The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traff

In life in general and in the press, especially the success of a particular message depends heavily shipments carried by, and images idyllic suggestive, how many meanings that reaching an audience, and is the magazines and one of those media that target a broad audience, trying to please Him and the acquisition of his attention through a form of aesthetic granted pleasure and satisfaction from this point of view, read image ad as Date pure incident of everyday life, and here was placed this research about the aesthetic image advertising in the covers of women's magazines, which has been briefing them through the Four Seasons included in the search, was the first chapter Batarh systematic talked about problem Find the placing on the form

Color is one of the most important elements involved and contributing mainly to designs and visual works, whether they are fixed or mobile, for internal spaces through what color gives it the possibilities on the physical and intellectual level, if the process is linked to the functional performance or the aesthetic value, which is thus included within the system of processors and basic works in Designing the interior spaces and highlighting the functional and aesthetic aspects of them through the executed designs that are linked to certain techniques and mechanisms. Therefore, they are processed according to the references and pressure structures or the creation and modern dealing with materials and designs to implement operations in hi

This paper deals with the role of the clergy in the Church and artists in the emergence of this art, which is represented by an atmosphere of spiritual, aesthetic, artistic, technical and engineering very magnificence and is located in two Find.Chapter One: the stages of stained glass in the Middle AgesThe Architects Goths to get rid of the walls gradually, based Baloctav plane, columns and beams strengthened with the vehicle, as previously mentioned, making the building looks like a glass of excessive use of colored windows building, this art has been known to the art of stained glass And the second chapter: the stages of stained glass in the Middle Ages Department of Winston (Winston) works of stained glass since its inception in the t

This research aims to study to the strategic management of organizational conflict, which included (concept of conflict and development, types Altzimi conflict, ,management strategies organizational conflict) and its impact on job performance, which included( the concept of performance, elements functionality,) As well as the impact of the conflict on job performance has been selected Rashad training Hospital affiliated to the Department of Health in Baghdad's Rusafa, as the most important service hospitals with the exact specialty in psychiatry and its impact on the lives of citizens and how to enable the hospital aware of the strategic management of organizational conflict raises the level of functionality provided and make the

The purpose of this research is to a treatment the impact of Views outliers to the estimators of a distributed arrival and service to the theory of queues and estimate the distribution parameters depending on the robust estimators, and when he was outliers greatest impact in the process of estimating the both distributions mentioned parameters, it was necessary to use way to test that does these data contain abnormal values ​​or not? it was used the method ( Tukey ) for this purpose and is of the most popular ways to discover the outliers , it shows that there are views abnormal (outliers ) in the estimators of each of the distributional arrival and service, which have a significant impact on the calculation of these estimato

Traditional programs and the tedious and financially costly processes they require are no longer the best choice for content makers. The continuous development and development have led to the emergence of competitive software that offers capabilities that are more suitable for aesthetic needs, as it breaks down stereotypical frameworks from the familiar to the unfamiliar to be more suitable for graphic subjects in terms of dealing with the requirements of the digital content industry. Video for communication platforms, as it has more advantages than traditional software and the flexibility and high quality it offers at the level of the final product, All of this contributed to supplementing the image with aesthetic employments with data

With a descriptive and analytical approach, it discusses the concept of phenomenology as an approach to seeing the aesthetics of ugliness as one of the concepts associated with the aesthetic experience in contemporary art designs, as it is the result of communication between artistic production and the recipient, which leads to creating a state of aesthetic pleasure. A phenomenological method is used to uncover the aesthetics of ugly and to connect ugliness and beauty since ugliness in aesthetics incorporates beauty as a modern aesthetic vision from the phenomenological perspective. The study investigated aesthetics as a phenomenon of perception, sensory knowledge, and the aesthetic response to the production of designs in contemporary a

 The aim of this research is to identify the extent to which the Conventional and Islamic banks are committed to implement the requirements of the corporate governance in its financial reports. In addition to its commitment to transparency and clarity in dealing with the shareholders and stockholders to protect their interests and to determine the impact of the commitment of the corporate governance on assessing the financial performance of the conventional and Islamic banks that participate in Bahrain Stock Exchange.

       The aim of the research is to show the extent of the impact of administrative coordination on municipal performance after the state’s tendency to implement administrative decentralization and transfer of powers (administrative, legal, financial, and technical) from the Federal Ministry (construction, housing, municipalities, and public works) to local governments (governorates), to meet local needs, And since the municipality is considered one of the local administrative institutions and most of its goal is to provide increased municipal services to citizens due to population growth and urban expansion of cities by coordinating their actions using their powers, and in order to address gaps i