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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2021
Journal Name
Civil Engineering Journal
Factors Affecting Traffic Accidents Density on Selected Multilane Rural Highways
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Estimations of average crash density as a function of traffic elements and characteristics can be used for making good decisions relating to planning, designing, operating, and maintaining roadway networks. This study describes the relationships between total, collision, turnover, and runover accident densities with factors such as hourly traffic flow and average spot speed on multilane rural highways in Iraq. The study is based on data collected from two sources: police stations and traffic surveys. Three highways are selected in Wassit governorate as a case study to cover the studied locations of the accidents. Three highways are selected in Wassit governorate as a case study to cover the studied locations of the accidents. The selection

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Chemical Methodologies
Investigations on TiO<inf>2</inf>-NiO@In<inf>2</inf>O<inf>3</inf> Nanocomposite Thin Films (NCTFs) for Gas Sensing: Synthesis, Physical Characterization, and Detection of NO<inf>2</inf> and H<inf>2</inf>S Gas Sensors
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Publication Date
Mon Dec 26 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
رحلة الحاج الموريسكي بوي مونثون من إسبانيا إلى مكة المكرمة بعد تسليم مملكة غرناطة 897هـ - 1492م، دراسة في مضامين الرحلة "نماذج مختارة" دراسة في مضامين الرّحلة "نماذج مختارة"
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Day after day, Morsek literature 879-1018/1492-1609proves the completion of all literary branches starting from poetry with its different purposes to include prose with its various subjects. In 2016, a complete text of ‘the literature of Morsek journey

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 31 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
EFFECT OF ADDING TWO (Curcuma longa) LEVELS OF CURCUMA ON SOME PRODUCTIVE AND PHYSIOLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR QUAIL JAPANESE.: EFFECT OF ADDING TWO (Curcuma longa) LEVELS OF CURCUMA ON SOME PRODUCTIVE AND PHYSIOLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR QUAIL JAPANESE.
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A study carried out in quail’s field owned by the Department of Animal production/ Collage of Agriculture / Tikrit University. For the period 14/ 5/ 2016 to 4/ 6/ 2016 in order to study the effect of adding Curcuma longa - to the diet of quails - on some productive and physiological characteristics of the Japanese quail birds bred for meat production. Using (48) quail birds which are two weeks old provided by Department of Agricultural Research. The birds were divided randomly after weighing them into three treatments; four replicate treatments for (4 bird/ replicate). The treatments as follows: (T1) control group (fed diet without any supplement), second (T2) and third (T3) groups were fed diet supplemental 4.5 and 9g Curcuma powder /

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 22 2017
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
THE EFFECT OF FERMENTATION AND BAKING PROCESSES ON THE PHYATE DEGRADATION DURING THE PROCESS OF MANUFACTURING WHOLE WHEAT FLOUR BREAD.: THE EFFECT OF FERMENTATION AND BAKING PROCESSES ON THE PHYATE DEGRADATION DURING THE PROCESS OF MANUFACTURING WHOLE WHEAT FLOUR BREAD.
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In this research, the influence of the fermentation treatments and baking in Iraqi’s flour type (Ibaa 99, Al-rashed, Tamus, Abu-grabe) and Turkish flour type (Muaamel) on phytic acid was investigated. In whole wheat flour, the phytic acid was (1500, 1290, 1450, 1230, 1440 ( mg/ 100 g flour respectively, and the inorganic phosphorous was (29.18, 25.15, 23.89, 20.85, 22.83) mg/100 g flour respectively. The dough prepared from flour with a higher phytic acid content also contained higher amount of phytic acid. During fermentation, degradation of phytic acid occurred. The cumulative loss of phytic acid after fermentation in all type of dough was ~ 23, 22, 34, 26 and 27% respectively،While increased of inorganic phosphorous occurred. The c

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 23 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
رحلة الحاج الموريسكي بوي مونثون من إسبانيا إلى مكة المكرمة بعد تسليم مملكة غرناطة 897هـ - 1492م، دراسة في مضامين الرحلة "نماذج مختارة" دراسة في مضامين الرّحلة "نماذج مختارة"
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Day after day, Morsek literature 879-1018/1492-1609proves the completion of all literary branches starting from poetry with its different purposes to include prose with its various subjects. In 2016, a complete text of ‘the literature of Morsek journeys

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2015
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
Isolation and identification of Bacillus stearothermophilus and study the inhibition effect of squeezed grape waste extract on it.: Isolation and identification of Bacillus stearothermophilus and study the inhibition effect of squeezed grape waste extract on it.
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The aim of this study was to know the inhibition activity of squeezed grape waste extract on Bacillus stearpthermophilus by using three different tempretures degree 40, 60 and 80c, in order to reduce the time exposure of food for preservation. This study include two branchs: First: isolation and identification of Bacillus stearothermophilus from soil, 5 sample were collected from the soil of the college agriculture/Baghdad university. Samples were cultured on nutrient agar, microscopic and culturing tests were conducted and many biochemical tests were done. The isolates were cultivated at 55 c and 65 c for differentiate it from Bacillus coagulans which is can't grow at 65 co. The c

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
المكانة الاجتماعية لطفل الروضة بين اقرانه وعلاقتها ببعض المتغيرات في مدينة بغداد
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استهدف البحث الكشف عن المكانة الاجتماعية لطفل الروضة بين أقرانه ، ودلالة الفروق في المكانة الاجتماعية لاطفال عينة البحث التي تعزي الى بعض المتغيرات من خلال الاجابة عن الاسئلة الاتية :

اولاً : ما المكانة الاجتماعية لدى اطفال الروضة بين اقرانهم ؟

ثانياً : ما علاقة المكانة الاجتماعية لدى اطفال الروضة ببعض المتغيرات و ذلك من خلال اختبار الفرضيات الصفرية الآتية :

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Publication Date
Tue Apr 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أثر أستعمال الأسئلة التحضيرية في أكتساب طالبات الصف الرابع العام للمفاهيم التاريخية
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        يمر عالمنا المعاصر اليوم بمرحلة من التطور والتغيير السريعين لم يسبق له أن مر بهما فـي تاريخ البشرية ، ويشمل مظاهر الحياة  الأنسانية  والأقتصادية والعلمية والتربويـة والنفسية وغير ذلك . وتختلف سرعة هذا التغيير من مجتمع الـى مجتمع آخر , وأدى هذا الى تراكم كميات كبيرة من المعلومات .

         لقد أكد الكثير مـن التربويين أن التطور التكنولوجي فـي ال

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Спортивная периодика Украины и Иракского Курдистана как средство становления национального единства в переходный период
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In this subject article analyzed features of a sports indifferent countries during , article analyzed features of a sports media in different countries between social change politcheskih , transformation thematic area dedicated sports periodicals and the influence of these media on the formation of national identity .

Subject of comparative analysis research are sports print media in Ukraine and Iraqi Kurdistan .And highlight the sports as one of modem  Kurdish journalism in lraqi Kurdistan that emerged after the spring in 1991 which took her privacy in the field of journalism , and analysis with sports journalism in the era of the independent state of Ukнаraine in the early nineties of the past century .

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