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Travel Time Prediction Models and Reliability Indices for Palestine Urban Road in Baghdad City
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Abstract

     Travel Time estimation and reliability measurement is an important issues for improving operation efficiency and safety of traffic roads networks. The aim of this research is the estimation of total travel time and distribution analysis for three selected links in Palestine Arterial Street in Baghdad city. Buffer time index results in worse reliability conditions. Link (2) from Bab Al Mutham intersection to Al-Sakara intersection produced a buffer index of about 36%  and 26 % for Link (1) Al-Mawall intersection to Bab Al- Mutham intersection and finally for link (3) which presented a 24% buffer index. These illustrated that the reliability get worst for link (2), (1) and (3) respectively during the peak period. Extra delay is observed on link(1), (2) and (3) in terms of 95% percentile travel time of about  (301.9, 219.4, and 193.8)sec. for Link (1, 2 and 3) respectively. Higher value for 95% travel time is obtained for link (1). Travel time index (TTI) of 4.2 %, 4.9% and 4% is obtained for Link (1, 2 and 3) respectively. Maximum value for delay per km that obtained for link (1) which is about 266 sec/km and 268 sec./km for link (3) and 244 sec/km for link(2). Different predicted model for the three studied links of Palestine street have been developed based on the obtained field data. A best fit is presented as compared the predicted models with the observed field travel time data for all the models of studied links which illustrated that the predicted model can present the actual field data.

Keywords: Delay, Buffer Index, Travel Time, predicted model, Reliability, Urban Arterial.

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
Research Journal Of Pharmacy And Technology
Obesity Prevalence in Primary School Children in Baghdad City
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Publication Date
Sun Jun 06 2010
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Microbial Contamination in Some Commercial Biscuits in Baghdad City
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This study has been conducted to know the level of microbial ( bacteria and fungi) contamination in 5 types of biscuits from local markets of Baghdad city. Fifty samples (ten sample for each kind of biscuit) were studed,Two are local,others are Iranian,Turkish,and Holandies. The following results have been achieved :1. The highest number of bacteria was 21.6×103 cell/g in Iranian biscuit while the lowest number was 14.3× 103 cell/g in local biscuit No.1 . The highest number of fungi was 16×103 colony/g and the lowest number was 5.3×103 colony/g in the Iranian and the local biscuit No.1,respectively.2. Staphylococcus aureus was the major bacteria appeared at highest level of 100% in Turkish biscuit. The lowest percentage was found in H

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
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The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traff

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 02 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The relationship between Intrinsic Motivation Academy and Time Management among University students
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study aimed to recognize The relationship between Intrinsic Motivation Academy and Time Management among University students and measure Intrinsic Motivation Academy And Time Management for sample and Balancing Degrees of Basic Research on the two scales According to the Variable genders and Specialization, The sample consisted (350) students by (230) female (120) male , and the sample  responded scales of Intrinsic Motivation Academy for (Alwan & Attaat2009) and Time Management (Building tool), The Results of this study show that: There are statistically significant differences according to gender variable in Intrinsic Motivation Academy and Time Management in favor of the male, and there are statistica

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Environmental Pollution
Prediction of sediment heavy metal at the Australian Bays using newly developed hybrid artificial intelligence models
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Publication Date
Thu Jun 20 2024
Journal Name
Ingénierie Des Systèmes D Information
Enabling Technologies for Ultra-Low Latency and High-Reliability Communication in 6G Networks
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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
The Transitions in Contemporary Urban Space
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It is the dynamic tension between the relatively fixed built environment and the constantly changing in social life that determines the nature of urban spaces belonging to different historical periods, and considered as a tool for diagnosing transformations in urban spaces, that’s why, the characteristics of urban space became unclear between positive spaces and negative spaces, so emerged the need to study contemporary urban space belonging to the current period of time and show the most important transformations that have occurred in contemporary urban space to reach urban spaces that meet the current  life requirements. Therefore, the research dealt with a study of the characteristics of contemporary urban space and the most pr

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 31 2012
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Experimental Investigation of Using Evaporative Air Cooler for Winter Air-Conditioning in Baghdad
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This paper presents an efficient methodology to design modified evaporative air-cooler for winter air-conditioning in Baghdad city as well as using it for summer air-conditioning by adding a heating process after the humidification process. laboratory tests were performed on a direct evaporative cooler (DEC) followed by passing the air on hot water through heat exchanger placed in the coolers air duct exit. The tests were conducted on the 2nd of December /2011 when the ambient temperature was 8.1°C and the relative humidity was  (68%). The air flow rate is assumed to vary between 0.069 to 0.209 kg/s with constant water flow rate of 0.03 kg/s in the heat exchanger. The performance is reported in terms of effectiveness of DEC, satura

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Fuzzy logic in the estimate of reliability function for k - components systems
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Abstract:

One of the important things provided by fuzzy model is to identify the membership functions. In the fuzzy reliability applications with failure functions of the kind who cares that deals with positive variables .There are many types of membership functions studied by many researchers, including triangular membership function, trapezoidal membership function and bell-shaped membership function. In I research we used beta function. Based on this paper study classical method to obtain estimation fuzzy reliability function for both series and parallel systems.

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 25 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Non-deterministic Approach for Reliability Evaluation of Steel Beam
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This paper aims to evaluate the reliability analysis for steel beam which represented by the probability of Failure and reliability index. Monte Carlo Simulation Method (MCSM) and First Order Reliability Method (FORM) will be used to achieve this issue. These methods need two samples for each behavior that want to study; the first sample for resistance (carrying capacity R), and second for load effect (Q) which are parameters for a limit state function. Monte Carlo method has been adopted to generate these samples dependent on the randomness and uncertainties in variables. The variables that consider are beam cross-section dimensions, material property, beam length, yield stress, and applied loads. Matlab software has be

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