represented with Naive Model. The importance of research represented by the great affect for forecasts accuracy on operational performance for health care organizations, and necessity of providing blood material with desired quantity and in suitable time. The literatures deal with subject of short term forecasting of demand with using the time series models in order to getting of accuracy results, because depending these models on data of last demand, that is being stable in short term. The aim of research is decreasing forecasting' errors of demand on blood units & plasma for period (2005-2007) through using three seasonal quantitative models for forecasting, these are multiplicative, additional, and Winters models, and choosing model that performs lowest amount from measures of forecast' errors, these are mean squired error, mean absolute deviation, and mean absolute percentage error.

The results of the research showed achievement the multiplicative model which is used in forecasting of demand of blood units, and the additive model which is used for plasma, to lowest amount of forecast' error, and the recommendation was using these models for forecasting of demand.

 

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 10 2026
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The role of Iraqi newspapers in instilling political culture among the public after 2003, a field study on the audience of the city of Baghdad
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The role of Iraqi newspapers in instilling political culture among the public after 2003, a field study on the audience of the city of Baghdad, University of Baghdad, College of Information, Department of Journalism, 2019,
The problem of research is to investigate the role of Iraqi newspapers in instilling the political culture of individuals after 2003, and monitor this role Through the contents and messages provided by the Iraqi newspapers to the public. the research is classified within descriptive research, it adopts the survey methodology and used the questionnaire tool. In fact, the questionnaire was distributed to a sample of 400 individuals that was selected according to the method of multi-stage cluster sample of those who re

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Reflection of selection of employee's strategy on human capital/ (Field research at the University of Baghdad)
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Abstract:

This research aims to know the reflection of selection of employees strategy dimensions ( selection of employees strategy standards, procedures selection of employees strategy , efficiency based on a selection of employees strategy) on human capital (knowledge, skills, abilities) in a sample of Lecturers consists of (Deans and assistants and heads of departments) in ( Baghdad University) included nine colleges and university president as total sample size (54), which represent almost 50% of the total research community of 116, was used in the light of the objectives of the research descriptive and analytical approach, has been a resolution main tool for data collection as well as the interview p

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 19 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Statisticians Journal
Forecasting Gold prices by hybrid ANFIS-based algorithm
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In this article, the high accuracy and effectiveness of forecasting global gold prices are verified using a hybrid machine learning algorithm incorporating an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Gray Wolf Optimizer (GWO). The hybrid approach had successes that enabled it to be a good strategy for practical use. The ARIMA-ANFIS hybrid methodology was used to forecast global gold prices. The ARIMA model is implemented on real data, and then its nonlinear residuals are predicted by ANFIS, ANFIS-PSO, and ANFIS-GWO. The results indicate that hybrid models improve the accuracy of single ARIMA and ANFIS models in forecasting. Finally, a comparison was made between the hybrid foreca

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Application Artificial Forecasting Techniques in Cost Management (review)
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For the duration of the last few many years many improvement in computer technology, software program programming and application production had been followed with the aid of diverse engineering disciplines. Those trends are on the whole focusing on synthetic intelligence strategies. Therefore, a number of definitions are supplied, which recognition at the concept of artificial intelligence from exclusive viewpoints. This paper shows current applications of artificial intelligence (AI) that facilitate cost management in civil engineering tasks. An evaluation of the artificial intelligence in its precise partial branches is supplied. These branches or strategies contributed to the creation of a sizable group of fashions s

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using Artificial Neural Network Models For Forecasting & Comparison
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The Artificial Neural Network methodology is a very important & new subjects that build's the models for Analyzing, Data Evaluation, Forecasting & Controlling without depending on an old model or classic statistic method that describe the behavior of statistic phenomenon, the methodology works by simulating the data to reach a robust optimum model that represent the statistic phenomenon & we can use the model in any time & states, we used the Box-Jenkins (ARMAX) approach for comparing, in this paper depends on the received power to build a robust model for forecasting, analyzing & controlling in the sod power, the received power come from

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 03 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Attitudes of the Private Sector towards the Application of Operational Contracting in Private Education Schools in the Sultanate of Oman: A Qualitative Study
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Abstract

The research aims to investigate the private sector attitudes toward operational contracting in special education schools. The research adopted the qualitative approach by using personal interviews with a sample of (45) private school owners and managers in Oman. The results of the research revealed that there is an agreement among the majority of respondents on the ability of the private sector to manage special education schools, the advantages of the partnership, as well as the need for guarantees to support this partnership. The government should fully assume it. The role of the private sector remains to raise the operational efficiency of schools. Opinions vary about the level of powers granted to t

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
METHODS OF MEASURING THE LEVEL OF COMMUNICATION EFFICIENCY IN NEWS HEADLINES: (Drawn from the doctoral thesis)
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Measuring the level of communicative competence in news headlines and the level of stylistic and semantic processing in its formulation requires creating a quantitative scale based on the bases on building the scales and their standards. As judging by scientific of journalism studies lies in the possibility of quantifying the journalistic knowledge, i.e. the ability of this knowledge to shift from qualitative language to its equivalent in the language of numbers.

News headlines and editorial processing are one of the journalistic knowledges that should be studied, analyzed stylistically and semantically; their conclusions drawn and expressed in numbers. Press knowledge is divided into two types:<

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Outcomes of War: A Study of the Character After the Crisis of War
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World War II has brought suffering for all people; it has led people to have a nostalgic feeling. The war has many faces all of them are ugly, like death, separation, loneliness, violence, crime, betrayal, and disconnection and many other meanings. Michael Ondaatje in his novel The English Patient (1992) portrays a picture of the effect of World War II on four different characters; Hana a Canadian nurse, The English patient who is Hungarian, Caravaggio a Canadian-Italitan thief, and Kip an Indian sapper. They live together in one house, share their secrets and memories about World War II. Ondaatje brings them together to reveal their secrets and to heal their wounds of the war experience.

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 01 2017
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The effects of Internet use on university’s students: “A Study on a Sample of Jordanian University’s students "
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The effects of Internet use on university’s students:The effects of Internet use on university’s students:“A Study on a Sample of Jordanian University’s students "This survey aims to identify the most important effects of Internet use on Jordanian public and private universities’ students by monitoring and analyzing a set of indicators that show the quality of the effects on specific fields such as  cultural, social, psychological, moral and political effects .To achieve these goals, the study attempts to answer the following questions:1.   What are the effects of Internet’s use on students?2. What is   the relationship between the effects and demographic variables such as  gender, age, family size an

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of Job description and Perceived organizational support to achieving An Excellent Job performance - An Exploratory study of the views of a sample of department heads at Sulaimaniyah University.
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     This research Sought to identify the correlation relationships and the impact of each of the job description and perceived organizational support, Excellent Job performance of the heads of academic departments in the faculties of the University of Sulaymaniyah Iraqi Kurdistan Region, totaling (89) as President, and to achieve this was Default plan includes research variables as well as the formulation of a number of preparation fundamental assumptions, and researchers used a questionnaire for this purpose as a tool head of the collection of data and information, as it was distributed (80) copies, and the number of retrieved them (76) a copy of a valid statistical analysis, as well as conducting personal i

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