Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1146
تأثير تدفق القروض الخارجية في تحقيق التحولات الهيكلية لاقتصادات بعض دول الاسكوا للمدة (1990 ـ 2002)
...Show More Authors

تتطلب عملية التنمية الاقتصـادية في الدول النامية مبالغ كبيرة من رؤوس الأمـوال اللازمة لتنفيذ البرامج والخطط الاقتصادية، ولما كانت الاسـتثمارات التي تنفذها هذه الدول خلال حقبة معينة، تزيد على ما تم  تحقيقه من موارد مالية محلية، فلابد أنْ يمول الفرق من خلال انسياب صافٍ لرأس المال الأجنبي (قروض ومساعدات) إلى الداخل خلال المدة نفسها، لغـرض سَدّ الفجوة في المـوارد المحلية المعدة للاسـتثمار، وعانت بعض دول الاسكوا (الأردن، مصـر، لبنان، اليمن) كغيرها من الدول النامية وما زالت تعاني من محدودية مـواردها المعدة للاسـتثمار، مما دفعها إلى الاعتماد على رؤوس الأمـوال الأجنبية متمثلةً بالقـروض الخارجـية، لمـواجهة متطلـبات عملـية التنمـية ، فأصبحـت عملية سـداد (الأقسـاط + الفوائد) عبئاً على اقتصـاداتها، وباسـتخدام هذه الأموال تسعى هذه الـدول لتصحيح الاختلالات الهيكلية في اقتصـاداتها، أو تحقيق التحولات الهيكلـية المرغوبة خلال مسيرتها التنموية.

وتُعـد الآثار والتغيرات التي تحدثها تدفـقات القروض الخارجية إلى الدول المضيفة ولا سـيما الدول النامية، موضوعاً جدلياً وشائكاً،  يثير الكثير من التسـاؤلات حول جديتها وإمكانيتها في إحداث التطور والتنمية في الدول المتلقية، وقد اختلفت دراسات الباحثين حول هذا الموضوع في الأسـلوب والنتائج، فبعضهم يؤيد الأثر الإيجابي للقروض الخارجية على النمو الاقتصادي، والبعض الآخر لا يؤيد ذلك.

لذا اهتمت الدراسـة بتسليط الضوء على حجم  تدفق القروض الخارجية لبعض دول الاسكوا (الأردن، مصر، لبنان، اليمن) وما شكلته من أعباء عليها، واسـتقصاء مدى قدرة تدفق هذه القروض على إحداث التحولات الهيكلية المرغوبة في اقتصاداتها.

ولتحقيق ذلك تم اسـتخدام انموذج قياس (Chenery- Taylor)، وبعد إجراء التحويرات عليه، تم تحديد المؤشرات الهيكلية والتي تتمثل بـ:
Y1 : نسبة ناتج القطاع الزراعي إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

Y2  :نسبة ناتج القطاع الصناعي إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

  : Y3نسبة ناتج قطاع الخدمات إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

: Y4  نسبة القوى العاملة في القطاع الزراعي إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

: Y5  نسبة القوى العاملة في القطاع الصناعي إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

: Y6  نسبة القوى العاملة في قطاع الخدمات إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

أما المتغيرات المستقلة المؤثرة فيها فتمثلت بـ:

X1 : نسبة إجمالي القروض الخارجية إلى الناتج القومي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

 X2: نسبة الاستثمار الإجمالي إلى الناتج القومي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

X3 : عدد السكان (بالملايين).

X4 : معدل دخل الفرد من الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الجارية.

X5 : نسبة الصادرات إلى الناتج القومي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).   

X6 : نسبة الاستيرادات إلى الناتج القومي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995). 

Ui : الخطأ العشوائي أو المتغير العشوائي.

