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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 04 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Skills of Time Management and Causes of Wasting The Time of Heads of Department at University of Baghdad From The Staffers’ Point of View
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            Time is very important in educational institutions. It is also one of our contemporary problem ‚as time is a clear – cut and limited factor‚ it demands that administrators should monitor it by administering and monitoring the principles of time.

Hence‚ the researcher attempts to identify the skills of administrating time and the reasons that cause the waste of time of the Heads of Departments at university of Baghdad.

Significance  of the research:

Time is very important to all educational administrators and one of them is the institutions of Higher education. One of the

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 08 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Effect of Sn Addition on Phase Transformation Behavior of Equiatomic Ni-Ti Shape Memory Alloy
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Sn effect on the phase transformation behavior, microstructure, and micro hardness of equiatomic Ni-Ti shape memory alloy was studied. NiTi and NiTiSn alloys were produced using vacuum induction melting process with alloys composition (50% at. Ni, 50% at.Ti) and (Ni 48% at., Ti 50% at., Sn 2% at.). The characteristics of both alloys were investigated by utilizing Differential Scanning Calorimetry, X- ray Diffraction Analysis, Scanning Electron Microscope, optical microscope and vicker's micro hardness test. The results showed that adding Sn element leads to decrease the phase transformation temperatures evidently. Both alloy samples contain NiTi matrix phase and Ti2Ni secondary phase, but the Ti2Ni phase content dec

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تقويم جودة مهارات التدريس لدى مدرسي الرياضيات في المرحلة الإعدادية الفرع العلمي من وجهة نظرهم
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   Research aims at evaluating the quality of the teaching skills of math teachers in junior high / scientific branch  from their point of view.

The researchers prepared for this purpose a quality of teaching skills standards questionnaire, It consisted of 72 items distributed on four axis, The research sample was 200 teachers The researchers used statistical methods: the arithmetic mean, standard deviation, variance test, test Shiva  , The results showed a statistically significance difference Attributed to the qualification  variable  in the second  axis (Planning for teaching topics) And the absence of statistical difference function,

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
Formal Data of Bauhaus School and their Implications for Fabrics and Costumes Design: نور منصور خميس-وسن خليل ابراهيم
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The current research discusses the topic of the formal data within the methodological framework through defining the research problem, limits and objectives and defining the most important terms mentioned in this research. The theoretical framework in the first section addressed (the concept of the Bauhaus school, the philosophy of the Bauhaus school and the logical bases of this school). The second section dealt with (the most important elements and structural bases of the Bauhaus school) which are considered the most important formal data of this school and their implications on the fabrics and costumes design. The research came up with the most important indicators resulting from the theoretical framework.
Chapter three defined the

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التحديات التحديات المعاصرة للثقافة الإسلامية دراسة في الصورة النمطية المتبادلة للسلام وللحرب بين الإسلام والغرب
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Islamic Culture face many challenges Such as، Secularism، westrenism، globalism and Colonialism under current attempts For western States and united states of America to dominate on world and Confront all her Opponent Polaris it be clear when U. S. A. Occupied Afghanistan and Iraq and Threatened many Arabic and Islamic States

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2016
Journal Name
مجلة جامعة كربالء العلمية
دراسة شكليائية ونسجية للكلية في الساحف )أبو بريص( وزغة خشنة الحراشف Cyrtopodion scabrum (Heyden, 1827)
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Publication Date
Mon Oct 10 2016
Journal Name
مجلة الادارة والاقتصاد
تحليل وقياس العلاقة بين نسبة تفضيل السيولة ومعدل التضخم في الاقتصاد العراقي للمدة 1990-2016
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تفضيل السيولة - تضخم جانب الطلب - الاستقرار النقدي - معدل التضخم

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
اتجاهات تطوير أنشطة الرقابة الداخلية لتلبية متطلبات لجنة التدقيق: دراسة تطبيقية في مصرف اشور الدولي
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The audit committee has received considerable attention from international institutions and researchers as a result of financial failures and the collapse of major international companies, especially cases of manipulation and misinformation in the financial statements, due to the role played by one of the mechanisms of control of economic entities to increase disclosure and credibility of information published, In overseeing the preparation of financial reports, following up the internal auditing functions, supporting the external auditor and enhancing his independence, and strengthening the shareholders' confidence in the economic entity. The two researchers prepared the applied side of the research by applying a proposed model based on

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
استخدام ادوات التحليل المالي كمؤشرات لتحديد واحتساب ضريبة الدخل: دراسة تطبيقية في الهيئة العامة للضرائب
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A financial analysis tool such as financial rations concentrates on explanation of financial statement and using them in the evaluation of company profiles and fixing taxable profits, by analyzing final calculation, explaining their results and studying relationships between a group of financial lists 'elements in a specific period and the trend of their relationships in percentage from so, financial analysis is considered on important instrument for tax analytical test procedures through studying and evaluating financial data in order to get proper information which is needed to make sure of credibility and reliability of statements submitted by the taxpayer and the satisfaction of the tax analyzer in the credibility of these statements

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
سياسة سياسة العزلة البريطانية المجيدة واثرها على الدول الاوربية في عهد الملكة فكتوريا(1837-1901)
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Britain found itself at the end of the nineteenth century in front of many obstacles within Europe, it is to hold the coalition Russian Franco in 1894, and what form of threat to the interests of Britain in its colonies outside Europe, as well as the development of other European countries in military and economic aspects such as Germany and the United States and others. As she was defying the fleet of Britain, Germany, and the last has a naval fleet was able to protect all the way Britain and its colonies throughout the nineteenth century

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