Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1146
تأثير تدفق القروض الخارجية في تحقيق التحولات الهيكلية لاقتصادات بعض دول الاسكوا للمدة (1990 ـ 2002)
...Show More Authors

تتطلب عملية التنمية الاقتصـادية في الدول النامية مبالغ كبيرة من رؤوس الأمـوال اللازمة لتنفيذ البرامج والخطط الاقتصادية، ولما كانت الاسـتثمارات التي تنفذها هذه الدول خلال حقبة معينة، تزيد على ما تم  تحقيقه من موارد مالية محلية، فلابد أنْ يمول الفرق من خلال انسياب صافٍ لرأس المال الأجنبي (قروض ومساعدات) إلى الداخل خلال المدة نفسها، لغـرض سَدّ الفجوة في المـوارد المحلية المعدة للاسـتثمار، وعانت بعض دول الاسكوا (الأردن، مصـر، لبنان، اليمن) كغيرها من الدول النامية وما زالت تعاني من محدودية مـواردها المعدة للاسـتثمار، مما دفعها إلى الاعتماد على رؤوس الأمـوال الأجنبية متمثلةً بالقـروض الخارجـية، لمـواجهة متطلـبات عملـية التنمـية ، فأصبحـت عملية سـداد (الأقسـاط + الفوائد) عبئاً على اقتصـاداتها، وباسـتخدام هذه الأموال تسعى هذه الـدول لتصحيح الاختلالات الهيكلية في اقتصـاداتها، أو تحقيق التحولات الهيكلـية المرغوبة خلال مسيرتها التنموية.

وتُعـد الآثار والتغيرات التي تحدثها تدفـقات القروض الخارجية إلى الدول المضيفة ولا سـيما الدول النامية، موضوعاً جدلياً وشائكاً،  يثير الكثير من التسـاؤلات حول جديتها وإمكانيتها في إحداث التطور والتنمية في الدول المتلقية، وقد اختلفت دراسات الباحثين حول هذا الموضوع في الأسـلوب والنتائج، فبعضهم يؤيد الأثر الإيجابي للقروض الخارجية على النمو الاقتصادي، والبعض الآخر لا يؤيد ذلك.

لذا اهتمت الدراسـة بتسليط الضوء على حجم  تدفق القروض الخارجية لبعض دول الاسكوا (الأردن، مصر، لبنان، اليمن) وما شكلته من أعباء عليها، واسـتقصاء مدى قدرة تدفق هذه القروض على إحداث التحولات الهيكلية المرغوبة في اقتصاداتها.

ولتحقيق ذلك تم اسـتخدام انموذج قياس (Chenery- Taylor)، وبعد إجراء التحويرات عليه، تم تحديد المؤشرات الهيكلية والتي تتمثل بـ:
Y1 : نسبة ناتج القطاع الزراعي إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

Y2  :نسبة ناتج القطاع الصناعي إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

  : Y3نسبة ناتج قطاع الخدمات إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

: Y4  نسبة القوى العاملة في القطاع الزراعي إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

: Y5  نسبة القوى العاملة في القطاع الصناعي إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

: Y6  نسبة القوى العاملة في قطاع الخدمات إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

أما المتغيرات المستقلة المؤثرة فيها فتمثلت بـ:

X1 : نسبة إجمالي القروض الخارجية إلى الناتج القومي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

 X2: نسبة الاستثمار الإجمالي إلى الناتج القومي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

X3 : عدد السكان (بالملايين).

X4 : معدل دخل الفرد من الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الجارية.

X5 : نسبة الصادرات إلى الناتج القومي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).   

X6 : نسبة الاستيرادات إلى الناتج القومي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995). 

Ui : الخطأ العشوائي أو المتغير العشوائي.

وتم اعتماد الأسلوب الكمي التحليلي في البحث بالاستناد إلى بناء النماذج الاقتصادية القياسـية وباسـتخدام أنموذج الانحدار الخطي المتعدد، واستخرجت النتائج بالاعتماد على برنامج (Spss)

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Jul 01 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of crisis management in achieving banking liquidity: applied research in a sample of Iraqi private banks
...Show More Authors

                     Crises affect the economic growth of the country in general and the banking sector in particular. Given the importance of this sector, it is necessary to evaluate the performance of banks from time to time and monitor the liquidity of each bank and how to organize its management to overcome any crisis or emergency situation that may befall it. The research seeks to diagnose the level of impact of crisis management. In the liquidity of Iraqi private banks, using liquidity indicators, as the research community represents the banks listed in the Iraq Stock Exchange As for the research sample, it is represented by (10) pri

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Apr 12 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring the speed of response of the exported quantity of crude oil to the increase in its prices using the model Impulse Response Functions (IRF) (Iraq case study) for the period (1978-2017)
...Show More Authors

Abstract

     Oil is considered a commodity and is still an important and prominent role in drawing and shaping the Iraqi economic scene. The revenues generated from the export of oil are considered the main source of the general budget in cash flows.  