وتم اعتماد الأسلوب الكمي التحليلي في البحث بالاستناد إلى بناء النماذج الاقتصادية القياسـية وباسـتخدام أنموذج الانحدار الخطي المتعدد، واستخرجت النتائج بالاعتماد على برنامج (Spss)

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Influence of Nanosilica on Solvent Deasphalting for Upgrading Iraqi Heavy Crude Oil
...Show More Authors

In this study, the upgrading of Iraqi heavy crude oil was achieved utilizing the solvent deasphalting approach (SDA) and enhanced solvent deasphalting (e-SDA) by adding Nanosilica (NS). The NS was synthesized from local sand. The XRD result, referred to as the amorphous phase, has a wide peak at 2Θ= (22 - 23º) The inclusion of hydrogen-bonded silanol groups (Si–O–H) and siloxane groups (Si–O–Si) in the FTIR spectra. The SDA process was handled using n-pentane solvent at various solvent to oil ratios (SOR) (4-16/1ml/g), room and reflux temperature, and 0.5 h mixing time. In the e-SDA process, various fractions of the NS (1–7 wt.%) have been utilized with 61 nm particle size and 560.86 m²/g surface area in the presence of 12 m

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (9)
Crossref (5)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Oct 28 2015
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Interaction of Corrosion-Cumulative Fatigue and Shot Peening of 1100-H12 Aluminum Alloy
...Show More Authors

Abstract

    Corrosion-fatigue occurs by the combined actions of cyclic loading and corrosive environment. The effect of shot peening on cumulative corrosion-fatigue life of 1100-H12 Al alloy was investigated. Before fatigue testing, specimens were submerged in 3.5%NaCl solution for 71 days. Constant fatigue tests were performed with and without corrosive environment. Cumulative corrosion-fatigue tests were also carried out in order to determine the fatigue life before and after shot peening. The constant fatigue life was significantly reduced due to corrosive environment and the endurance fatigue limit was reduced by 13% compared with dry fatigue. In case of shot peening the cumul

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Mar 18 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Effect of CO2 Laser Irradiation on the Topographic and Optical Properties of CdO Thin Films
...Show More Authors

     In this study, cadmium oxide (CdO) was deposited on glass bases by thermal chemical spraying technique at three concentrations (0.05, 0.1, 0.15) M and then was irradiated by CO2 laser with 10.6 μm wave length and 1W power. The results of the atomic force microscope AFM test showed that the surfaces of these CdO thin films were homogenous and that the laser irradiated effect resulted in decreasing the roughness of the surface as well as the heights of the granular peaks, indicating a greater uniformity and homogeneity of the surfaces. The optical properties were studied to determine laser effect. The results of optical tests of these thin films showed that the photoluminescence spectra and absorption s

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (5)
Crossref (2)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Thu May 31 2012
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
An Experimental Study on the Effect of Shape and Location of Vortex Generators Ahead of a Heat Exchanger
...Show More Authors

An experimental study is carried out on the effect of vortex generators (Circular and square) on the flow and heat transfer at variable locations at (X = 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 cm) ahead of a heat exchanger with Reynolds number ranging from 62000< Re < 125000 and heat flux from 3000 ≤ q ≤ 8000 W/m2 .

In the experimental investigation, an apparatus is set up to measure the velocity and temperatures around the heat exchanger.                     

The results show that there is an effect for using vortex generators on heat transfer. Also, heat transfer depends on the shape and location. The circular is found t

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon May 27 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Effect of Using Air Guide Net in Front of the Condenser on the Performance of Automobile Air Conditioning System
...Show More Authors

 

The work of this paper is an investigation to improve the condenser performance of the automobile air conditioning system by enhancing the air-side heat transfer from the condenser through the use of an air guide net installed in front of the condenser face which is basically an aluminum plate having a circular entrance shape for the air passage.  The A/C system was examined under two types of test. The first test was conducted the air guide net, while the second was done with the air guide net. The performances of the A/C system under these tests were compared. For the second type of test, the experiment was carried out with three different size of air guide net, three different circular diameters (2, 3 and 3.5 cm) a

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2021
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Effect of Environmental Factors on the Accuracy of a Quality Inspection System Based on Transfer Learning
...Show More Authors

In this research, a study is introduced on the effect of several environmental factors on the performance of an already constructed quality inspection system, which was designed using a transfer learning approach based on convolutional neural networks. The system comprised two sets of layers, transferred layers set from an already trained model (DenseNet121) and a custom classification layers set. It was designed to discriminate between damaged and undamaged helical gears according to the configuration of the gear regardless to its dimensions, and the model showed good performance discriminating between the two products at ideal conditions of high-resolution images.

