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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
دور شبكات التواصل الاجتماعي في ثورات الربيع العربي
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دور شبكات التواصل الاجتماعي في ثورات الربيع العربي

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 27 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Effect of Globalized Media on Ideological Deviation of Young Adults
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This study aims to identify the effects of globalized media on the creed deviation of young adults in the light of the challenges of globalization in all its forms. It aims to identify globalization’s most important means; media, while clarifying its concept and its most important types and tools and employing all media means for learning and proper education. The latters are safeguarded from the influences and effects of globalization, developing the spirit of coexistence and peaceful dialogue with others and clarifying the effect of creed deviation on weakening the Muslim community. The importance of the topic lie in how to address and maintain the ideological values ​​and morals of our youth, make them aware of the challenges/da

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 02 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The effect of recent technology on university students’ skills
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The study aims to identify the students’ attitudes toward recent techniques’ use in teaching; using power point software and data show to facilitate teaching approaches as well as following the approach of lecture in giving subjects, do these techniques facilitate, increase, and tackle the difficulties of subjects, do these attitudes positive or negative?, and to what extent these techniques raise up students’ motivation.   

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
LA PESTE : PROJET IDEOLOGUIQUE
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Nous tenterons dans ce travail de proposer une des lectures possibles de
l’oeuvre camusienne, en l’occurrence La peste. Il s’agit, pour nous, de lire ce roman
sur une portée idéologique. Et ce qui justifie notre tentative, c’est Camus lui-même
qui voudrait qu’on lise son roman " sur plusieurs portées " lorsqu’il déclare : « La
peste, dont j’ai voulu qu’elle se lise sur plusieurs portées, a cependant comme
contenu évident la lutte de la résistance européenne contre le Nazisme»1.
1 .CAMUS (Albert),"Lettre à Roland Barthes sur La peste", L’oeuvre complète, Vol.I, La Pléiade, Ed.Gallimard,
Paris, 1965. p. 1928.
Parmi toute l’oeuvre camusienne, nous choisissons La peste parce qu’elle

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Zur Opposition restriktiv/nichtrestriktiv im Hocharabischen und im Deutschen
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This paper deals with the restrictive/nonrestrictive relative clauses in German and Arabic. I will, first of all, be concerned with some theories that have been provided to define the restrictive and the nonrestrictive relative clauses, particularly with the phonetic hypothesis. It will be, then, shown that the phonetic aspect is unable to give clear answers in this respect. The best way to determine restrictivity in both languages is, I think, by implementing of semantic indicators.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 03 2011
Journal Name
مجلة حولية المنتدى
مفهوم التعايش السلمي ودوره في تحقيق الوحدة الوطنية
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ان التعايش السلمي والوحدة الوطنية تربطهما علاقة وثيقة تعبر عن حاجة اجتماعية في أطار تطور مجتمعي للدولة العراقية، فقد شهد العراق بعد العام 2003 تحديا جديدا تمثل في تغليب الانتماءات الفرعية والطائفية والعرقية والدينية والمذهبية على الانتماء الوطني مما يؤدي الى بلورة وترسيخ عوامل الانقسام وتفتيت لمقومات الوحدة الاندماج الوطني ، لذلك تعد دعامة التعايش السلمي في المجتمعات ضرورة لازمة من اجل الحفاظ على كينونة

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 29 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
الضريبـــــــــــــة البيئيـــــــــة ودورها في الحد من التلوث البيئـــــــــــــــي
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Despite the growing interest in the subject of the environment and environmental pollution and the increasing of scientific studies to measure the environmental cost, but it still suffers shortcomings and incompleteness due to the difficulties facing the process of measuring of these costs , Due to lack of the possibility of determining the monetary value to it.

             The research began trying to develop solutions to the problem of the research , which is the actual measuring nothingness of environmental pollution for research sample plant and It’s comparison to local and international environmental pollution standards , for the purpose of adoption in the imposi

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 27 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
جهود علماء مملكة غرناطة الاندلسية في الشعر التعليمي
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  نالت الحياة الادبية في مملكة غرناطة الاندلسية حظاً كبيراً 

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
حضور الخمرة في شعر مظفر النواب دراسة بلاغیة
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This research is a rhetorical study that sheds light on theme
prominent of central identified as custom poet of MUDAFAR AL NAWAB
political and national' that "wine "that themes which had a prominent
presence and intense in his poetry .and objective of this research is to detect
the aesthetic performance ALNAWABY in which he put to categorization
"wine" ,through observation of manifestation the presence of winey. And
related scream the images and the meaning of talking semantics base to
move in the spaces of the text and have built our study on three topics: we
started The first research with lexicon russet in the processes of counting
and analysis of the semantics wine in the office of the poet trying to reveal

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 26 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التعبير الاصطلاحي في آثار ابن المقفع- دراسة دلالية
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Each of the languages ​​possesses a set of phenomena that researchers in its sciences should stop at to explain the secrets of this language, including the phenomenon of idiomatic expression. Perhaps this phenomenon may constitute an obstacle to non-native speakers of the language or even the native speakers themselves. The Arabic language is full of these expressions, Which needs us to dedicate its own studies to it so that we can collect it in a dictionary that includes and collects it with explanation and interpretation of its semantics

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