The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator
This study aimed to identify the employment of the social networking platform «Twitter» in the 2016 presidential campaign led by the Republican candidate, Donald Trump; and analyse his tweets through his personal account on «Twitter» for the period from: 10/ 8/2016 to: 11/ 8/2016 which represents the last month of the election campaign.
The study belongs to the type of descriptive studies using the analytical method through an analysis index that includes sub-categories and other secondary categories. The research has adopted the ordinary unit of information material (tweet) as an analysis unit for this purpose.
... Show MoreAttention is one of the mental processes of knowledge that play an important role in the life of the individual in general and the child's life, in particular, the child relates to the external environment through its interaction with it, to achieve the adjustment with his environment and harmony with his community.
Much ness and multiplicity of information sources make the child need to scan and exploration to provide the appropriate response by handling sensory stimuli involving the discovery of stimulus and receive it by sensory devices then pay attention to it and realizing and storing it in memory and restoring it in the next positio
... Show MoreThe aim of the present research is to construct a model to evaluate the software engineering subject in the third grade department of Computing, in colleges of education. Then, evaluating the software Engineering subject from the view point of staff members by applying the constructed model, and in order to achieve the second aim of the present research the researcher has to find answers to the following questions:- 1. What is the presence of the proposed evaluating model fields, which was prepared by the researcher for the third grade Soft Ware Engineering subject from the view point of staff members? 2. What is the presence of the items for the proposed evaluating model, which was prepared by the researcher for the third grade Soft War
... Show MoreThe present study aims to develop and apply the unrealistic optimism scale among high school students. The researcher has designed a scale of (38) paragraphs to measure the unrealistic optimism. A sample of (200) male and female students were chosen randomly to collect the needed data. The study found that the unrealistic scale of optimism has good psychometric characteristics. The research sample has a high level of التفاؤل غير الواقعي لدى عينة البحث unrealistic optimism. There is a statistically significant difference between male and female in the unrealistic optimism in favor of the male students. Finally, there is a statistically significant difference between students in the fourth and sixth gra
... Show Moreصار لزاماً علينا بيان مفهوم المعنى الحقيقي للجهاد وبيان أفضل أنواعه ورتبه وتحديداً الجهاد الكفائي بين النظرية والتطبيق من حيث معناه العام وبجوانبه الفكرية والاجتماعية , والسياسية ,والاقتصادية , وإيماناً منّا بانتفاضة المرجعية العليا في إعلانها الجهاد الكفائي ضد العصابات الارهابية التي استباحت الدين والوطن فكانت بالفعل الهام إلهي جسد أروع مبادئ الاسلام في التضحية والدفاع عن الدين ومقدساته , وانبل القيم الا
... Show Moreأولاً: مشكلة البحث:
على الرغم من أن كل شخص هو كائن متفرد بحد ذاته ، إلا أن هناك تشابهات مشتركة بين كثير من الناس ، وتشكل هذه التشابهات أنماطآ شخصية يهدف علم النفس إلى دراستها وفهمها.
وقد حاول علماء النفس والمنظرون في مجال الشخصية بناء أنظمة نظرية لتغطية التباين الواسع بين الأفراد في السلوك ضمن المواقف المختلفة. وهدفت جهودهم إلى فهم الدافعية البشرية ، والسلوك عن طريق عملية النمو
... Show MoreOne of the most important challenges facing project management at present time is to ensure project accomplishment in spite of the specific restrictions like the specific time the financial resources specialized to do the project ; which require an accurate consideration for time and cost . the modern village project (residential building aspect) is one of the great project that ministry of agriculture is trying to do Wasit governorate it is chosen as the work in this project is dilatory for that is being studied in term of some modern mathematical and scientific methods like critical path method (CPM)which is one of the project management and scheduling methods to know the time needed to accomplish residential building pro
... Show More The TV has the ability to combine sound and picture, which makes it of a direct impact on the recipient as it is a rich communicative tool with various artistic forms that display through this small screen programs and films, so that the TV has become superior over many other means of communication.
This research is concerned with the technical and artistic ability in the production of programs owned by the TV as a means of attraction of educated children aged between 5-12 years old, which makes it an educational supplement for the school that helps them in providing knowledge, acquiring skills and being informed about the different sciences through educational programs. It is known that the child at this stage enjoys when wa
Albizia lebbeck biomass was used as an adsorbent material in the present study to remove methyl red dye from an aqueous solution. A central composite rotatable design model was used to predict the dye removal efficiency. The optimization was accomplished under a temperature and mixing control system (37?C) with different particle size of 300 and 600 ?m. Highest adsorption efficiencies were obtained at lower dye concentrations and lower weight of adsorbent. The adsorption time, more than 48 h, was found to have a negative effect on the removal efficiency due to secondary metabolites compounds. However, the adsorption time was found to have a positive effect at high dye concentrations and high adsorbent weight. The colour removal effi
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