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Predicting the financial distress of companies using logistic regression and its impact on earnings per share in companies listed on the Iraqi Stock Exchange: Predicting the financial distress of companies using logistic regression and its impact on earnings per share in companies listed on the Iraqi Stock Exchange
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Abstract

The prevention of bankruptcy not only prolongs the economic life of the company and increases its financial performance, but also helps to improve the general economic well-being of the country. Therefore, forecasting the financial shortfall can affect various factors and affect different aspects of the company, including dividends. In this regard, this study examines the prediction of the financial deficit of companies that use the logistic regression method and its impact on the earnings per share of companies listed on the Iraqi Stock Exchange. The time period of the research is from 2015 to 2020, where 33 companies that were accepted in the Iraqi Stock Exchange were selected as a sample, and the research hypotheses were tested using normal least squares regression and logistic regression. The results of testing the first hypothesis of the research indicated that the results of the unidirectional logistic regression from Baytree indicated the confirmation of this hypothesis and it can be said with confidence that by combining accounting and market information, a suitable model can be used to predict the financial distress of accepted companies offered on the Iraqi Stock Exchange. The results of the second hypothesis of the research also showed that earnings per share is a predictor of financial deficit. Firms that predict fiscal deficit try to show lower earnings per share and try to be honest and by accurate prediction of earnings per share according to signal theory, they gain the trust of shareholders and creditors and assure that the company is trying to find a suitable solution for the current issue and other issues that may take place in the future.

Keywords: Predicting financial distress, logistic regression, earnings per share

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Impact of Human Capital on Stratigic agility " Field Study in Jordan tourist companies"
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The research aims to identify the degree of the availability of knowledge, skill and ability as components of human capital, in addition to stand at the level of strategic agility upon tourism and travel agencies company of Jordan, the impact of human capital on strategic agility has been tested through distribution of a questionnaire on a Randomly Sample from Workers in Jordan tourist Companies of (349),a number of statistics techinces have been used simple liner Regrision and Multiplayer regession, it has shown that the degree of knowledge, ability and skill availability was high, and the same applies on strategic agility components, and shown out that there is a statistically significant impact between human capital and strate

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Publication Date
Wed May 28 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Administration And Economics
Bayesian Method in Classification Regression Tree to estimate nonparametric additive model compared with Logistic Model with Application
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The use of Bayesian approach has the promise of features indicative of regression analysis model classification tree to take advantage of the above information by, and ensemble trees for explanatory variables are all together and at every stage on the other. In addition to obtaining the subsequent information at each node in the construction of these classification tree. Although bayesian estimates is generally accurate, but it seems that the logistic model is still a good competitor in the field of binary responses through its flexibility and mathematical representation. So is the use of three research methods data processing is carried out, namely: logistic model, and model classification regression tree, and bayesian regression tree mode

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 25 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Planning and implementation of the audit process by using the styles of time management and its impact on the quality of the audit process: Applied Research in the Federal Board of Supreme Audit
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Witnessing the global arena many changes in the political, economic, social, scientific and technological have left their mark on the world as a whole, these changes require necessarily Advancement of the profession of auditing, and improve their performance, especially after the mixer skepticism the health of approach and the method followed by a check in the major audit firms global view as for the external audit of an active role in providing services to members of the community in various sectors, were to be provide these services to the highest level of quality.To ensure the quality of the audit process to be a proper planning is based on a scientific basis to be the substrate a strong underlying different audit works, and if planni

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 16 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Security and confidentiality of information and its impact on the competitive performance of insurance companies: A prospective study for the Iraq insurance company and ALhamraa Insurance company (private)
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The security of information represent the available  protection of  information and its component and guaranty the its safety and confidentiality. The absent or lack or stop of security of information and without maximum benefit may lead to lose confidence and make it burden on the company. So we must protect the company and information from the damages which may lead to the frailer of performance and loses of the company and its workers. So the security of information considered one of the potential  and controlling basis to protect individuals and companies from the damages. To insure the security  and confidentiality of information there are delicate,  proper and trusted ways, like FIRE WALL, PASS WORD, SYPHAR

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Impact of Earnings Quality using the Sustainability model (Persistence) and predictability in the Continuity of the Banks: بحث تطبيقي في عينة من المصارف التجارية المدرجة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية
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The research aims to measure the extent of the impact of Earnings quality in the continuity of the company for a sample of private commercial banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. The research sample included (15) of the listed commercial banks that continue to issue their financial statements for the period from (2009-2018).The research relied on three main models of measurement and on four steps. The first step is to measure the Persistence (Earnings Quality) by Depending the sustainability model. While the second step included measuring the Predictability of accounting profits by deriving the square root of the disparity of the estimation error from the first model Persistence (Earnings Quality), and the third step included

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Marketing communications integration and its impact on the marketing performance of a number of communications companies dimensions
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The research study and analysis of the integration of marketing communications and their impact on the marketing performance of a number of telecom companies, as included in the research problem to know the role of marketing communications community in achieving sales and market share, profitability and customer satisfaction. The importance of research begins to be the right choice for the elements of marketing communications, lead to savings in time, effort and money and create a more idea about the effectiveness of the application of the concept of integration. The research to determine the role of marketing communications in promoting the integration of the marketing performance of companies in the field of sales and marke

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Intellectual Capital And Its Revenues On The Investment Applied Research On Sample of Banks Listed on In The Iraq Stocks Exchange
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Abstract

      The changes that happened in the environment of  business have great effects upon organizations with different activities specially the banks  which requires the existence of an able opinion  resources can adapt with the changes . Accordingly importance put upon  intellectual  capital which become one of the basic resources for organizations and one of success and growth elements with the availability of expertise , skills and capability of making  essential changes in different process due to the presentation of innovations and creations of the to support banks activities .Therefore the intellectual  capital represents the more r

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Evaluating The Performance of Public Companies in The Light of Financial Indicators Case study of the General Company for Drugs and Medical Supplies/ Samarra – Iraq For the period (2014-2019)
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The research aimed to evaluate the financial performance of the Public Company for the manufacture of medicines and medical supplies / Samarra - Iraq to know the strengths and weaknesses that affect its performance, as well as to compare its performance in the years between (2017-2019), which are characterized by security stability with its performance in previous years (2014 -2016) which is characterized by security instability, to assess the extent of its ability to achieve growth in performance, by answering the main question, what is the evaluation of the performance of the Public Company for the manufacture of medicines and medical supplies / Samarra - Iraq in the light of financial indicators?

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The use of the Principal components and Partial least squares methods to estimate the parameters of the logistic regression model in the case of linear multiplication problem
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Abstract

  The logistic regression model is one of the nonlinear models that aims at obtaining highly efficient capabilities, It also the researcher an idea of the effect of the explanatory variable on the binary response variable.                                                                                  &nb

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Using the Sherrod model in predicting financial failure in Iraqi private banks: an applied study in the Iraqi commercial and Iraqi Islamic banks
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Abstract:

              The phenomenon of financial failure is one of the phenomena that requires special attention and in-depth study due to its significant impact on various parties, whether they are internal or external and those who benefit from financial performance reports. With the increase in cases of bankruptcy and default facing companies and banks, interest has increased in understanding the reasons that led to this financial failure. This growing interest should be a reason to develop models and analytical methods that help in the early detection of this increasing phenomenon in recent year   . The research examines the use of

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