تهتم الدراسة بالخصائص الكمية المتمثلة بالتركيب النوعي والعمري للسكان الاميين في محافظة بغداد على مستوى قضاء وحسب تعداد عام 1997، ومسح الامن الغذائي والهشاشة للأسرة في العراق لعام 2016، فضلا عن احصائيات الجهاز التنفيذي لمحو الامية لعام 2019، وقد اعتمدت الدراسة على السكان الاميين من عمر عشر سنوات فأكثر وعلى الفئات العمرية العشرية، اوضحت الدراسة بأن نسبة النوع للسكان الاميين للأعوام الثلاثة قد جاءت منخفضة على مستوى المحافظة فبلغت (43 ذكرا لكل مائة انثى) للعام 1997، ثم حصل ارتفاعا طفيفا لهذه النسبة على مستوى المحافظة للعامين 2016 و 2019 عن ما قبلها حيث بلغت نسبتهم (44 ذكرا لكل مائة انثى)، مما يعني ان كل اربع واربعين ذكرا اميا يقابله مائة انثى من الاميات، وهذا يرجع الى تأثر الاناث اكثر من الذكور بالعوامل الاجتماعية والاقتصادية والسياسية وغيرها من التي لها اثرا في تفشي ظاهرة الامية في مجتمع ما، اما بالنسبة للتركيب العمري للسكان الاميين فقد بينت الدراسة ان اعلى نسبة للسكان الاميين جاءت ضمن الفئة العمرية لكبار السن وهي (60 فأكثر) و للأعوام الثلاثة 1997 و 2016 و 2019 على مستوى المحافظة فبلغت النسبة لكل عام (28،9 % و 30،2 % و 30 %) على التوالي، وكان سبب ارتفاع نسبة الاميين و على مدى تلك السنوات هو نتيجة لإلغاء قانون محو الامية رقم (92) لعام 1978 بموجب قرار مجلس قيادة الثورة المنحل رقم (439) لعام 1987، وكل ما يتعلق بإلغاء المدارس الشعبية لمحو الامية، وكان السبب في هذا القرار هو للأغراض التعبوية العسكرية حيث انتقل الدارس الى الجيش الشعبي خلال حرب الخليج الاولى (1980 – 1988).
The current study is concerned with the analysis of spatial and temporal to death the elderly population in the city of Baghdad and at the level of administrative units Minor (districts and the areas) depending on the general population census of the province of Baghdad, data for 1997 and data from the Ministry of Health Department of Health and Vital Statistics for 2013.
The study showed differing age and quality of mortality rates at the level of administrative units of the study area, and notes the high mortality rates of elderly people of all age groups in 2013 compared to 1997, and this is due to security conditions after the USA occupation, and the accompanying conditions have affected the increase in mortality rates.
The study of sex Structure and age characteristics of an important element of the
follow-up changes between different population groups, which are connected to a large degree
the demographic, social and economic characteristics, particularly since each population
group varying characteristics in terms of age, sex entail social, demographic, cultural and
economic implications, and from that the researcher has taken from Structure of sex and age
for population in the district of Tuz Khurmatu for (1997-2012 ) the subject of consideration
and maintain compared to see the contrast between them. Qualitative Research for installation
and the age of the urban and rural areas has touched the judiciary, as well as its respects
سنقوم في هذا البحث باشتقاق توزيع الطلب خلال فترة الانتظار لنظام سيطرة على الخزين يخضع فيه الطلب لتوزيع گاما فيما يخضع وقت الانتظار للتوزيع اللوغايتمي الطبيعي، كما سيتم استخراج العزوم الأساسية لهذا المتغير ، الضرورية بدورها لاستخراج بعض مؤشرات النظام المذكور.
المصطلحات المستخدمة: التكامل المحيط، المستوي المركب، تكامل هانكيل، مستوى إعادة الطلب، الوقاية.
Abstract:
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