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The use of ARIMA, LSTM and GRU models in time series hybridization with practical application
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The importance of forecasting has emerged in the economic field in order to achieve economic growth, as forecasting is one of the important topics in the analysis of time series, and accurate forecasting of time series is one of the most important challenges in which we seek to make the best decision. The aim of the research is to suggest the use of hybrid models for forecasting the daily crude oil prices as the hybrid model consists of integrating the linear component, which represents Box Jenkins models and the non-linear component, which represents one of the methods of artificial intelligence, which is long short term memory (LSTM) and the gated recurrent unit (GRU) which represents deep learning models. It was found that the proposed hybrid models in the prediction process when conducting simulation for different sample sizes and when applied to the daily crude oil price time series data, were more efficient than the single models, and the comparison between the single models and the proposed hybrid models was made by comparison scale, mean square error (MSE), and the results showed that the proposed hybrid models have the ability to predict crude oil prices, as they gave more accurate and efficient results.

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2006
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
The Use of Spiral Computerized Tomography in the Diagnosis of Middle –Third Facial Fractures as Compared to Plain Radiography
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Background: Trauma is one of the most common
clinical problems that confront the maxillofacial
surgeon and radiologist alike. Middle third facial
fractures are diagnosed primarily on the bases of
clinical examination and plain radiographs than can
result in much preoperative speculation.
Objective: To assess the advantages of spiral
computerized tomography over conventional
radiography in the pre-surgical evaluation of middle
third facial fractures.
Methods: Thirty patients with thirty-eight facial
fractures were studied, all patients were examined
clinically, by plain radiography and then by spiral CT.
Results: Of the 38 middle-third fractures, 16
(42.1%) were zygomatic fractures, 8 (21.1%) were

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
The use of Puppets in the educational process of Scientific topics, Like physics " Archimedes Principle as a typical example "
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This Study presents and provides Variable thoughts and aspects for representing Scientific topics " Physics for instance " as Play Shows for high School Students, by Showing a suggested Method that will Contribute in illustrating the Steps of writing the educational Scientific topic, and this method will help teachers to deliver their message to the Students " receivers " easily.The researcher have used Puppets in this method as the assisting tool for teachers, to help them deliver message Clearlym easily and Joyful.The researcher in his experiment used " Archimedes Principle " as a typical example, by Converting it into a theatrical Script, with respect to the Concept of Science, and in accordance to the Scientific educational Curriculu

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 02 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Synthesis and characterization of Au nanoparticles for nanomedicine application
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Gold nanoparticles AuNPs have proven to be powerful tools in various nanomedicine applications, because of their photo-optical distinctiveness and biocompatibility. Noble metal gold nanoparticles was prepared by pulsed laser ablation method (1064-Nd: YAG with various Laser power from 200 to 800 mJ and 1 Hz frequency) in distil water. The process was characterized using UV-VIS absorption spectroscopy. Morphology and average size of nanoparticles were estimated using AFM and X-ray diffraction (XRD) analysis which show the nature of gold nanoparticles (AuNPs). Antibacterial activity of gold nanoparticles as a function of particles concentration against gram negative bacterium Escherichia coli and gram positive bacterial Staphylococcus aureu

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparing Some of Robust the Non-Parametric Methods for Semi-Parametric Regression Models Estimation
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In this research, some robust non-parametric methods were used to estimate the semi-parametric regression model, and then  these methods were compared using the MSE comparison criterion, different sample sizes, levels of variance, pollution rates, and three different models were used. These methods are S-LLS S-Estimation -local smoothing, (M-LLS)M- Estimation -local smoothing, (S-NW) S-Estimation-NadaryaWatson Smoothing, and (M-NW) M-Estimation-Nadarya-Watson Smoothing.

The results in the first model proved that the (S-LLS) method was the best in the case of large sample sizes, and small sample sizes showed that the

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 22 2022
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences (pen)
Developing models to predicting the effect of crises on construction projects using MLR technique
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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Development of Regression Models for Predicting Pavement Condition Index from the International Roughness Index
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Flexible pavements are considered an essential element of transportation infrastructure. So, evaluations of flexible pavement performance are necessary for the proper management of transportation infrastructure. Pavement condition index (PCI) and international roughness index (IRI) are common indices applied to evaluate pavement surface conditions. However, the pavement condition surveys to calculate PCI are costly and time-consuming as compared to IRI. This article focuses on developing regression models that predict PCI from IRI. Eighty-three flexible pavement sections, with section length equal to 250 m, were selected in Al-Diwaniyah, Iraq, to develop PCI-IRI relationships. In terms of the quantity and severity of eac

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Dentistry
Effect of etchant type and the use of silane on the shear bond strength of composite resin to porcelain
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Background: This study was formulated to compare the effect of 5%hydrofluoric acid in comparison to 37%phosphoric acid with and without the application of silane on bond strength of composite to porcelain. Materials and Methods: Specimen preparation was divided in to two phases, metal-disks fabrication (8mm-diameter and 4mm-thickness) and ceramic veneering. Thirty two specimens were prepared, sandblasted with 50 μm aluminum oxide, and divided into four groups of eight samples. Groups I and III were etched with 37%phosphoric acid while groups II and IV were etched with 5%hydrofluoric acid; and groups I and II were silaneted while groups III and IV were not. Heliobond, and resin composite were applied to each specimen using a plastic transpa

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 01 2021
Journal Name
Iop Conference Series: Earth And Environmental Science
A Vision to Develop the Effectiveness of the Dissemination of Innovations to Rationalize the Use of Irrigation Water in Iraqi Agriculture
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Abstract<p>Iraqi agriculture faces a major water problem, affecting cultivated areas, agricultural production, farmers’ incomes and food security. However, the results achieved in rationalizing the use of irrigation water are still limited and do not match what they should be in order to meet this serious challenge. The study aimed to provide a vision for the development of the effectiveness of the dissemination of innovations to rationalize the use of irrigation water in Iraqi agriculture. In light of the framework of the dissemination of agricultural innovations, factors related to their effectiveness, and the summary of the Iraqi experience in the field of dissemination of modern irrigation</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Fri Dec 30 2011
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
The Role of the Use of Low Molecular Weight Heparin in the Prevention of Deep Venous Thrombosis after Total Knee Arthroplasty
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Background A prospective clinical study was
performed to compare the efficacy of the use of lowmolecular-
weight heparin group (enoxparin group)
with control group in the prevention of deep-vein
thrombosis after total knee arthroplasty.
Aim of the study: to assess the prevalence of DVT
after total knee arthroplasty and evaluate the
importance of the use of low molecular weight
heparin in the prevention of this DVT.
Methods Thirty-three patients undergoing total
knee arthroplasty were randomly divided into two
groups. One group consisted of 12 patients who
received no prophylaxis with an anticoagulant (the
control group), other group consisted of 21 patients
who received the low-molecular-weight h

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Eco Env And Cons
Histological changes resulting from the use of sublethal concentrations from insecticide.....
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