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Modeling Rate of Penetration using Artificial Intelligent System and Multiple Regression Analysis
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Abstract<p>Over the years, the prediction of penetration rate (ROP) has played a key rule for drilling engineers due it is effect on the optimization of various parameters that related to substantial cost saving. Many researchers have continually worked to optimize penetration rate. A major issue with most published studies is that there is no simple model currently available to guarantee the ROP prediction.</p><p>The main objective of this study is to further improve ROP prediction using two predictive methods, multiple regression analysis (MRA) and artificial neural networks (ANNs). A field case in SE Iraq was conducted to predict the ROP from a large number of parameters. A databases from one well drilled in carbonate environments were subjected to the predictive methods. Each raw dataset is described by eight parameters including rate of penetration (ROP), true vertical depth (TVD), weight on bit (WOB), bit rotational speed (RPM), torque (TQ), flow rate (Q), equivalent circulating density (ECD), standpipe pressure (SPP), and unconfined compressive strength (UCS). First, both MRA and ANNs are tested as predictive methods. The prediction capacity of each model was also verified by using two-based error metrics: the determination coefficient (R2) and the mean square error (MSE).</p><p>The current results support the evidence that MRA and ANNs are able to be effectively utilize the drilling data, and thus provide accurate ROP prediction. However, more attention to the multiple regression analysis is required where it is implemented for ROP prediction. ANNs appear to be more conservative in predicting ROP than MRA as indicated by a higher value R2 (0.96) and lower value MSE (1.89) of the ANN model. Considering the input parameters, the obtained results showed that TVD, WOB, RPM, SPP, and ECD had the greatest effect on estimated ROP-conditions, followed in decreasing by pump flow rate, drilling torque, and rock strength. Another important point that highlights in this study is that the drilling rate may increase with depth in carbonate rocks because of their heterogeneity. This study presents new models to estimate ROP from other parameters which can help the driller to achieve an optimal drilling rate through monitoring controllable parameters.</p>
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Publication Date
Wed Nov 27 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Using Remote Sensing and GIS to Study Morphological Analysis of Kirkuk Province
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       Remote sensing is a source of up-to-date information. The present study relied on various approaches for gathering information, including descriptive, quantitative and quantitative analytical processes. Particularly,  we conducted the analysis of the satellite data ETM + of the satellite Landsat7 and the digital models of Digital Elevation Model of SRTM using ArcGIS9.2. The model depends on primary mathematical equations and  constitutes an essential base for GIS applications that rely on data, computer, and software, performing the processes of data entry, analysis and processing. This paper deals with the geomorphological characteristics of a selected study area in Kirkuk province. The cha

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Materials Science And Engineering
Experimental and Numerical Analysis of Laser Surface Melting by Using Enthalpy Method
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Abstract<p>In this study, experimental and numerical applied of heat distribution due to pulsed Nd: YAG laser surface melting. Experimental side was consists of laser parameters are, pulse duration1.3<italic>ms</italic>, wavelength 1064nm, laser energies 1.5, 2. 6 and 4.3 J, laser beam diameter is 0.6 mm and spot diameter 0.78 mm was applied a low carbon steel type St37 with a dimension 10, 10, 3 mm, length, width and thickness respectively. Numerical analysis side consist of a mathematical model and calculating a thermal cycle by using equation in the enthalpy method applied to determine the cooling rate in fusion zone. The simulation by using the enthalpy method, applied on conduction heat transfer </p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Mon Jul 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
Clinical and Laboratory Profiles of 109 Patients diagnosed as Multiple Myeloma in Erbil City.
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Background: Multiple myeloma is characterized by clonal expansion and accumulation of abnormal plasma cells in the bone marrow compartment. This study was conducted to determine the frequency and hematological presentation of multiple myeloma in Nanakaly Hospital in Erbil city.
patients and Methods: This descriptive retrospective study was carried out at Nanakaly Hospital over a period of six years from January 2007 to August 2012. A total of 109 patients who were diagnosed with multiple myeloma all were included to analyze the clinical and laboratory profiles. All patients were selected based on preset diagnostic criteria by the WHO.
Results: The study showed a male: female ratio of 1:1.1, the mean age of male patients was 57.8 ye

