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Predicting Student Dropout with Minimal Information

 

Student dropout is a problem for both students and universities. However, in the crises that Lebanon is going through, it is becoming a serious financial problem for Lebanese private universities. To try to minimize it, it must be predicted in order to implement the appropriate actions. In this paper, a method to build the appropriate prediction system is presented. First, it generates a data source of predictor variables from student dataset collected from a faculty of economic sciences in Beirut between 2010 and 2020. Then, it will build a prediction model using data classification techniques based on identified predictor variables and validate it. Using open-source software and free cloud environments, a prediction program was developed. It consolidates, corrects, and normalizes the student's data. Then, it applies simple linear regression to show the correlation between the different variables and the student dropout, which allows us to select the factors that are highly correlated. From this point on, the program tries to predict the student dropout using different classification algorithms by machine learning on student dataset who left their courses either in success or in failure. Lastly, it measures the accuracy of the results and determines the best algorithm. In this study, the Artificial Neural Networks - Multilayer Perceptron showed an accuracy of 98.1% using only five variables. Finally, we evoke new avenues to further research and improve the model.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
A Numerical Study for Solving the Systems of Fuzzy Fredholm Integral Equations of the Second Kind Using the Adomian Decomposition Method

     In this paper, the Adomian decomposition method (ADM) is successfully applied to find the approximate solutions for the system of fuzzy Fredholm integral equations (SFFIEs) and we also study the convergence of the technique. A consistent way to reduce the size of the computation is given to reach the exact solution. One of the best methods adopted to determine the behavior of the approximate solutions. Finally, the problems that have been addressed confirm the validity of the method  applied in this research using a comparison by combining numerical methods such as the Trapezoidal rule and Simpson rule with ADM.

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The ability of solving a mathematical problem and its relation to system thinking among fifth preparatory students

The research seeks to examine the ability of fifth preparatory students in solving a mathematical problem in relation to system thinking. To this end, the researcher chose (140) fifth preparatory students from four-different secondary schools in Kirkuk city for the academic year (2016-2017). Two tests were adopted to collect study data: a test of (5) items about skills in solving math problem designed by (Al-raihan, 2006); and a test of system thinking skills designed by the researcher himself consisted of (14) items. It was divided into four skills (analyzing the main system to subsystems, eliminating all inner gaps of system, identifying the inner connection of system, and reorganizing the system). The findings indicated a good ability

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 08 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Generation Contour Lines from Digital Elevation Model (1m) for AL-khamisah, Thi-Qar Government

The DEM (Digital elevation model) means that the topography of the earth's surface (such as; Terrain relief and ocean floors), can be described mathematically by elevations as functions of three positions either in geographical coordinates, (Lat. Long. System) or in rectangular coordinates systems (X, Y, Z). Therefore, a DEM is an array number that represents spatial distributions of terrain characteristics. In this paper, the contour lines with different interval of high-resolution digital elevation model (1m) for AL-khamisah, The Qar Government was obtained. The altitudes ranging is between 1 m – 8.5 m, so characterized by varying heights within a small spatial region because it represents in multiple spots with flat surfaces.

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 08 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Hybrid Fuzzy Logic and Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm for Intrusion Detection and Classification

In recent years, with the growing size and the importance of computer networks, it is very necessary to provide adequate protection for users data from snooping through the use of one of the protection techniques: encryption, firewall and intrusion detection systems etc. Intrusion detection systems is considered one of the most important components in the computer networks that deal with Network security problems. In this research, we suggested the intrusion detection and classification system through merging Fuzzy logic and Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm. Fuzzy logic has been used to build a classifier which has the ability to distinguish between the behavior of the normal user and behavior of the intruder. The artificial bee colony al

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Publication Date
Thu May 14 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
Cities of Lebanon from "Planning to Congestion Towards a "flexible mobility culture

This paper examines the change in planning pattern In Lebanon, which relies on vehicles as a semi-single mode of transport, and directing it towards re-shaping the city and introducing concepts of "smooth or flexible" mobility in its schemes; the concept of a "compact city" with an infrastructure based on a flexible mobility culture. Taking into consideration environmental, economical and health risks of the existing model, the paper focuses on the four foundations of the concepts of "city based on culture flexible mobility, "and provides a SWOT analysis to encourage for a shift in the planning methodology.

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 20 2023
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Constraints Optimal Classical Continuous Control Vector Problem for Quaternary Nonlinear Hyperbolic System

This paper is concerned with the quaternary nonlinear hyperbolic boundary value problem (QNLHBVP) studding constraints quaternary optimal classical continuous control vector (CQOCCCV), the cost function (CF), and the equality and inequality quaternary state and control constraints vector (EIQSCCV). The existence of a CQOCCCV dominating by the QNLHBVP is stated and demonstrated using the Aubin compactness theorem (ACTH) under appropriate hypotheses (HYPs). Furthermore, mathematical formulation of the quaternary adjoint equations (QAEs) related to the quaternary state equations (QSE) are discovere  so as its weak form (WF) . The directional derivative (DD) of the Hamiltonian (Ham) is calculated. The necessary and sufficient conditions for

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 14 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Network Authentication Protocol Based on Secure Biometric NIDN

In this paper an authentication based finger print biometric system is proposed with personal identity information of name and birthday. A generation of National Identification Number (NIDN) is proposed in merging of finger print features and the personal identity information to generate the Quick Response code (QR) image that used in access system. In this paper two approaches are dependent, traditional authentication and strong identification with QR and NIDN information. The system shows accuracy of 96.153% with threshold value of 50. The accuracy reaches to 100% when the threshold value goes under 50.

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 21 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
EVALUATION OF ELECTRONIC GOVERNMENT SECURITY ISSUES APPLIED TO COMPUTER CENTER OF BAGHDAD UNIVERSITY (CASE STUDY)

Information security contributes directly to increase the level of trust between the government’s departments by providing an assurance of confidentiality, integrity, and availability of sensitive governmental information. Many threats that are caused mainly by malicious acts can shutdown the egovernment services. Therefore the governments are urged to implement security in e-government projects.
Some modifications were proposed to the security assessment multi-layer model (Sabri model) to be more comprehensive model and more convenient for the Iraqi government. The proposed model can be used as a tool to assess the level of security readiness of government departments, a checklist for the required security measures and as a commo

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 10 2023
Journal Name
2023 3rd International Scientific Conference Of Engineering Sciences (isces)
Using User Experience Metrics for Academic Management System of University of Baghdad

Interface evaluation has been the subject of extensive study and research in human-computer interaction (HCI). It is a crucial tool for promoting the idea that user engagement with computers should resemble casual conversations and interactions between individuals, according to specialists in the field. Researchers in the HCI field initially focused on making various computer interfaces more usable, thus improving the user experience. This study's objectives were to evaluate and enhance the user interface of the University of Baghdad's implementation of an online academic management system using the effectiveness, time-based efficiency, and satisfaction rates that comply with the task questionnaire process. We made a variety of interfaces f

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 08 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Convergence Analysis for the Homotopy Perturbation Method for a Linear System of Mixed Volterra-Fredholm Integral Equations

           In this paper, the homotopy perturbation method (HPM) is presented for treating a linear system of second-kind mixed Volterra-Fredholm integral equations. The method is based on constructing the series whose summation is the solution of the considered system. Convergence of constructed series is discussed and its proof is given; also, the error estimation is obtained. Algorithm is suggested and applied on several examples and the results are computed by using MATLAB (R2015a). To show the accuracy of the results and the effectiveness of the method, the approximate solutions of some examples are compared with the exact solution by computing the absolute errors.

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