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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم التربوية والنفسية
معوقات تدريس المواد التربوية والنفسية في كلية التربية – ابن الهيثم من وجهة نظر أعضاء هيئة التدريس فيها
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Publication Date
Wed Nov 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Applied Study on Analysis of Fixed, Random and Mixed Panel Data Models Measured at specific time intervals
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This research sought to present a concept of cross-sectional data models,  A crucial double data to take the impact of the change in time and obtained from the measured phenomenon of repeated observations in different time periods, Where the models of the panel  data were defined by different types of fixed , random and mixed, and Comparing them by studying and analyzing the mathematical relationship between the influence of time with a set of basic variables Which are the main axes on which the research is based and is represented by the monthly revenue of the working individual and the profits it generates, which represents the variable response And its relationship to a set of explanatory variables represented by the

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
دور اﻟﺘﻐﺬﯾﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ اﻟﻄﻔﻮﻟﺔ اﻟﻤﺒﻜﺮة (3- 5 سنوات ( وبعض المتغيرات ودورها في اصابة الاطفال بتسوس الاسنان
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Teeth decay is one of the distinctive diseases which infects the children of generation .though it is not adeacly disease, it leads to huge problems , especially if it is infect children in their early childhood .There are many factors which lead to this disease , and to achieve the goal of this research in trying to stop the most important nutrition factors and others reasons that have relation with this disease .The practical application has been done for four months on children , who have been chosen randomly of the age ( 3-5 years) of both sexes , infected with teeth decay , from Baghdad city ( al karkh and al rusafa ) , the number of children reached to 90 child , divided into tow groups 45 male , and( 45 )female .Again they have be

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 25 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
أثر تباين الإمكانات السياحية في قوة الجذب المكاني للإقليم الحالة الدراسية: محافظة السليمانية ضمن إقليم كوردستان العراق
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر استخدام استراتيجيتي جانيه وميرل تينسون في اكتساب المفاهيم الجغرافية والاحتفاظ بها لدى طالبات الصف الرابع العام
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مشكلة البحث :-

     ظلت رغبة الانسان في المعرفة وفهم الكون الذي يعيش فيه ، ملازمة له منذ المراحل الاولى لتطور البشرية ، فالانسان بما يتمتع به من امكانات وقدرات وطاقات كامنة استطاع عن طريق تفاعله واحتكاكه الدائم والمستمر والخلاق مع البيئة المحيطة به ان يلاحظ ، ويتخيل ويتذكر ويفكر ويخطط ويبتكر ، مستفيداً من اخطائه في التعرف عليها ، وفي زيادة قدرته على التحكم فيها وتحسينها وتطويره

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 16 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The official business style of the Russian literary language. Problems of formation.: Официально-деловой стиль русского литературного языка. Проблематика формирования.
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In the article we consider features of official style, its functions and factors which influence the definition of the style. The topicality of the issue can be explained by rapid development of market economy which affects in its turn business correspondence. In this regard, there are a lot of cliché, terms and professionalisms appeared recently. Only correct usage of them can serve as a key to successful communication in Russian as well as other languages. This work highlights documents that are part of the diplomatic style such as declarations, credentials, notes, resolutions and other documents. The administrative style can include orders and instructions.

Аннотация.

 В данной статье рассмо

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 07 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Effectiveness of an Instructional Program Concerning premarital screening of sexual transmitted disease on Student's Knowledge at Baghdad University
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Objectives: To identify the effectiveness of instructional program concerning premarital screening of sexual transmitted disease on student's knowledge at Baghdad University and examine the relationship between students' knowledge and certain studied variables. And hypothesis for this study; There is a difference in university student’s knowledge toward premarital screening between pre and posttests of instructional program. Methodology: A quasi-experimental design (pretest-posttest approach) was conducted at six colleges and its college of education ibn rushd, college of political science, college of law, college of literatur

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
معادلات الانحدار غير المرتبطة ظاهريا (توزيع المتغيرات والخطأ بواسون)
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This study is about finding the estimation of tow equations, the comparative has been done between the estimations  by using seemingly unrelated regression equations for the variable and random error has been distribution with poisson and the variable and random error has been distribution with normal and the method by using oldenary lest square.

While in the application side, we have estimated the parameter of investment specification function for the sector of agriculture with the industry sector is enabled us to obtain an estimation efficiency for the model of seemingly unrelated Poisson regression equation.

المستخلص

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الصعوبات التي تواجـه طلبة أقســـــام طرائق تدريس القرآن الكريم والتربية الإســــلامية في مادة طرائق التدريس من وجهة نظرهم
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- مشكلة البحث

تشغل مادة طرائق التدريس مكانة متميزة في عملية التعليم والتعلم لما لها من دور كبير وفاعل في إيصال المادة العلمية إلى الطالب بنجاح .

وقد عزى بعض الباحثين التأخر الذي رافق طرائق تدريس التربية الإسلامية إلى ضعف إعداد المدرسين وتأهيلهم التربوي ولا سيما أن عدد غير قليل منهم من كليات غير تربوية فهم خريجو كليات العلوم الإسلامية والجامعة الإسلامية والإدارة والاقتصاد

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 27 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الحركة العلمية في المغرب الاسلامي من خلال كتاب معجم البلدان لياقوت الحموي ( ت 626هـ / 1229م) العلوم الشرعية انموذجا
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    The Dictionary of Countries by Yaqut al-Hamawi is one of the most important sources that researchers rely on in everything related to geography in knowing the names of places and countries, and the important historical information it contains about different cities and countries

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