Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1205
الازمة المالية العالمية
...Show More Authors

كنا ولا نزال نقرأ عن انهيار اسهم بورصة وول ستريت في نيويورك عام 1929 لكننا لم نعايش ذلك الحدث الاقتصادي الكبير، اما الان فإننا نرى ونسمع ونحس بتداعيات هذه الازمة المالية بل الاقتصادية العالمية الحالية.

وهذه الشرارة التي كانت بدأت قبل حوالي 80 عاماً ها هي تعيد نفسها اليوم وتبدأ من نفس المكان- بورصة وول ستريت في نيويورك.

واذا كنا قرأنا عن انهيار نظام برتن- وودز بعد الحرب العالمية الثانية فإننا اليوم نقرأ ونسمع عن انهيار النظام المالي الرأسمالي العالمي الذي يقوده البنك الدولي وصندوق النقد الدولي.

ملخص تداعيات الازمة المالية العالمية

الازمات الاقتصادية والمالية هي ظاهرة ملازمة وعضوية في الاقتصاد الرأسمالي وهي نتاج الدورة الاقتصادية واقسى مرحلة من مراحلها. وعادة ما تبدأ هذه الازمة بإنهيارات حادة في اسواق الاوراق المالية ومنها البورصات، فتهبط اسعار الاوراق المالية ويسارع الافراد في بيع موجوداتهم منها، فتتعطل انشطة بعض الشركات والمصارف وتنخفض ارباحها ويعلن بعضها افلاسه واذا لم تتدخل الحكومة بإجراءات سريعة فإن حالة انعدام الثقة بالاقتصاد تتفاقم وتتوقف انشطة الكثير من المشروعات الانتاجية ويسرح الاف من العمال وبالتالي يدخل الاقتصاد في حالة من الركود التي من مؤشراتها- انخفاض معدلات النمو الاقتصادي وانخفاض الطلب الكلي الاستثماري والاستهلاكي وارتفاع معدلات البطالة وزيادة الاستيرادات للتعويض عن انخفاض حجم العرض المحلي وزيادة العجز في الميزان التجاري والمدفوعات.

ان ما يهمنا هنا في العراق هو انعكاسات هذه الازمة المالية العالمية على اقتصادنا الوطني واول هذه الاثار هو الانخفاض الحاصل في اسعار صادرات النفط مما سيؤثر سلباً على عمليات اعادة البناء وعلى المستوى المعاشي للمواطنين.

ان هذه الازمة تفرض علينا العمل على تخفيف روابط الاعتماد وكذلك الاندماج مع الاقتصاد الرأسمالي والامريكي منه بوجه خاص.

ان سياسة الانفتاح الاقتصادي والتحول السريع الى اقتصاد السوق اثبتت فشلها، لذلك فمن الخطأ الاستسلام لسياسات ونصائح صندوق النقد والبنك الدولي وبدلاً من ذلك ينبغي انتهاج سياسات اقتصادية قائمة على التحليل الاقتصادي العلمي والواقعي المستندة الى اولويات وخطط تنمية وطنية علمية.

ان هذه الازمة المالية العالمية ستدخل الاقتصاد الرأسمالي في ركود طويل بل وربما الى كساد اعظم هو الاول والاقوى من نوعه بعد الكساد العظيم في الثلاثينات من القرن الماضي.

وربما سنشهد في القريب ظهور نظريات اقتصادية جديدة وايضاً تحولات كبرى او اصلاحات هيكلية في النظام الاقتصادي الرأسمالي العالمي ولو بعد حين.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Differential Item Functioning at the scal of mental health
...Show More Authors

At the last years, the interesting of measurement spicilists was increased to study differential item functioning (DIF) wich is reflect the difference of propability true response for test item from subgroups which have equal level of ability . The aims of this research are, inform the DIFat Namers’scale(2009) for mental health to prepare students and detect items that have DIF. Sample research contants (540) students, we use Mantel- Haenzel chi-square to detect DIF. The results are point to there are (26) items have DIF according to gender which are delated form the scale after that.