     Since the revenues consist of quantity and price and the latter is an external factor which is difficult to predict, The effect of any commodity on its price, which is proven in the theory of micro-economic, but it is observed through the research that the response is slow, which means not to take advantage of the rise in prices, by increasing the quantity exported, the result of several facto

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Dec 13 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Causes of maternal death in Mizan Aman and Gebretsadik shawo general hospitals from 2011 – 2015: A case - control study using propensity score matching analysis
...Show More Authors

Objective: To identify causes of maternal death in Mizan Aman and Gebretsadik shawo general hospitals
Methodology: A case control study on 595 charts, 119 cases and 476 controls was conducted in Mizan
Aman & Gebretsadik shawo general hospitals. Data was analyzed by STATA 13.1. Propensity score
matching analysis was used to see causes of maternal death.
Results: Hemorrhage were the main direct causes of maternal death which accounts 47.9% (β =0.58
(95% CI (0.28,0.87)) in hospital but when projected to population based the sample (β =0.26 (95% CI
(0.22,0.31)). Followed by infection 36 (25.21%) (β = 0.50 (95% CI (0.08, 0.92)). when projected to
population based the sample PIH 7.6%) is significant cause (β = 0.16

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Dec 31 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
STUDY OF THE EFFECT OF CHITOSAN EXTRACTED FROM THE MUSHROOM ON THE EXPERIMENTALLY INDUCED HYPERLIPIDEMIA IN MALE RABBITS: STUDY OF THE EFFECT OF CHITOSAN EXTRACTED FROM THE MUSHROOM ON THE EXPERIMENTALLY INDUCED HYPERLIPIDEMIA IN MALE RABBITS
...Show More Authors

The present study aimed to identify the therapeutic evaluation of chitosan extracted from the fungus cushroom and pure chitosan on glucose and lipid profile in the blood of 35 male rabbits with hyperlipidemia induced experimentally by cholesterol. The tests included estimation of glucose levels, total cholesterol, triglycerides, high-density lipoproteins, low-density lipoproteins, and very low-density lipoproteins. hyperlipidemia was induced in the male rabbits used in the study which was administered orally with cholesterol 150mg/kg body weight for a week. rabbits were divided into seven groups: control, cholesterol, pure chitosan, mushroom chitosan, cholesterol and pure chitosan, cholesterol and mushroom chitosan and cholestero

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Aug 20 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
The Influence of No-Core Fiber Length on the Sensitivity in Fiber Optic Strain Sensor
...Show More Authors

The influence of sensing element length of no-core fiber strain sensor has been studied and experimentally demonstrated, four different lengths of 125 μm diameter no-core fiber is fused between two standard single-mode fibers and bi-directionally strained, the highest obtained sensitivity was around 16.37 pm με -1 which was exhibited in the shortest no-core fiber segment, to the best of our knowledge this is the first study of the influence of no-core fiber strain sensors length on sensor sensitivity. The proposed sensor can be used in many opto-mechanical applications such as, structural health monitoring, aerospace vehicles and airplane components monitoring.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Effect of Pre-Tension and Orientation on the Springback Behavior of the Sheet Brass 65-35
...Show More Authors

One of the most important phenomenon that occurs in sheet metal forming processes is the spring-back, which causes several geometrical alterations in the parts. The accurate prediction of springback after bending unloading is the key to the tool design, operation control, and precision estimate concerning the part geometry. This study investigated experimentally the effect of pretension in three rolling direction (0, 90, 45 degree) on the springback behavior of the yellow brass, sheet under V shape bending die. The pre-tension ranges from five different levels starting of 11% to 55% from the total strain in each rolling direction by regular increase of 11 %, then bent on a V-die 90 degree for the springback estimate. From experiment the

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Dec 27 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
The Effect of Restriction Shape On Laminar Natural Convection Heat Transfer In A Vertical Circular Tube
...Show More Authors

Natural convection heat transfer is experimentally investigated for laminar air flow in a vertical circular tube by using the boundary condition of constant wall heat flux in the ranges of (RaL) from (1.1*109) to (4.7*109). The experimental set-up was designed for determining the effect of different types of restrictions placed at entry of heated tube in bottom position, on the surface temperature distribution and on the local and average heat transfer coefficients. The apparatus was made with an electrically heated cylinder of a length (900mm) and diameter (30mm). The entry restrictions were included a circular tube of same diameter as the heated cylinder but with lengths of (60cm, 120cm), sharp-edge and

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Oct 28 2022
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The impact of the US military variable in reality Security in the Arab Gulf region after 2003
...Show More Authors

The military presence in the Gulf region after the British withdrawal from it in 1971 was one of the most important pillars of the American strategy to climb the ladder of global leadership, as the geostrategic features that the region enjoyed provided factors of controlling energy sources and global trade routes. The United States of America guarantees Western Europe and Japan the process of access to energy sources and the exclusion of its opponents from the region, especially the Soviet Union, and the growing American military presence in the Gulf after the invasion of Iraq in 2003. On the other hand, the region experiences many contradictions, some of which threaten its security, such as the exacerbation of disputes between its count

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The effect of Layout in measuring customer satisfaction (patients) using (Servicescape) model
...Show More Authors

Abstract:

This research aims to identify the impact of the Layout Ghazi al-Hariri hospital for surgery specialist on customer satisfaction (patients) using the model (Servicescape), the problem of the research represented in the extent to which the hospital management design of the service and Layout hospital aesthetic and functional aspects that fit patients for therapeutic and nursing services , and used the developer scale by (Miles et al., 2012) for data collection, which includes the independent variable in (17) items distributed in three dimensions (Facility aesthetics , hospital cleanliness, and the Layout accessibility ) The dependent variable is the satisfaction of customers (pat

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of the strengths and weaknesses in Iraqi newspapers: The evolution of the consumer - the reader
...Show More Authors

The first section of this research discussed  the manner of the research from many sides like the problem it faces, importance of it , its targets ,boundaries, the way to collect and get information's and its assumption.

When the second chapter discussed the press – manufacturing and the development ,importance and types of newspapers, also its merits and weaknesses.

The third chapter talked about the scientific side and how to choose an assumption for the research . as it talked also about the apparent honest and stability tests that help in analyzing the research until getting results and so the right assumption for  the research will be chosen.

And finally, the fourth chapter put highlight on the be

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF