Abstract

  Bivariate time series modeling and forecasting have become a promising field of applied studies in recent times. For this purpose, the Linear Autoregressive Moving Average with exogenous variable ARMAX model is the most widely used technique over the past few years in modeling and forecasting this type of data. The most important assumptions of this model are linearity and homogenous for random error variance of the appropriate model. In practice, these two assumptions are often violated, so the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and (GARCH) with exogenous varia

  Abstract    

In this study, the effect of carboxylic methyl cellulose (CMC), and sodium dodcyl benzene sulfonate (SDBS) as an aqueous solution on the drag reduction was investigated. Different concentrations of (CMC) and (SDBS) such as (50, 100, 150, 200, 250, 300, 350, 400, 450, and 500 ppm) were used to analyze the aqueous solution properties, including surface tension, conductivity, and shear viscosity. The optimum four concentrations (i.e., 50, 100, 200, and 300 ppm) of fluid properties were utilized to find their effect on the drag reduction. Two different PVC pipe diameters (i.e., 1" and 3/4") were used in this work. The  results showed that blending CMC with SDBS gives

Abstract

       The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a he

ساهم توافد العمالة الأجنبية في تفاقم مشكلة البطالة في العراق الذي يستقبل المئات منهم سنوياً، في ظل تخرج آلاف الطلاب من الجامعات العراقية وانطلاقهم إلى سوق العمل بالتزامن مع عدم تنشيط دور القطاع الخاص بسبب التجاذبات السياسية والأوضاع الاقتصادية والأمنية التي أثرت بشكل كبير في تفعيله وجذب المستثمرين، وعلى رغم ذلك استمر توافد العمالة الأجنبية التي وجدت في العراق عبارة عن فرص ثمينة لا سيما في قطاع الخدمات، مما

Praise be to God, Lord of the worlds, and prayers and peace be upon our master and beloved Muhammad, the wise guide and great teacher, the guide to a straight path, the one sent as a mercy to the worlds, and upon his good and chosen family, his chosen companions, the working scholars, and those who follow them in righteousness until the Day of Judgment.

And after:

One of the important controversial topics shared between the sciences of the Noble Hadith and the Fundamentals of God is the issue of the innovator in terms of accepting and rejecting his narration and testimony, and the difference in it leads to disagreement in many branches of jurisprudence that were based on texts narrated by innovated narrators or those accu

Praise be to God, Lord of the Worlds, and prayers and peace be upon our Master Muhammad and upon all his family and companions:
And then: What most concerns rational people and reformers in the modern era is the moral deviation and delinquency that dominates childhood, due to family disintegration and the lack of discipline of most societies according to the religious and moral motives called for by the heavenly messages, especially Islam, which is the final message and guarantees the reform of people in life. Every time and place.
Islam has drawn attention to this issue (childhood) and made it the focus of its consideration, considering that the child is the nucleus of society and the preparation for the future, so it ordered that

This is a research that deals with one of the topics of Arabic grammar, namely, the plural noun, and it is not hidden from the students the importance of grammatical topics in preserving the tongue from melody, and what it has of fundamental importance in knowing the graphic miracles of the Qur’an, and I called this research:

(plural noun in Arabic a grammatical study)

     The goal of current research is to identify the difficulties in the application of modern physics in the middle schools of the province of Baghdad schools from the perspective of teachers of physics trends, sample search of (127) teachers, Karkh Third Directorate, and use Researcher questionnaire data collection tool after applying it to teachers who have experience (5) years and more after confirmation of the validity and reliability of the scale (the tool) researcher has used the averages for the purpose of interpreting the results. the results showed that the difficulties have been in the order following: (difficulties related educational environment of modern trends of teaching, curriculum-related dif

In the analysis of multiple linear regression, the problem of multicollinearity and auto-correlation drew the attention of many researchers, and given the appearance of these two problems together and their bad effect on the estimation, some of the researchers found new methods to address these two problems together at the same time. In this research a comparison for the performance of the Principal Components Two Parameter estimator (PCTP) and The (r-k) class estimator and the r-(k,d) class estimator by conducting a simulation study and through the results and under the mean square error (MSE) criterion to find the best way to address the two problems together. The results showed that the r-(k,d) class estimator is the best esti

In recent years, the attention of the international community and intergovernmental and non-governmental organizations has grown into a new dimension of population displacement, called displacement within the country as a result of conflicts and the expansion of tacit groups, using sentences to describe such conflicts as "identity-based conflict", "ethnic conflict" "Sectarian conflict", in an attempt to determine the nature and characterization of those conflicts. In such conflict-stricken conditions, the value of a citizen - a person not directly involved in the conflict - is measured by the potential gains that that person has made to the conflicting parties, as civilians have been indirect victims of military operations, Favor