Preferred Language
Articles
/
bsj-7489
Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
...Show More Authors

The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

Scopus Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jun 29 2023
Journal Name
Wasit Journal For Pure Sciences
Suitable Methods for Solving COVID-19 Model in Iraq
...Show More Authors

Because the Coronavirus epidemic spread in Iraq, the COVID-19 epidemic of people quarantined due to infection is our application in this work. The numerical simulation methods used in this research are more suitable than other analytical and numerical methods because they solve random systems. Since the Covid-19 epidemic system has random variables coefficients, these methods are used. Suitable numerical simulation methods have been applied to solve the COVID-19 epidemic model in Iraq. The analytical results of the Variation iteration method (VIM) are executed to compare the results. One numerical method which is the Finite difference method (FD) has been used to solve the Coronavirus model and for comparison purposes. The numerical simulat

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Study the Axail Dispersion Model in Ion Exchange Column
...Show More Authors

A mathematical model is developed which predicates the performance of cylindrical ion exchange bed involving comparing of axial dispersion model for cation exchange column with different assumption, this model permits the performance to predicate the residence time within the bed with the variance, axial dispersion and Pecklet No. to indicated deviation from plug flow model.

      Two type of systems are chosen for positive ions first with divalent ions (Ca+2) to exchange with resin of Na+1form used as application in  water softener units and second with monovalent ions (Na+1) to exchange with resin of H+1 form used as application in deionize water units &n

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Jan 26 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Modeling and Stability Analysis of an Eco-epidemiological Model
...Show More Authors

In this paper,a prey-predator model with infectious disease in predator population
is proposed and studied. Nonlinear incidence rate is used to describe the transition of
disease. The existence, uniqueness and boundedness of the solution are discussed.
The existences and the stability analysis of all possible equilibrium points are
studied. Numerical simulation is carried out to investigate the global dynamical
behavior of the system.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jun 05 2016
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Kinetic Model for Solute Diffusion in Liquid Membrane Systems
...Show More Authors

In this study, a mathematical model for the kinetics of solute transport in liquid membrane systems (LMSs) has been formulated. This model merged the mechanisms of consecutive and reversible processes with a “semi-derived” diffusion expression, resulting in equations that describe solute concentrations in the three sections (donor, acceptor and membrane). These equations have been refined into linear forms, which are satisfying in the special conditions for simplification obtaining the important kinetic constants of the process experimentally.

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Feb 28 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Data Hiding in 3D Model Based on Surface Properties
...Show More Authors

    Data hiding strategies have recently gained popularity in different fields; Digital watermark technology was developed for hiding copyright information in the image visually or invisibly. Today, 3D model technology has the potential to alter the field because it allows for the production of sophisticated structures and forms that were previously impossible to achieve. In this paper, a new watermarking method for the 3D model is presented. The proposed method is based on the geometrical and topology properties of the 3D model surface to increase the security. The geometrical properties are based on computing the mean curvature for a surface and topology based on the number of edges around each vertex, the vertices

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (3)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sat May 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Physics: Conference Series
Runge-kutta Numerical Method for Solving Nonlinear Influenza Model
...Show More Authors
Abstract<p>The main object of this study is to solve a system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODE) of the first order governing the epidemic model using numerical methods. The application under study is a mathematical epidemic model which is the influenza model at Australia in 1919. Runge-kutta methods of order 4 and of order 45 for solving this initial value problem(IVP) problem have been used. Finally, the results obtained have been discussed tabularly and graphically.</p>
View Publication
Scopus (4)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Secure communications by chaotic carrier signal using Lorenz model
...Show More Authors

In this paper, the generation of a chaotic carrier by Lorenz model
is theoretically studied. The encoding techniques has been used is
chaos masking of sinusoidal signal (massage), an optical chaotic
communications system for different receiver configurations is
evaluated. It is proved that chaotic carriers allow the successful
encoding and decoding of messages. Focusing on the effect of
changing the initial conditions of the states of our dynamical system
e.i changing the values (x, y, z, x1, y1, and z1).

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (2)
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Sep 29 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Hybrid Filter for Enhancing Input Microphone-Based Discriminative Model
...Show More Authors

Voice denoising is the process of removing undesirable voices from the voice signal. Within the environmental noise and after the application of speech recognition system, the discriminative model finds it difficult to recognize the waveform of the voice signal. This is due to the fact that the environmental noise needs to use a suitable filter that does not affect the shaped waveform of the input microphone. This paper plans to build up a procedure for a discriminative model, using infinite impulse response filter (Butterworth filter) and local polynomial approximation (Savitzky-Golay) smoothing filter that is a polynomial regression on the signal values. Signal to noise ratio (SNR) was calculated after filtering to compare the results

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Aug 01 2020
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Materials Science And Engineering
Employ 6D-BIM Model Features for Buildings Sustainability Assessment
...Show More Authors
Abstract<p>To translate sustainable concepts into sustainable structure, there is a require a collaborative work and technology to be innovated, such as BIM, to connect and organize different levels of industry e.g. decision-makers, contractors, economists, architects, urban planners, construction supplies and a series of urban planning and strategic infrastructure for operate, manage and maintain the facilities. This paper will investigate the BIM benefits as a project management tool, its effectiveness in sustainable decision making, also the benefit for the local industry key stakeholders by encouraging the BIM use as a project management tool to produce a sustainable building project. This p</p> ... Show More
View Publication
Scopus (12)
Crossref (6)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Feb 27 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Efficient Iterative Methods for Solving the SIR Epidemic Model
...Show More Authors

In this article, the numerical and approximate solutions for the nonlinear differential equation systems, represented by the epidemic SIR model, are determined. The effective iterative methods, namely the Daftardar-Jafari method (DJM), Temimi-Ansari method (TAM), and the Banach contraction method (BCM), are used to obtain the approximate solutions. The results showed many advantages over other iterative methods, such as Adomian decomposition method (ADM) and the variation iteration method (VIM) which were applied to the non-linear terms of the Adomian polynomial and the Lagrange multiplier, respectively. Furthermore, numerical solutions were obtained by using the fourth-orde Runge-Kutta (RK4), where the maximum remaining errors showed th

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (11)
Crossref (4)
Scopus Crossref