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A modified ARIMA model for forecasting chemical sales in the USA
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Abstract<p>model is derived, and the methodology is given in detail. The model is constructed depending on some measurement criteria, Akaike and Bayesian information criterion. For the new time series model, a new algorithm has been generated. The forecasting process, one and two steps ahead, is discussed in detail. Some exploratory data analysis is given in the beginning. The best model is selected based on some criteria; it is compared with some naïve models. The modified model is applied to a monthly chemical sales dataset (January 1992 to Dec 2019), where the dataset in this work has been downloaded from the United States of America census (www.census.gov). Ultimately, the forecasted sales for the next three years for chemical sales in the USA is provided.</p>
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Publication Date
Mon Nov 07 2022
Journal Name
Environmental Monitoring And Assessment
Comparison of Climate Change Impact upon Water Productivity of Winter Wheat in Northern and Southern Regions of Iraq 
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Abstract<p>Maximizing the water productivity for any agricultural system is considered an adaptation to the potential climate change crisis. It is required, especially in arid and semi-arid environments in Iraq. Therefore, this study assessed the potential impact of climate change on the different environments in the Qadissiya and Nineveh provinces. The ensemble of six GCM models employed for the regional climate model of the HCLIM-ALADIN in high-resolution 10*10 km<sup>2</sup> and Aqua-Crop was used to examine the response of water productivity and yield of winter wheat. With and without CO<sub>2 </sub>concentration changing under different water regimes in the near term (2020-2040</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Wed Sep 14 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
β- catenin Expression and Its Relation to Bryne’s Invasive Grading System in Oral Squamous Cell Carcinoma
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Background: Invasion in oral cancer involves alterations in cell-cell and cell-matrix interactions that accompanied by loss of cell adhesion. Catenins stabilize cellular adherence junctions by binding to E-cadherin, which further mediates cell-cell adhesion and regulates proliferation and differentiation of epithelial cells. The Wnt/β-catenin pathway is one of the major signaling pathways in cell proliferation, oncogenesis, and epithelial-mesenchymal transition. Aims of the study: to detect immunohistochemical distribution pattern and different subcellular localization of β-catenin in oral squamous cell carcinoma and relate such expression to Bryne’s invasive grading system. Materials and Methods: This study included 30 paraffi

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 20 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Synthesis Catalyst of Loading Nano Platinum on Graphene Nanosheets and Photodegradation of Bromophenol blue in Ultra-violet light.
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تم في هذا البحث استخدام المحفز الجديد المصنع من تحميل دقائق البلاتين النانوية على سطح الصفائح النانوية للكرافين كمحفز ضوئي واختباره لدراسة التجزئة الضوئية لملوثات المياه وازالتها بشكل نهائي من مصادر المياه لما لها من تأثير سلبي على البيئة. حيث تم استخدام صبغة البروموفينول الأزرق كمثال على أحد الملوثات. في البدء تم التأكد من تحضير المحفز بالطريقة المستخدمة في طريقة العمل من خلال تشخيصه باستخدام عدد من ا

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 21 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
Caries experience and salivary physicochemical characteristics among overweight intermediate school females aged 13-15 years in Babylon – Iraq
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Background: Obesity is a serious public health concern that has reached epidemic proportions; the prevalence, as well as the severity of obesity in adolescents is increasing at an alarming rate. A close relationship was found between weight status and dental caries. Thus this research aimed to assess the prevalence and severity of dental caries among overweight adolescent females in relation to physicochemical characteristics of stimulated whole saliva in comparison with normal weight adolescent females. Materials and methods: The total sample involved for nutritional status assessment is composed of 2678 females aged 13-15 years. This was performed using Body Mass Index specific for age and gender according to CDC growth chart (2000). The

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 21 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
Digital panoramic estimation of chronological age among Iraqi adult population in relation to morphological variables of canine teeth
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Background: Age determination of skeletal remains is apart of many medico-legal as well as anthropological examination. Many anatomical structures have been studied, but the teeth and their measurements seem to be the most reliable method since teeth represent the most durable and resilient part of the skeleton. This study was undertaken for estimating the chronological age among Iraqi adult subjects based on various morphological variables of canine teeth using digital panoramic radiograph. Material and methods: The sample in the current study consisted of 240 Iraqi patients attending to the dental radiological clinic at College of dentistry/ Babylon University taking panoramic radiographs for different diagnostic purposes, the study samp