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
A Smishing Detection Method Based on SMS Contents Analysis and URL Inspection Using Google Engine and VirusTotal
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    Smishing is the delivery of phishing content to mobile users via a short message service (SMS). SMS allows cybercriminals to reach out to mobile end users in a new way, attempting to deliver phishing messages, mobile malware, and online scams that appear to be from a trusted brand. This paper proposes a new method for detecting smishing by combining two detection methods. The first method is uniform resource locators (URL) analysis, which employs a novel combination of the Google engine and VirusTotal. The second method involves examining SMS content to extract efficient features and classify messages as ham or smishing based on keywords contained within them using four well-known classifiers: support vector machine (SVM), random

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Evaluation of ANFIS and Regression Techniques in Estimating Soil Compression Index for Cohesive soils
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Generally, direct measurement of soil compression index (Cc) is expensive and time-consuming. To save time and effort, indirect methods to obtain Cc may be an inexpensive option. Usually, the indirect methods are based on a correlation between some easier measuring descriptive variables such as liquid limit, soil density, and natural water content. This study used the ANFIS and regression methods to obtain Cc indirectly. To achieve the aim of this investigation, 177 undisturbed samples were collected from the cohesive soil in Sulaymaniyah Governorate in Iraq. Results of this study indicated that ANFIS models over-performed the Regression method in estimating Cc with R2 of 0.66 and 0.48 for both ANFIS and Regre

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Desalination And Water Treatment
Elucidation of the removal of trivalent and divalent heavy metal ions from aqueous solutions using hybrid-porous composite ion-exchangers by nonlinear regression
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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2022
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Optimized Artificial Neural network models to time series
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        Artificial Neural networks (ANN) are powerful and effective tools in time-series applications. The first aim of this paper is to diagnose better and more efficient ANN models (Back Propagation, Radial Basis Function Neural networks (RBF), and Recurrent neural networks) in solving the linear and nonlinear time-series behavior. The second aim is dealing with finding accurate estimators as the convergence sometimes is stack in the local minima. It is one of the problems that can bias the test of the robustness of the ANN in time series forecasting. To determine the best or the optimal ANN models, forecast Skill (SS) employed to measure the efficiency of the performance of ANN models. The mean square error and

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 05 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Fuzzy Bridge Regression Model Estimating via Simulation
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      The main problem when dealing with fuzzy data variables is that it cannot be formed by a model that represents the data through the method of Fuzzy Least Squares Estimator (FLSE) which gives false estimates of the invalidity of the method in the case of the existence of the problem of multicollinearity. To overcome this problem, the Fuzzy Bridge Regression Estimator (FBRE) Method was relied upon to estimate a fuzzy linear regression model by triangular fuzzy numbers. Moreover, the detection of the problem of multicollinearity in the fuzzy data can be done by using Variance Inflation Factor when the inputs variable of the model crisp, output variable, and parameters are fuzzed. The results were compared usin

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 30 2021
Journal Name
Scientific Review Engineering And Environmental Sciences
Mesoscale modeling of fracture in cement and asphalt concrete
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In this paper, mesoscale modeling is performed to simulate and understand fracture behavior of two concrete composites: cement and asphalt concrete using disk-shaped compact tension (DCT) tests. Mesoscale models are used as alternative to macroscale models to obtain better realistic behavior of composite and heterogeneous materials such as cement and asphalt concrete. In mesoscale models, aggregate and matrix are represented as distinct materials and each material has its characteristic properties. Disk-shaped compact tension test is used to obtain tensile strength and fracture energy of materials. This test can be used as a better alternative to other tests such as three points bending tests because it is more convenient for both field and

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of Models (NAGARCH & APGARCH) by Using Simulations
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Simulation experiments are a means of solving in many fields, and it is the process of designing a model of the real system in order to follow it and identify its behavior through certain models and formulas written according to a repeating software style with a number of iterations. The aim of this study is to build a model  that deals with the behavior suffering from the state of (heteroskedasticity) by studying the models (APGARCH & NAGARCH) using (Gaussian) and (Non-Gaussian) distributions for different sample sizes (500,1000,1500,2000) through the stage of time series analysis (identification , estimation, diagnostic checking and prediction). The data was generated using the estimations of the parameters resulting f

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