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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
بناء معيار لقياس التعبير الشفوي لدى تلامذة المرحلة الابتدائية
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Given the importance of basic education (primary) being longer pillar in the construction of the individual's personality, as well as the importance of language and its role in the learning of students and development of cognitive, emotional and self-dynamic; therefore current research focuses on the study of building a standard oral expression can researchers and teachers alike measurement of oral expression among students, researcher has used to achieve this goal descriptive approach, it included standard on (10) paragraphs evenly distributed on the (5) key areas, and given (4) progressive alternatives according to the quality of the performance of the student and reached the highest score (30) and the lowest score (0).

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 25 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
STUDY OF THE SYNERGISTIC EFFECT OF BACTERIOCIN PRODUCED FROM Leuconostoc mesenteroides ssp. cremoris With Antibiotics Against Multi Resistance Diarrheal Bacteria: STUDY OF THE SYNERGISTIC EFFECT OF BACTERIOCIN PRODUCED FROM Leuconostoc mesenteroides ssp. cremoris With Antibiotics Against Multi Resistance Diarrheal Bacteria
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The study included the collection of samples of raw cow milk to isolate Leuconostoc bacteria, samples were sub cultured on De-Man Rogosa Sharpe-Vancomycin medium, the pure colonies were selected and subjected to the cultural and microscopically tests, according to that 25 cocci bacterial isolates were obtained, then isolates were subjected to biochemical tests. Result of tests showed that 12 isolates belong to the genus Leuconostoc out of 25 cocci bacterial isolates, Vitek2 system was used as a supplementary step. Results of final identification showed that 3 sub species were obtained included Leuconostoc mesenteroides ssp. cremoris 9 out of 12 isolates, while it was 2 isolates of Leuconostoc mesenteroides ssp. mesenteroides and one isol

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Results In Physics
Alpha clustering preformation probability in even-even and odd-A<mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline" id="d1e3355" altimg="si39.svg"><mml:msup><mml:mrow /><mml:mrow><mml:mn>270</mml:mn><mml:mo>−</mml:mo><mml:mn>317</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math>(116 and 117) using cluster formation model and the mass formulae : KTUY05 and WS4
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Publication Date
Sun Feb 25 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
10.28936 PARTIAL PURIFICATION OF BACTERIOCIN PRODUCED FROM PEDIOCOCCUS ACIDILACTICI-FMAC278 AND WEISSELLA PARAMESENTEROIDES-DFR6 AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE PRESERVATION OF CHICKEN SAUSAGES: PARTIAL PURIFICATION OF BACTERIOCIN PRODUCED FROM PEDIOCOCCUS ACIDILACTICI-FMAC278 AND WEISSELLA PARAMESENTEROIDES-DFR6 AND ITS APPLICATION IN THE PRESERVATION OF CHICKEN SAUSAGES
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Bacteriocins were partially purified by ammonium sulphate 50% concentraction, bacteriocin activity of Pediococcus acidilactici-FMAC278 was 25600 U/ml with 5.8 folds and 7.6% yeild, the activity decrease to 12800 U/ml after dialysis with 6.3 folds and 3% yield, On the other hand the bacteriocin activity of Weissella paramesenteroides-DFR6 was 12800 U/ml with 2.7 folds and 8.8% yeild, after dialysis the activity became 6400 U/ml with 5.1 fold and 3.4% yield, Chicken Sausage were made by adding 0.25, 0.5 and 1% particaly purified bacteriocin to study its effect on microorganisms and increasing shelf life of Sausage. It is found that bacterial numbers were decreased after 3 days of storage at refrigerator at 0.5% conc. While the molds decrea

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The Patterns of Poisoning Exposure in Different Ages in Duhok Governate: A three Years Study (2016, 2017, 2018)
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Poisoning with toxic substances accidently or deliberately can be life threatening and especially in some countries that lack the essential tests and facilities to identify the types and causes of these toxic substances. In Iraq, as many other countries, poisoning is one of the chronic public health problems. However, very little literature about the pattern of poisoning cases, types and age is available in Duhok Governorate. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine the most common patterns of poisoning and the related age and gender in Duhok Governorate from 2016-2018, which would possibly contribute to the early diagnosis and treatment of poisoning. The present study was conducted for three years, started from 1st of

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 30 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
VISUAL CONTAMINATION WITH RANDOM ADVERTISEMENTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF APPLYING FINES TO THEIR OWNERS: VISUAL CONTAMINATION WITH RANDOM ADVERTISEMENTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF APPLYING FINES TO THEIR OWNERS
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Baghdad governorate has many areas of distinctive architectural and architectural character, which are heritage and valuable areas that we must preserve and take care of. But we see many manifestations of it, which have a negative impact on buildings, areas and roads, so that they distort the view and thus lead to visual pollution in general. The research examined the visual pollution from random advertising, which stretched buildings, walls, electricity poles and sidewalks. The study covered different areas of al-Karkh and al-Rassafa (Jadreya Bridge, Nation Square, Jordan Square, alkindy Street)Most of the distortions were the result of non-removable posters, Handwriting, election candidate adve

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 20 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
An Analysis on the Applicability of Meta-Heuristic Searching Techniques for Automated Test Data Generation in Automatic Programming Assessment
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Automatic Programming Assessment (APA) has been gaining lots of attention among researchers mainly to support automated grading and marking of students’ programming assignments or exercises systematically. APA is commonly identified as a method that can enhance accuracy, efficiency and consistency as well as providing instant feedback on students’ programming solutions. In achieving APA, test data generation process is very important so as to perform a dynamic testing on students’ assignment. In software testing field, many researches that focus on test data generation have demonstrated the successful of adoption of Meta-Heuristic Search Techniques (MHST) so as to enhance the procedure of deriving adequate test data for efficient t

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 25 2018
Journal Name
Oriental Journal Of Chemistry
Synthesis and Study of Modified Polyvinyl Alcohol Containing Amino acid moieties as Anticancer Agent
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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Schultz and Modified Schultz Polynomials for Edge – Identification Chain and Ring – for Square Graphs
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In a connected graph , the distance function between each pair of two vertices from a set vertex  is the shortest distance between them and the vertex degree  denoted by  is the number of edges which are incident to the vertex  The Schultz and modified Schultz polynomials of  are have defined as:

 respectively, where the summations are taken over all unordered pairs of distinct vertices in  and  is the distance between  and  in  The general forms of Schultz and modified Schultz polynomials shall be found and indices of the edge – identification chain and ring – square graphs in the present work.

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 01 2025
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences
Modified Polyvinyl Alcohol Containing New Imides / Iron Oxide Nanoparticles :Synthesis , Characterization and Biological Evaluation
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A series of new imides compounds[1-4] were synthesized from reaction of tetrachlorophthalic anhydride or nitro phthalic anhydride or malic anhydride or Succinic anhydride with 4-amino benzene thiol under fusion conditions. Chloroacetic acid has been added after compounds [1-4] reacted with distilled H2O and Na2CO3, producing compounds [5-8]. In benzene, compounds [5-8] also interacted with the thionyl chloride to produce [9-12]. Poly (vinyl alcohol) was chemically modified by reacting PVA with compounds [9-12] and dimethyl formamide to produce compounds [13-16]. Iron oxide nanoparticles (IONPs) are mixed with modified PVA [13-16] to create nanocomposites [17-20]. Spectral and analytical data from synthesized compounds, such as 1H-NMR, FTI

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