So, this study aimed at testing the system performance at poor s

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (1)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Study the Effect of Dielectric Barrier Discharge (DBD) Plasma on the Decomposition of Volatile Organic Compounds
...Show More Authors

Recently, research has focused on non-thermal plasma (NTP) technologies as a way to remove volatile organic compounds from the air stream, due to its distinctive qualities, which include a quick reaction at room temperature. In this work, the properties of the plasma generated by the dielectric barrier discharge (DBD) system and by a glass insulator were studied. Plasma was generated at different voltages (3, 4, 6, 7, 8 kV ) with a fixed distance between the electrodes of 5 mm, and a constant argon gas flow rate of (2.5) I/min. DBD plasma emission spectra were recorded for each voltage. The Boltzmann plot method was used to calculate the electron temperature in the plasma ( ), and the Stark expansion method was used to calculate the elec

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (7)
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Jan 23 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
ESTIMATION OF SOME CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL PROPERTIES USING A WATER TREATMENT UNIT VORTISAND COMPARED TO THEIR CONCENTRATION IN WATER PRODUCED BY TRIDINTINAL DRINKING WATER PROJECTS IN BAGHDAD.: ESTIMATION OF SOME CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL PROPERTIES USING A WATER TREATMENT UNIT VORTISAND COMPARED TO THEIR CONCENTRATION IN WATER PRODUCED BY TRIDINTINAL DRINKING WATER PROJECTS IN BAGHDAD.
...Show More Authors

This study was conducted to determine the ability of water treatment system (Vortisand) to reduce some chemical and physical properties for tigris river raw water, It consisted of turbidity, electrical conductivity, pH, total hardness, calcium Hardness as well as temperature in order to determine the unit`s efficiency for reducing their concentration as compared to those in the water produced by some classical potable water projects (Dora and Wathba) in Baghdad. Samples were collected during the cold months (December 2016 and January 2017) and during the hot months (May and June 2017). The results showed that this system has the ability to reduce some properties such as turbidity, the values were 215NTU in raw water and decreased to NTU

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Mar 15 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Effect of Pioneer Aeromedical Evacuation Program on Flight Medics' Knowledge toward Emergency Casualties at Army Aviation Bases in Iraq
...Show More Authors

Objective(s): The aims of present study to findout the effect of aeromedical evacuation program on flight medics’ knowledge.
Methods: A pre-experimental design is carried in army aviation bases in Iraq, for the period of April 1st 2019 to October 25th 2019. Non-probability "purposive" sample of (30) flight medics are selected from army aviation bases. The questionnaire consisted of two main parts: the demographic characteristics of air paramedics, and the second part included five axes, which are (50) paragraphs related to the knowledge of air paramedics towards emergency injuries. The researcher used the statistical program version 20 to analyze the data, and the stability of the questionnaire was measured through the pre and post

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Oct 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Influence of behavioural implication of information on the selection of accounting methods and their reflection on investor's decisions field study on Iraq stock exchange
...Show More Authors

The research aims to highlight on the behavioural approach in accounting, and clarify the behavioural implications of the main activities of accounting, and clarify the concept of information inductance within the framework of the behavioural approach and its impact on preparing financial statements. And that the impact of financial information on the behaviour of investment decision-makers, and to achieve the goals of the research, the researcher prepared a questionnaire according to Likert five-step scale, and he took into consideration in preparing it in line with the characteristics of the study community, and that the target community for this questionnaire is the investors in the Iraq Stock Exchange. The researcher reached

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref