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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 02 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Some of the Grammatical Rules of Writing: Zu einigen grammatischen Erscheinungen im Schreiben
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    Language contains various kinds of grammatical rules that are used to express thoughts and feelings. The present paper studies some of the German language grammatical rules as being the most important basics needed to master and develop the art of writing for the German language learners. Writing is one of the productive language learning skills that transform thoughts into a written form. Hence, constant exercising on the use of the language to master the grammatical rules enables German language learners to develop their creative writing skills.

     The present study discusses the importance of grammatical exercises in developing the language learning abilities. The study provides a gener

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
BARBARA : structure et signification Étude analytique du langage prévertien à travers son poème Barbara
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Cette recherche étudie les structures composant Barbara, un poème de Jacques Prévert pour mettre en valeur la particularité de ce langage. Nous avons d'abord, dissocié ces structures, en : structure thématique, actancielle, syntaxico-énonciative, sémantique, formelle et finalement spacio-temporelle en vue de les analyser minutieusement. Le poète a adopté pour les thèmes : souvenir, nostalgie et guerre, un langage simple et une syntaxe incomplexe. L'usage du lexique et des figures de style célèbrent ces thèmes. La forme, la versification et la sonorité approfondissent ces images et renforcent ce langage. Ce poème dépend des phrases simples et variées : affirmative, interrogative, exclamative qui s'orientent vers des acte

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 09 2025
Journal Name
مجلة الفارابي للعلوم الانسانية
الصورة النمطية للمرأة العربية في رواية لطيفة قصة للكاتب موشيه سميلانسكي
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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2024
Journal Name
المجلة العراقية للعلوم السياسية
التغيرات المناخية واثرها على المرأة العراقية: دراسة في الاسباب وضرورات الاستجابة
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تعد التغيرات المناخية قضية بيئية عالمية وشاغلاً مشتركاً للبشرية وهي نتيجة حتمية للتطور الحضاري، لاسيما بعد قيام الثورة الصناعية، فقد كان الاستهلاك غير العقلاني لموارد الطبيعة والتوسع العمراني على حساب المساحات الخضراء آثار خطيرة على المناخ الذي يعد من اهم عناصر البيئة الطبيعية لما له من اثر واضح على كافة مجالات الحياة. على صعيد الحالة العراقية يواجه العراق تحديات عدة يفرضها تغير المناخ كارتفاع درجات الحرا

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
El color como símbolo literario En (Cañas y Barro) de Vicente Blasco Ibáñez
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            El color es uno de los elementos novelísticos que ayudan los autores para desarrollar las acciones y llevarlas al desenlace adecuado. Y Blasco Ibáñez depende al color para pintar las escenas artísticas dentro sus novelas, especialmente, sus novelas que pertenecen al siglo de naturaleza. Él conocido con la abundancia de los colores para describir el ambiente y los personajes, como indica el autor catedrático José A. Balseiro:

  "su pluma no supo__ como el pincel de los primitivos__ del matiz logrado a toques mínimos, pacientes. ¿No era, a caso, coterráneo de Joaquín Sorolla, en cuya paleta mediterránea celebrábase, día tras día, el milagro del f

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
L`image du héros romantique dans: Un Barrage Contre Le Pacifique et L`Amant
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Dans le roman moderne, le type du héros est depuis longtemps devenu suspect.  Il risque même de disparaitre dans ce qu´on désigne le Nouveau Roman qui, se concentrant plutôt sur les objets, décrits minutieusement, refuse la fonction épistémologique traditionnelle de la littérature. Cette conception se manifeste, sur le plan formel, par certains traits typiques, comme la relativisation des points de vue, la décomposition de l´action, la destruction du temps, la décomposition de l´espace et la désintégration du personnage romanesque dont les liens avec la société sont coupés.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
المشكلات التي تعاني منها المرأة العراقية الأرملة في ظل الظروف الراهنة
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This research aims at identifying problems  that the  Iraqi widow woman suffers from. The research is limited to a Sample of terrorism victims widows which is up to (70) widows from Al-Amal center for widows and orphans care in Baghdad.                                                                                <

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Arts of Media Writing / An Empirical Study on the Privacy of Media Writing
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Media writing is accuracy writing. Clarity and concision are its predominant features. It is a writing that goes straight to the essence because it has no time to waste. Furthermore, it must be as accurate as scientific writing. It is destined for the average reader and has to be understood by everyone. However, it can be as elegant as literary writing. The variety in its forms of expression does not prevent media writing from having its own amplitude.

In short, this study is a practical approach that aims at studying different kinds of writing styles and identifying the specificity of media writing using some patterns and examples

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Publication Date
Tue Apr 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
التربية النفسية والاخلاقية عند مسكويه في كتابه ( تهذيب الاخلاق وتطهير الاعراق)
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أن الامم والشعوب لاتستطيع المحافظة على استمرار وجودها وتقدمها ورقيها، إلابفضل إعداد اجيالها المتعاقبة الاعداد السليم المتكامل ، وبقدر ما تحافظ الامم والشعوب على تربية هذه الاجيال للتمسك بدينها ، ومعتقداتها ، واخلاقها ، بقدر ما تحافظ على بقائها وعلو شأنها ، وكما فطنت الامم والشعوب إلى اهمية تربية اجيالها ، فطن اعداؤها الى ضرورة التخريب في جذور البناء الصحيح لتربية الاجيال ( فاطمة ، 1998، ص2).

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 11 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Improvement of Mechanical and Rheological Properties of Natural Rubber for Anti-Vibration Applications
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Abstract  

This research aims to study and improve the passivating specifications of rubber resistant to  vibration. In this paper, seven different rubber recipes were prepared based on mixtures of natural rubber(NR)  as an essential part in addition to the synthetic rubber (IIR, BRcis, SBR, CR)with different rates. Mechanical tests such as tensile strength, hardness, friction, resistance to compression, fatigue and creep testing in addition to the rheological test were performed. Furthermore, scanning electron microscopy (SEM)test was used to examine the structure morphology of rubber. After studying and analyzing the results, we found that, recipe containing (BRcis) of 40% from th

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