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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 03 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Computers, Communications, Control & Systems Engineering (ijccce)
Efficient Iris Image Recognition System Based on Machine Learning Approach
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HM Al-Dabbas, RA Azeez, AE Ali, IRAQI JOURNAL OF COMPUTERS, COMMUNICATIONS, CONTROL AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING, 2023

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Guiding Mobile Robot by Applying Fuzzy Approach on Sonar Sensors
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This study describes how fuzzy logic control FLC can be applied to sonars of mobile robot. The fuzzy logic approach has effects on the navigation of mobile robots in a partially known environment that are used in different industrial and society applications. The fuzzy logic provides a mechanism for combining sensor data from all sonar sensors which present different information. The FLC approach is achieved by means of Fuzzy Decision Making method type of fuzzy logic controller. The proposed controller is responsible for the obstacle avoidance of the mobile robot while traveling through a map from a home point to a goal point. The FLC is built as a subprogram based on the intelligent architecture (IA). The software program  uses th

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 31 2013
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Enhancing Stud Arc Welding Technique Vai Utilizing FuzzyLogic Approach (FLA)
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A fuzzy logic approach (FLA) application in the process of stud arc welding environment was implemented under the condition of fuzziness input data. This paper is composed of the background of FLA, related research work review and points for developing in stud welding manufacturing. Then, it investigates thecase of developingstud arc welding process on the controversial certaintyof available equipment and human skills.Five parameters (welding time, sheet thickness, type of coating, welding current and stud shape) were studied.A pair of parameter was selected asiteration whichis welding current and welding time and used fo

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 15 2022
Journal Name
Al-academy
The functional diversity of the directorial vision in the political theater cinema as a model
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It is very necessary for the political theater to be within the space of every theatrical performance, so that the theater carries the diverse and enlightened values and cultures of this world. political theatre. In the first chapter, the researcher dealt with (the methodological framework), which includes the research problem identified by the researcher with the following question (the functional diversity of the directorial vision in the political theater)
Importance, purpose, limits and seal by defining terminology.
In the second chapter, the researcher dealt with the theoretical framework on two topics, the first (transformations of directorial vision in theatrical performance) and the second topic (aesthetic experiences i

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 29 2025
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Magnetohydrodynyamic Flow for a Viscoclastic Fluid with the Generalized Oldroyd-B Model with Fractional Derivative
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This paper deals with the Magnetohydrodynyamic (Mill)) flow for a viscoclastic fluid of the generalized Oldroyd-B model. The fractional calculus approach is used to establish the constitutive relationship of the non-Newtonian fluid model. Exact analytic solutions for the velocity and shear stress fields in terms of the Fox H-function are obtained by using discrete Laplace transform. The effect of different parameter that controlled the motion and shear stress equations are studied through plotting using the MATHEMATICA-8 software.

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Publication Date
Sat Nov 01 2014
Journal Name
International Journal Of Basic And Applied Sciences
A reliable iterative method for solving the epidemic model and the prey and predator problems
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In the present article, we implement the new iterative method proposed by Daftardar-Gejji and Jafari (NIM) [V. Daftardar-Gejji, H. Jafari, An iterative method for solving nonlinear functional equations, J. Math. Anal. Appl. 316 (2006) 753-763] to solve two problems; the first one is the problem of spread of a non-fatal disease in a population which is assumed to have constant size over the period of the epidemic, and the other one is the problem of the prey and predator. The results demonstrate that the method has many merits such as being derivative-free, overcome the difficulty arising in calculating Adomian polynomials to handle the nonlinear terms in Adomian Decomposition Method (ADM), does not require to calculate Lagrange multiplier a

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2016
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Semiotics of Sufi Texts- Poets of Al Qasr and Al-Asr journals as a Model
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In a common language based on interpretation and diagnosis in the symbols and signs, the subject of Sufism and artistic semiotics is manifested in the construction and intensity of the reading of the text and the dismantling of its intellectual systems.
The emergence of Sufism in its religious features and the spiritual revelations related to the divine love of life in absolute reality, And images and language in a stream of intellectual and artistic unique and harmonious communicates with the subject of the themes of the Arab literature and its implications, but it is separated by a special entity signals and symbols related to the mysticism and worship.
    The unleashing of the imagination and the diagnosis,

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
On The Dynamical Behavior of a Prey-Predator Model With The Effect of Periodic Forcing
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The dynamical behavior of a two-dimensional continuous time dynamical system describing by a prey predator model is investigated. By means of constructing suitable Lyapunov functional, sufficient condition is derived for the global asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium of the system. The Hopf bifurcation analysis is carried out. The numerical simulations are used to study the effect of periodic forcing in two different parameters. The results of simulations show that the model under the effects of periodic forcing in two different parameters, with or without phase difference, could exhibit chaotic dynamics for realistic and biologically feasible parametric values.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Intellectual and Religious Characteristics Andalusion Societ Image Beni Al-Ahmar Era Poetry as a model
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The intellectual and religious characteristics were an influential presence in the same Andalusian poet, especially among the poets of Beni El-Ahmar because they are part of the heritage of poets, and that is to push them towards the glory of this heritage and to take care of it and benefit from its inclusion, inspiration and similarity.

That this inflection on the poetic heritage is justified by the poets of the sons of the Red were inclined to preserve the inherited values, especially as it was related to their poetry, especially that the Andalusian poet did not find embarrassment in the inspiration of heritage and emerged when he mentioned the homes and the ruins and the camel and the journey, although the community Andalusian

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 15 2022
Journal Name
Al-academy
Evaluating the education quality in the College of Fine Arts "Design Department as a model"
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Education quality evaluation is one of the objectives of education quality. The evaluation includes assessing the education standards and academic program outcomes to develop intellectual, scientific and practical concepts for the educational structure. It considers the determination of the rates of the number of accepted students and graduates. The research focuses on "what are the levels of education quality according to the evaluation mechanisms in the design department" to enhance the quality system and the objectives of theoretical and applied education.
It is identifying the levels of education quality and evaluating it according to the numbers and rates of graduate students of the design department branches for morning and ev

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