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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
اطار مقترح لمؤشرات بطاقة قياس الاداء المتوازنة في المؤسسات التعليمية
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Performance measurement is considered one of the most important issues in

Measuring performance effectiveness in the educational institutions by maintaining balance among quantity measurable factors. They can be financial or non‐financial factors. Consequently they reflect decisive factors in the success of educational institutions and determining suitable standards and dimensions for their activities and giving it proportional importance. Adopting the idea of Balanced Score Card as one of the modern administrative techniques and methods by educational institutions assists in the development of administrative work, adjusting the performance in addition to achieving comprehensive standard and development of educational universit

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
الاستاذ
شعر المرأة في الأغاني لأبي فرج الأصفهاني(العصر العباسي أنموذجًا)
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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
مبنى القافية واثره الاسلوبي في ديوان (الجداول) لايليا ابو ماضي
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0

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Aldura Alyatima fi Bath Manakeb Alsayada Aladhimaa ( Fatema Al Zharaa apace upon her)
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This search in the virtues of the daughter of the Prophet Muhammad, to read on their boards want to recount loving and faithful), as stated in the introduction to the author, Abdullah Bin Ibrahim Al-Mirghani (D. 1207 H.) to give reasons in writing the manuscript, which was of an introduction and three chapters and a conclusion was the first in the door thanks to the great lady and on her birthday and her marriage and her death and subsequent events and the third in her them prayers and then the finale which was in love with the Prophet and calling for God to pardon and forgiveness and a good end. I was interested in this manuscript by Mirghani, Hadith and all accounts in reference to the virtues of the great lady to examine a manuscript

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 18 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Detection of Nutrients and Major Ions at Al Muthanna Storage Site Soil
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In the early 90s military operations and United Nations Special Commission “UNSCOM” teams have been destroyed the past Iraqi chemical program. Both operations led an extensive number of scattered remnants of contaminated areas. The quantities of hazardous materials, incomplete destructed materials, and toxic chemicals were sealed in two bunkers. Deficiency of appropriate destruction technology led to spreading the contamination around the storage site. This paper aims to introduce the environmental detection of the contamination in the storage site area using geospatial analysis technique. The environmental contamination level of nutrients and major ions such as sulphate (SO4), potassium (K), sodium (Na), magnesi

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تأثير الصراع بين الإدارة والأطباء في قرارات المستشفى ( دراسة تطبيقية )
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منذ بداية نشوء المستشفيات كمنظمات تعنى بصحة الناس، عُرف الصراع (Conflict) بين جماعتي الإدارة والأطباء. وقد تركز محوره في معظم الأحيان حول سلطة أي منهما هي الأقوى في اتخاذ قرارات المستشفى.. هذا إذا ما علمنا أن كل من الطرفين المتعارضين يستمد قوته ويعزز مكانته من خلال سلطته في اتخاذ القرارات. إن جهود كلا الجماعتين الطبية والإدارية تصب في منهل واحد ألا وهو خدمة المريض والارتقاء بالمستوى الصحي ل

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 02 2024
Journal Name
مجلة الانبار للعلوم القانونية والسياسية
دور القانون الجنائي في حماية تاريخ الدول ( الاثار العراقية انموذجاً)
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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة ديالى للبحوث الإنسانية
البنية التركيبية والبيانية في قصيدة (أدر الكؤوس) لعبد الحسن زلزلة
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يعد التحليل البلاغي تركيبيا وبيانيا من الآليات الكاشفة عن الدلالات العميقة المتولّدة جراء علاقات البنية السطحية ، مكونة نسقاً دلالياً متماسكاً ومشحوناً بتكثيف معنوي للصور البلاغية المنسوجة في نص القصيدة، والتي تفتح للمتلقي نافذة التشكيل المتخيل لحال الشعب وحاكمه ، والعلاقة القائمة بينهما في القصيدة ، إذ نسج الشاعر علائقية متنامية الدلالة بين أجزاء قصيدته ووحداتها ؛ لتكون كلاً واحداً ناقلاً المتلقي لواق

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 29 2020
Journal Name
جامعة بغداد/ كلية التربية للعلوم الصرفة - ابن الهيثم
مهارات التفكير التأملي المتضمـنة في كتاب الرياضيات للصف الأول المتوسط
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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Lean accounting and its rolls for calculated costs on value stream
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At the last two decades , The environment has witnessed tremendous changes in many fields with the huge competition , various technological development and customer satisfaction , that are reflected in economic units a doption for lean production system .                 

      Lean Accounting that has appeared as aresponse for changes occurred of economic units adoption for lean accounting system instead of wide production system : through it management of economic units has been changed from management by top departments into management by value flows : has provide new method for accounting costs according to value flow

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