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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using the Balanced Performance Approach to Increase the Effectiveness of Strategic Planning in order to Maximize the Job Satisfaction Rates at the Faculties of Bisha University
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Purpose: To use the balanced measurement approach as a strategic link for increasing the effectiveness of strategic planning in the direction of achieving satisfaction rates at Bisha University in Saudi Arabia

Design / methodology / approach –The questionnaire survey was used to collect the data of the study from the faculty members at University of Bisha.

Findings –Prove the assumption that the use of the balanced measurement approach - as a strategic planning tool - leads to maximize the satisfaction rates among faculty members at the University of Bisha.

Research limitations/implications-  adopt effective strategic planning in order to achieve

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 19 2024
Journal Name
Research Journal Of Pharmacy And Technology
Serum Levels of Fetuin-A, Ischemia-modified Albumin (IMA), and Ferritin in Hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19. A Case-control Study
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Objective: To measure the serum levels of Fetuin-A, ischemia-modified albumin (IMA), and ferritin in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19in Baghdad, Iraq. Moreover, to determine these biomarkers' cut-off valuesthat differentiate between severely ill patients and control subjects. Methods: This case-control study was done from 15 September to the end of December 2021 and involved a review of the files and collectionof blood samples from patients (n=45, group1) hospitalized in COVID-19 treatment centersbecause of severe symptoms compared tohealthy subjects as controls (n=44, group2). Results: Fetuin-A serum levels were not statistically different between patients and controls. In contrast, IMA and ferritin levels were significan

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 20 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Independent government agencies in Iraq / Integrity Commission a model
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The state did not witness the emergence of independent bodies because of the nature of the ruling regimes that were characterized by political tyranny represented by the king at the time, as is the case with Greece and the Greeks and Persia and the Romans and others. As for the Islamic state, which emerged later, it saw the emergence of what looks like independent bodies that we see today, There was the so-called Diwan Al-Hesba and the Ombudsman's Office as an independent body from the Islamic State, which operated independently to support the oppressed and the equitable distribution of financial resources, even though it was headed by well-known governors of justice and honesty. A state in the modern era, many countries, especially in E

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Soft Computing And Computer Applications
Enhancing Image Classification Using a Convolutional Neural Network Model
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In recent years, with the rapid development of the current classification system in digital content identification, automatic classification of images has become the most challenging task in the field of computer vision. As can be seen, vision is quite challenging for a system to automatically understand and analyze images, as compared to the vision of humans. Some research papers have been done to address the issue in the low-level current classification system, but the output was restricted only to basic image features. However, similarly, the approaches fail to accurately classify images. For the results expected in this field, such as computer vision, this study proposes a deep learning approach that utilizes a deep learning algorithm.

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التربية الجامعة المستنصرية
بناء انموذج الجامعة المنتجة
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هدف البحث إلى وضع رؤية مستقبلية وبناء أنموذج للجامعة المنتجة ، باستخدام أسلوب دلفاي بواقع جولتين إذ عرضت أداة البحث على 30 خبير واعتمدت نسبة 93 %حد أدنى لقبول الفقرة ، واستنتجت الباحثة إن معظم الجامعات لا تتوافر لديها الموارد الكافية وبالتالي فان تبني مفهوم الجامعة المنتجة يمثل أسلوبا مناسبا لواقع التمويل في تلك الجامعات ، إذ أن هناك حاجة ماسة إلى تدعيم مصادر تمويل التعليم الجامعي بموارد إنتاجية تحصل منها الجا

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
CONSTRACION SCALE FOR AUTISTIC CHILDREN
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Autism is considered as one of the most developmental  problems  in the world that interfere with children growth and affect their social ,emotional and cognitive development child with autism used to be normal in his growth but in his development parents started to notice that their child characterize by loneliness and withdrawal himself from the surrounding world with some mannerism behaviors these characteristics used to be manifested children during the 1st  three year of their life .  It appears, one in every 500 birth (The American International Institution for child health 1997. and it would be less in females than makes at 1/4 percent .

    Aim is to b

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 20 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The Democracy and the Reconstruction of the Citizenship
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This research includes the principles of the democracy، and to which extent it can contribute in establishing these principles. Democracy is not only to hold parliamentary or presidential elections but also the result of these elections wills it lead to the emergence of an integrated regime that can actually expresses the citizen's rights and to which extent those citizens can contribute in that regime and control it. Since 2005، when the first elections took place in Iraq after the US occupation of Iraq 2003، Iraqi people are looking to a rule that represented them and achieve their interests after getting rid of the totalitarian regimes and establishing an institutional regime that work by democratic means in order to achieve the so

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 24 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Down syndrome construction
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Due to the increasing number of people with in Iraq, it has become necessary to treat seriously this problem, which was not considered significantly to the best of researcher knowledge. Thus, the current research aims to construct a scale to measure the physical down syndromes, which distinguish them from others. It consisted of (39) items. The researcher has presented some related literature that addressed the current problem

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 02 2013
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Some Probability Characteristics Functions of the Solution of Stochastic Fredholm Integral Equation Contains a Known Sine Wave Function
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Abstract:In this paper, some probability characteristics functions (moments, variances,convariance, and spectral density functions) are found depending upon the smallestvariance of the solution of some stochastic Fredholm integral equation contains as aknown function, the sine wave function

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2025
Journal Name
The Malaysian Journal Of Nursing
Effectiveness of Play-Based Nursing Interventions on Hand Function in Children with Cerebral Palsy: A Quasi-Experimental Study
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Traditional nursing interventions for children with Cerebral Palsy (CP) often lack active engagement and show limited improvement in motor function. Play interventions involving manipulative activities may better support motor skill development. Objectives: To evaluate the effect of structured play-based nursing interventions on hand motor skills in children with cerebral palsy. Methods: A quasi-experimental pre-test/post-test design with a control group was used. The study was conducted at the Paediatric Welfare Hospital in Baghdad from November 25, 2024, to February 13, 2025. A non-probability sample of 79 children was identified based on the study criteria; of these, 64 children met the eligibility criteria and agreed to particip

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