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 21 2026
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
Distribution of tooth wear among institutionalized residents (50-89 years old) in Baghdad city\ Iraq (Cross-sectional study)
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Background: Tooth wear is one of the most common problems in the older dentate population which results from the interaction of three processes (attrition, abrasion and erosion) and it affects all societies, different age groups, and all cultures. This study was achieved to evaluate the prevalence and distribution of tooth wear among institutionalized residents in Baghdad city\ Iraq. Subjects and Methods: This survey was accomplished on four private and one governmental institution in Baghdad city. One-hundred twenty three (61 males, 62 females) aged 50-89 years were participated in this study. The diagnosis and recording of tooth wear were according to criteria of Smith and Knight. Results: The prevalence of tooth wear was 100% with a mean

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Publication Date
Fri Aug 30 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Investigation of Flagellum genes FleN and FlgE and Gene Expression of FleN Gene in Pseudomonas Aeruginosa Clinical Isolates
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The opportunistic multidrug resistance pathogen Pseudomonas aeruginosa has one or several flagella, and the numbers of these sophisticated machines are regulated by the flagellar regulator gene FleN. The flagellar hook gene FlgE is important for its synthesis, motility and tolerance to antibiotics. Bacteriahave resistance to antibiotics, especially to cephalosporin beta-lactam antibiotics. For the current study, 102 clinical specimens were collected and identified using routine laboratory tests and confirmed by Vitek-2 compact system.  A total of 33 isolates of P. aeruginosa were identified. The antibiotic susceptibility test was done by the Vitek 2 Compact system. Flagellar gene detected by conventional PCR revealed that the FleN

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 19 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Comparison of physical characteristics of mass and luminosity function of disk systems in barred and unbarred spiral galaxies
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إحدى أهم الطرق لتقصي توزيع المجرات عبر الزمن الكوني هي دالة اللمعان LF بدلالة كتلة القرص الباريوني ψS(Mb)، القدر . لقد درسنا تقديرًا لكثافة كتلة الباريون في عينة من المجرات الحلزونية القضيبية وغير القضيبية من الادبيات السابقة، والتي تتضمن فعليًا، لكل صنف من الاجرام السماوية ذات المحتوى الباريون المرئي، جزءًا لا يتجزأ من ناتج دالة الضيائية (LF) ونسبة الكتلة إلى الضوء. استخدمت تقنية الانحدار المتعدد لحزمة الب

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Synthesis Catalyst of Loading Nano Platinum on Graphene Nanosheets and Photodegradation of Bromophenol blue in Ultra-violet light.
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تم في هذا البحث استخدام المحفز الجديد المصنع من تحميل دقائق البلاتين النانوية على سطح الصفائح النانوية للكرافين كمحفز ضوئي واختباره لدراسة التجزئة الضوئية لملوثات المياه وازالتها بشكل نهائي من مصادر المياه لما لها من تأثير سلبي على البيئة. حيث تم استخدام صبغة البروموفينول الأزرق كمثال على أحد الملوثات. في البدء تم التأكد من تحضير المحفز بالطريقة المستخدمة في طريقة العمل من خلال تشخيصه باستخدام عدد من ا

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 28 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Geological Journal
Orogenic Gold Deposit in Metamorphic Rocks: Minerals and Structural Control at Rarowatu Area, Southeastern Arm of Sulawesi, Indonesia
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This research aims to examine the relationship between hydrothermal alteration and mineralization (ore mineralogy) in the study area and geological structures in the deformation mechanism. The hydrothermal alteration was determined based on petrographic analysis, and ore mineralogy which was determined based on the ore microscopic analysis. The deformation mechanism is determined by paleo stress analysis using win-tensor, and the direction of principal stress on joints/veins and faults is calculated by the right-dihedron method. Hydrothermal alteration includes silicification, argillic, propylitic, and phyllic alterations; and ore mineralogy consists of stibnite, cinnabar, pyrite, chalcopyrite, sphalerite, covellite, hematite, and a

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