Preferred Language
Articles
/
ijs-7348
Spatio-Temporal Mixture Model for Identifying Risk Levels of COVID-19 Pandemic in Iraq
...Show More Authors

     This paper focuses on choosing a spatial mixture model with implicitly includes the time to represent the relative risks of COVID-19 pandemic using an appropriate model selection criterion. For this purpose, a more recent criterion so-called the widely Akaike information criterion (WAIC) is used which we believe that its use so limitedly in the context of relative risk modelling. In addition, a graphical method is adopted that is based on a spatial-temporal predictive posterior distribution to select the best model yielding the best predictive accuracy. By applying this model selection criterion, we seek to identify the levels of relative risk, which implicitly represents the determination of the number of the model components of all regions over independent time periods. The estimation of parameters and the model selection are both performed in a Bayesian framework. Also, the means of estimated relative risk for the selected mixture model are mapped to give a clearer picture of distributing the disease risks in each district.

Scopus Crossref
View Publication
Publication Date
Thu Apr 06 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Emerging Technologies In Learning (ijet)
The Impact of a Scenario-Based Learning Model in Mathematics Achievement and Mental Motivation for High School Students
...Show More Authors

Crossref (3)
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jan 15 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
The effect of the Perkins-Blyth model on learning some compound skills in soccer for second intermediate students
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Publication Date
Fri Aug 01 2014
Journal Name
Int. J. Mod. Eng. Res
Exact solutions for MHD flow of a viscoelastic fluid with the fractional Burgers’ model in an annular pipe
...Show More Authors

This paper presents an analytical study for the magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) flow of a generalized Burgers’ fluid in an annular pipe. Closed from solutions for velocity is obtained by using finite Hankel transform and discrete Laplace transform of the sequential fractional derivatives. Finally, the figures are plotted to show the effects of different parameters on the velocity profile.

View Publication
Publication Date
Sun Jul 17 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Post-interactive communication A study to build a model for the flow of communication in social networking sites
...Show More Authors

The issue of the research lies in the non-representation of the models developed for the communication process in the interaction and networking processes through social media, as the research sought to build a network model of communication according to the specific data and features of social media platforms in order to reach a special generalization to understand how the process of networking operates in cyberspace.

The researcher followed the analytical survey approach as she described the communication models outwardly in order to be able to build a networked communication model that represents the flow of post-reactive communication. Therefore, it has been named "Nebula - Sadeem" after the concept of post-space and cosmic g

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (2)
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Biotechnology
Association among family history and some microbial infectious ( Helicobacter pylori IgG and Hepatitis B and C Virus) as Risk Factors for Atherosclerosis in Iraqi Patients
...Show More Authors

Certain bacterial and viral infectious agents may play a role in the activation of inflammation in atherosclerosis lesions. Epidemiological studies indicate that infectious agents may predispose patients to atherosclerosis as Infections have been associated with an increased risk of this disease. Moreover, a positive antibody status has been detected against some infectious organisms associated with atherosclerotic rupture. Infectious agents found in human atheroma, which may directly cause or accelerate atherosclerosis , include many pathogens but the present study focused on Helicobacter pylori, hepatitis B virus surface antigen and C. In order to evaluate the possible association between H. pylori, HBV, and HCV infections and the risk of

... Show More
Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2022
Journal Name
Results In Engineering
Predictive model for stress at ultimate in internally unbonded steel tendons based on genetic expression programming
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Crossref (9)
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Dec 25 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
A new Cumulative Damage Model for Fatigue Life Prediction under Shot Peening Treatment
...Show More Authors

 Abstract

In this paper, fatigue damage accumulation were studied using many methods i.e.Corton-Dalon (CD),Corton-Dalon-Marsh(CDM), new non-linear model and experimental method. The prediction of fatigue lifetimes based on the two classical methods, Corton-Dalon (CD)andCorton-Dalon-Marsh (CDM), are uneconomic and non-conservative respectively. However satisfactory predictions were obtained by applying the proposed non-linear model (present model) for medium carbon steel compared with experimental work. Many shortcomings of the two classical methods are related to their inability to take into account the surface treatment effect as shot peening. It is clear that the new model shows that a much better and cons

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
International Journal Of Agricultural And Statistical Sciences
A noval SVR estimation of figarch modal and forecasting for white oil data in Iraq
...Show More Authors

The purpose of this paper is to model and forecast the white oil during the period (2012-2019) using volatility GARCH-class. After showing that squared returns of white oil have a significant long memory in the volatility, the return series based on fractional GARCH models are estimated and forecasted for the mean and volatility by quasi maximum likelihood QML as a traditional method. While the competition includes machine learning approaches using Support Vector Regression (SVR). Results showed that the best appropriate model among many other models to forecast the volatility, depending on the lowest value of Akaike information criterion and Schwartz information criterion, also the parameters must be significant. In addition, the residuals

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus
Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Spatial Regression Models Estimation for the poverty Rates In the districts of Iraq in 2012
...Show More Authors

The research took the spatial autoregressive model: SAR and spatial error model: SEM  in an attempt to provide practical evidence that proves the importance of spatial analysis, with a particular focus on the importance of using regression models spatial and that includes all of the spatial dependence, which we can test its presence or not by using Moran test. While ignoring this dependency may lead to the loss of important information about the phenomenon under research is reflected in the end on the strength of the statistical estimation power, as these models are the link between the usual regression models with time-series models. The spatial analysis had been applied to Iraq Household Socio-Economic Survey: IHS

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Feb 08 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Palynological Study for the Species of the Genus Echinops L. (compositae) in Iraq
...Show More Authors

The paper comprise comparative palynological study of (11) species belong to the genus Echinops L. in Iraq i.e( E.armatus Boiss. & Hausskn ، E.bicolor Nabelek. ، E.cephalotes DC., E.haussknetchii Boiss. ، E.mosulensis ، Rech. ،
E.nitens Bornm. ، E.orientalis Trautv., E.parviflorous BOISS & BUHSE ،
E.spinossisms Turra . ، E.tenuisectus Rech. ، E.viscosus DC.، Pollen grain were found to be Tricolporate and with spherical shaped ,in polar view the grain found to be Interangular , while in equatorial view the grain found to be ellipsoid .

View Publication Preview PDF