 

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Mar 19 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Psychological Security of Students in the Kindergarten Department
...Show More Authors

Abstract

The current research aims to identify the psychological security of students in the kindergarten department and identify if there is a significant difference between stage one and stage four students. To do this, the researcher adopted the psychological research scale of (Al-mohamdawi, 2007) that consisted of (30) items. It was administered to (120) female students chosen randomly from the kindergarten department in the college of education for women for the academic year (2029-2021). The results revealed that students in the kindergarten department have psychological security. There is a significant difference between stage one and four students in favor of stage four students.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Apr 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The effect of a counseling program to develop the skills of friendship among introverts children
...Show More Authors

Some children are suffering from introversion in kindergartens , so it must be confront and obviated by specialists because it will inevitably lead to unsatisfactory results reflect negatively on the individual and the community together . And the introvert child is a miserable child incapable of social interaction or give - and - take with colleagues , lack of integration of the child to life leads to the obstruction of  participation with his peers in various activities.     Introversion  causes a real emotional deficit to the children of kindergartens which limits of possibility of their intellectual development and mental growth and that because of their isolation and poor focus in education

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The use of the methods of the lower squares and the smaller squares weighted in the estimation of the parameters and design of the sample acceptance schemesFor general exponential distribution
...Show More Authors

The acceptance sampling plans for generalized exponential distribution, when life time experiment is truncated at a pre-determined time are provided in this article. The two parameters (α, λ), (Scale parameters and Shape parameters) are estimated by LSE, WLSE and the Best Estimator’s for various samples sizes are used to find the ratio of true mean time to a pre-determined, and are used to find the smallest possible sample size required to ensure the producer’s risks, with a pre-fixed probability (1 - P*). The result of estimations and of sampling plans is provided in tables.

Key words: Generalized Exponential Distribution, Acceptance Sampling Plan, and Consumer’s and Producer Risks

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Sep 30 2012
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
He saw a linguistic study, in the Noble Qur’an
...Show More Authors

 

In the name of God, praise be to God, and prayers and peace be upon the best of God’s creation, Muhammad bin Abdullah, and upon his family and companions, and from his family:
And after:
     He saw from verbs that transcend one effect if it is visual and to two effects if it is heart and this action has several strokes and it is an awareness of the sense and illusion and imagination and reason and in addition to that it has many meanings dealt with in the glossary books and as for what the verb included in the audio studies it is the explanation and deletion and slurring The heart of my place. As for what the grammatical studies included, it focuses on one or two effects according to its l

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Educational activities in the role of government nurseries and its relationship to some variables
...Show More Authors

The skill of management educational activities gradually grow with the experience, but they differ from personal skill educator to another, because each style nanny personally and the way to work. There educator and active movement and vitality that look like happiness and clear during the implementation of the activity, and the other runs educational activities quietly, efficiently and without emotion and clear (dry, 2001: p. 274). And the stage of childhood is one of the most important stages that are based upon the future life as a whole because the man also confirmed by the School of analysis psychological is the son of his childhood and the best example to us what the Holy Prophet Muhammad (peace be upon him): (Every child i

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Early marriage for the minors: a phenomenon of family violence against children
...Show More Authors

It is certain that marriage has the favor of the continuity of human kind since the Prophet Adam till now. But this important event is threatened by some justifications which lead to its delay or abandonment. In the West, sexual relations, illegal friendships, and disrespect of marriage sacredness lead to this delay. While the reasons behind the delay of marriage in the Arab world refer to high dowries, women go out to work, and the religious and scientific ignorance of the need and importance of marriage. The problem also differs according to the difference between the rural and urban regions. On one hand, we find that early marriage is a necessity in the rural regions; on the other hand, the delay of marriage is a clear and nat

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Toward a theoretical model of the terrorist personality and differentiation from psychopathic personality
...Show More Authors

The current theoretical research targeted to construct a model of terrorist personality and its differentiation from psychopathic personality . Several assumptions or theories of perspectives of psychopathic personality have been compared with the terrorist personality studies that concerned . The suggested theoretical  model is interrupting the terrorist personality . The conclusions , discussions are mentioned. Finally, recommendation is suggested .

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jan 05 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Keeping the Secret When Spouses
...Show More Authors

    Keeping the secret itself of topics for values ​​are positive attribute of personality traits balanced. Objective of this research study of  Keeping the secret when spouses, the study of the theory based on the research and literature that dealt with the subject study is important to mention that there was no study of one Iraqi addressed the study of  Keeping the secret when spouses.

The researcher found the importance of the study of it's Keeping the secret when spouses. the factors that affect family relationships in terms of the stability of the marital relationship and this is reflected positively on the lives of family and community.

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Middle East and Contemporary Geostrategic Shifts: A Geopolitical Study
...Show More Authors

This research focuses on the contemporary geostrategic transformations that afflicted the countries of the Middle East, with a focus on the countries of the Arab East, after the collapse of the system of international relations, and the emergence of the unipolar system led by the United States of America. After the events of September 11 and the events that followed, especially the occupation of Iraq in 2003, the study area witnessed a group of geopolitical variables and the emergence of dangerous phenomena that threatened the state structure in the countries of the Middle East; the most notably are the phenomenon of terrorism, cross-border armed groups, sectarian polarization, the phenomenon of migration and the internal and the externa

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref