Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1146
تأثير تدفق القروض الخارجية في تحقيق التحولات الهيكلية لاقتصادات بعض دول الاسكوا للمدة (1990 ـ 2002)
...Show More Authors

تتطلب عملية التنمية الاقتصـادية في الدول النامية مبالغ كبيرة من رؤوس الأمـوال اللازمة لتنفيذ البرامج والخطط الاقتصادية، ولما كانت الاسـتثمارات التي تنفذها هذه الدول خلال حقبة معينة، تزيد على ما تم  تحقيقه من موارد مالية محلية، فلابد أنْ يمول الفرق من خلال انسياب صافٍ لرأس المال الأجنبي (قروض ومساعدات) إلى الداخل خلال المدة نفسها، لغـرض سَدّ الفجوة في المـوارد المحلية المعدة للاسـتثمار، وعانت بعض دول الاسكوا (الأردن، مصـر، لبنان، اليمن) كغيرها من الدول النامية وما زالت تعاني من محدودية مـواردها المعدة للاسـتثمار، مما دفعها إلى الاعتماد على رؤوس الأمـوال الأجنبية متمثلةً بالقـروض الخارجـية، لمـواجهة متطلـبات عملـية التنمـية ، فأصبحـت عملية سـداد (الأقسـاط + الفوائد) عبئاً على اقتصـاداتها، وباسـتخدام هذه الأموال تسعى هذه الـدول لتصحيح الاختلالات الهيكلية في اقتصـاداتها، أو تحقيق التحولات الهيكلـية المرغوبة خلال مسيرتها التنموية.

وتُعـد الآثار والتغيرات التي تحدثها تدفـقات القروض الخارجية إلى الدول المضيفة ولا سـيما الدول النامية، موضوعاً جدلياً وشائكاً،  يثير الكثير من التسـاؤلات حول جديتها وإمكانيتها في إحداث التطور والتنمية في الدول المتلقية، وقد اختلفت دراسات الباحثين حول هذا الموضوع في الأسـلوب والنتائج، فبعضهم يؤيد الأثر الإيجابي للقروض الخارجية على النمو الاقتصادي، والبعض الآخر لا يؤيد ذلك.

لذا اهتمت الدراسـة بتسليط الضوء على حجم  تدفق القروض الخارجية لبعض دول الاسكوا (الأردن، مصر، لبنان، اليمن) وما شكلته من أعباء عليها، واسـتقصاء مدى قدرة تدفق هذه القروض على إحداث التحولات الهيكلية المرغوبة في اقتصاداتها.

ولتحقيق ذلك تم اسـتخدام انموذج قياس (Chenery- Taylor)، وبعد إجراء التحويرات عليه، تم تحديد المؤشرات الهيكلية والتي تتمثل بـ:
Y1 : نسبة ناتج القطاع الزراعي إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

Y2  :نسبة ناتج القطاع الصناعي إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

  : Y3نسبة ناتج قطاع الخدمات إلى الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

: Y4  نسبة القوى العاملة في القطاع الزراعي إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

: Y5  نسبة القوى العاملة في القطاع الصناعي إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

: Y6  نسبة القوى العاملة في قطاع الخدمات إلى إجمالي القوى العاملة.

أما المتغيرات المستقلة المؤثرة فيها فتمثلت بـ:

X1 : نسبة إجمالي القروض الخارجية إلى الناتج القومي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

 X2: نسبة الاستثمار الإجمالي إلى الناتج القومي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).

X3 : عدد السكان (بالملايين).

X4 : معدل دخل الفرد من الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بالأسعار الجارية.

X5 : نسبة الصادرات إلى الناتج القومي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995).   

X6 : نسبة الاستيرادات إلى الناتج القومي الإجمالي بالأسعار الثابتة لعام (1995). 

Ui : الخطأ العشوائي أو المتغير العشوائي.

وتم اعتماد الأسلوب الكمي التحليلي في البحث بالاستناد إلى بناء النماذج الاقتصادية القياسـية وباسـتخدام أنموذج الانحدار الخطي المتعدد، واستخرجت النتائج بالاعتماد على برنامج (Spss)

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
المستخلص ان استخدام الموارد الاقتصادية التي يتمتع العراق بها ولاسيما الموارد النفطية ، التي تشكل المصدر الاساس للعوائد المالية ، من شأنه ان يزيد الفائض الاقتصادي خارج القطاع النفطي من خلال تعبئة وتحشيد القوى العاملة وتحويلها الى أصول رأسمالية ، كان
...Show More Authors

     The use of economic resources enjoyed Iraq by especially oil resources, which constitute the main source of financial revenue, would the economic surplus outside the oil sector increases by mobilizing and rallying the labor power and turn it into an access capitalism, , was the cause of "the inaction of the productive sectors of the economy, made the investment planning process and even investment in human capital was not rationality with the increasing number of unemployed, particularly certificates and specializations high campaign, direction of the government towards market liberalism after 2003 through the, was focused not follow a clear economic policies, and the absence of planning, and the absence

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Determinants of Total Factor Productivity Growth: an Analytical Study of a Cross Section of Countries for the Period (2003-2016)
...Show More Authors

            This study tests the effect of a large number of independent variables that control the growth of the total productivity, which amounted to 112 variables, gathered from what is mentioned in the specialized theoretical and applied literature. The data for these variables were taken from global reports of sound international organizations and reliable databases covering the period 1991-2016. The data of the dependent variable, the growth of the total factor productivity, were taken from the database of the world development indicators. The study covered 61 countries for which data were available. The study included three regression models to explain

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Feb 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Samples of Al Samarqandi’s Selection in some of Washing Laws and the touch of the Grecians Quran in his book (The scholars’ Masterpiece)
...Show More Authors

The Research is interested in the detailed comparative study of certain selection of
Imam Alsamarqandi in some subjects of washing and touching the Gracious Quran.
The value of this study is that it is related to one aspect of the duties obliged on Muslim
like parity.
The study has tried to collect certain scholars’ opinions of eight doctrines with the
selection of Alsamarqandi to make a comp arson between them and to show how
Alsamarqandi is able to create legal laws from his sources to lead the researchers nto have
knowledge about the syllabi of the famous scientists.
Finally we ask God to bless to what is right and to accept this study and make it part of
our good deeds, Ameen.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jul 02 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
A study and Evaluation of some of the variables in the Stubborn Child behavior in eating his food Between the ages of 3 to 6 years
...Show More Authors

The child realize that the meals time provide golden opportunities to get the attention the child needs. However, many difficulties that may appear about eating food can be avoided, if the family used the right way in dealing with this problem. The study aims, in this case, at searching for the reasons that lies behind the child's obstinacy in eating his food and the attempt to study some variables that is related to the research topic.

The results are summed up as follows:

 

  • The number of the sample children is 3 of both sexes between the ages of 3 to 6 years

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Coverage of Health Topics in Iraqi Press An analytical Study of Two Newspapers entitled 'al-Sabah and al-Mada' from January 1, 2007 to October 31, 2001
...Show More Authors

The current study aims to cover  the health topics  in the Iraqi  journalism ,  to know  the concern 's level  of the Iraqi journalism  when  covering  the health subjects and to know the size of its performance  under the diversity of  visual and audio medias. The researcher has discussed his research by wording it with a set of inquiries   that should be answered via the research and study.  He could have determined that by the following:

What is the concern's level of Iraqi journalism over the health subjects?  What are the forms and press arts that are functionalized by the Iraqi journalism as to get the health message to the republics?  What is t

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
‏Framing war against ISIS in New York Times/ from 10/17/2016 to 4/16/2017
...Show More Authors

The research is aimed at investigating how the New York Times framed the war against ISIS in its news coverage and which news sources it adopted while reporting on this war.
‏ The research could be classified under descriptive researches. The survey methodology has been adopted and the content analysis has been used. The research sample consists of all the news stories the New York Times have published about the war against ISIS from 10/17/2016 to 4/16/2017 according to the comprehensive sampling method. The number of news stories that were analyzed was (155) news story. The research tool was (coding scheme).
The research has reached the following conclusions:
‏ 1. In its news coverage of the war against ISIS, the New York T

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (2)
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring and analyzing the relationship between the fiscal policy indicators and the bank stability index in Iraq for the period 2010-2016 using the ARDL model.
...Show More Authors

The importance of this research is to clarify the nature and the relationship between the indicators of financial policy and banking stability in Iraq, as well as to find a composite index reflects the state of banking stability in Iraq in order to provide an appropriate means to help policymakers in making appropriate decisions before the occurrence of financial crises.

     Hence, the problem of research is that the fiscal policy has implications for the macro economy and does not rule out its impact on banking stability. Moreover, the central bank does not possess a single indicator that reflects the stability of the banking system, rather than the scattered indicators that depend o

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Employing Statistical Analysis in Public Relations Researches: (An Analytical Study of the Theses and Dissertations of Public Relations for the Period from 2005 to 2012)
...Show More Authors

 

Public relations are amongst the social sciences that rely on scientific methods in achieving new knowledge or resolving existing problems by means of its scientific researches that are often applied and require a classification in terms of their results’ analysis. It also requires subtle statistical processes whether in constructing their material or in analyzing and interpreting their results.

This research seeks to identify the relation between public relations and statistics, and the significance a researcher or practitioner in the domain of public relations should assign to statistics being one of the important criteria in identifying the accuracy and object

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Mar 14 2016
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
Determine the chemical content of Bay (Laurus nobilis L.) leaves extract and its effectivenss against some bacterial species: Determine the chemical content of Bay (Laurus nobilis L.) leaves extract and its effectivenss against some bacterial species
...Show More Authors

This study has been performed to study the inhibitory effects of crude plant extracts of Bay (laurus nobilis) leaves against some bacterial isolates represented by Staphylococcus aureus, Staphylococcus epidermids, Proteus vulgaris, Bacillus subtilis, Escherichia coli, and Pseudomonas aeroginosa in vitro. The results showed that percentages of essential chemical of laurus nobilis leaves which represented by moisture, total oil, total ash, crude protein, crude fibers, carbohydrites and caloric values in dry weight are 5.96, 4.28, 14.2, 8.75, 24.8, 76.99%, and 284.92 kcal/100g respectively, the percentages of some major and minor mineral elements of laurus nobilis leaves powder which represented by Mg, Fe, Cu, Pb, Cd and As, are: 0.211, 0.1

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Sep 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Analysis of Grammatical Forms and Semantic Functions of Hedging in Political Discourse: American Presidential Debate: تحلیل نماذج نحویة ذات وظائف دلالیة مستعملة في الخطاب السیاسي بوصفھ اسلوباً تحوطیاً: المناظرة الرئاسیة الاولى في الانتخابات الامریكیة
...Show More Authors

Hedging is a linguistic avoidance of full commitment or precision. It is the use of a vague language. The main objectives of this study are to

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF