Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an acute disease that affects the respiratory system which initially appeared in Wuhan, China. In Feb 2019 the sickness began to spread swiftly throughout the entire planet, causing significant health, social, and economic problems. Time series is an important statistical method used to study and analyze a particular phenomenon, identify its pattern and factors, and use it to predict future values. The main focus of the research is to shed light on the study of SARIMA, NARNN, and hybrid models, expecting that the series comprises both linear and non-linear compounds, and that the ARIMA model can deal with the linear component and the NARNN model can deal with the non-linear component. The models

Multilevel models are among the most important models widely used in the application and analysis of data that are characterized by the fact that observations take a hierarchical form, In our research we examined the multilevel logistic regression model (intercept random and slope random model) , here the importance of the research highlights that the usual regression models calculate the total variance of the model and its inability to read variance and variations between levels ,however in the case of multi-level regression models, the calculation of  the total variance is inaccurate and therefore these models calculate the variations for each level of the model, Where the research aims to estimate the parameters of this m

لما كانت العلاقه بين الاولاد  ووالديهم  مؤثره في تحديد شخصيتهم وتطويرهم اجتماعيا , اصبح من الضروري ان ندرك بان هناك انواع مختلفه من اساليب المعامله الوالديه لكن الشائع عن اسلوب التنشئه الوالديه في العراق هو الاسلوب التسلطي الذي يفرض فيه الاب بالذات اكثر من الام اراء  ومعتقدات ويتحكم في اتخاذ القرارات نيابه عن الابناء وحتى عن الزوجه في كثير من الاحيان وقلما يتنازل الاب عن هذه الحقوق . انه

    The moral aspect is an important one in the structure of personality , and the lack of moral aspect is responsible for what we suffering today from problems . there is no exaggeration to say that many of our current problems are moral problems , and reflects the lack of moral growth.                            

 The goal of research is to build scale in order to detect the level of moral reasoning among junior high school students in Baghdad , The researcher followed the procedures in the construction of scientific standards in order to measur

     يتركز محور مشكلة البحث الحالي حول مفاهيم أساسية تعكس مكامن القوة في الشخصية الإنسانية وما لها من دور مؤثر على الواقع النفسي والمادي للفرد عموماً وهذه المفاهيم هي صلابة الشخصية، وتقدير الذات,ويتحدد مفهوم الصلابة من خلال مظاهر الشخصية وأسلوبها الذي تتميز به في التعامل مع الواقع وكيفية إدراكها وما تتمتع به من خبرات نفسية وتجارب حياتية داخلية تعكس مدى الوعي بالمستجدات الموقفية التي تصادفها

Cognitive methods play the role of regulator of the human environment for its direct relationship with sensory stimuli and stimuli associated with the organization of information and ideas and their preparation for use in subsequent situations. These methods determine the characteristic or ideal way of individual personality in the differentiation and integration of attitudes or cognitive field to which he is exposed. Therefore, the research aimed at the level of psychological stress and its relation to some personal characteristics that show the personality of the artist or the students of art.

Current research aims to.

1. Identifying the extent of psychological stress and its relation to the personal ch

Congenital anomalies commonly occur in humans, possibly visible. If these anomalies appear in visible parts in human body such as face, hands and feet. They may only appear after utilizing a number of special tests in order to show by means of the anomalies that occur in the internal organs of the body such as heart, stomach and kidneys.

    Research data have comprised accessible information in the anomalies birth statistics form situated of Health and Life Statistics section at the Ministry of Health and environment, where the number of anomalies births involved in the study (2603 anomalies birth) in Iraq, except Kurdistan region, at 2015. A two way-response logistic regression analysis h

The present study aims to develop and apply the unrealistic optimism scale among high school students. The researcher has designed a scale of (38) paragraphs to measure the unrealistic optimism. A sample of (200) male and female students were chosen randomly to collect the needed data. The study found that the unrealistic scale of optimism has good psychometric characteristics. The research sample has a high level of التفاؤل غير الواقعي لدى عينة البحث unrealistic optimism. There is a statistically significant difference between male and female in the unrealistic optimism in favor of the male students. Finally, there is a statistically significant difference between students in the fourth and sixth gra

The current research aims to identify the perceptual speed of the university students as well as to identify the differences in the level of perceptual speed for the university students according to the variables of (male, female) specialization (scientific, human) university (Baghdad, Mustansiriya). Additionally, the research aims to identify the prevalence of emotional pattern and to identify the relationship between perceptual speed and the emotional patterns among university students. The researcher designed a questionnaire to measure the Emotional Patterns based on Jerome Freedman perspective. As for perceptual speed, the researcher adopted French, Extrom and Price scale (1963), which was tran

Abstract

          Binary logistic regression model used in data classification and it is the strongest most flexible tool in study cases variable response binary when compared to linear regression. In this research, some classic methods were used to estimate parameters binary logistic regression model, included the maximum likelihood method, minimum chi-square method, weighted least squares, with bayes estimation , to choose the best method of estimation by default values to estimate parameters according two different models of general linear regression models ,and different s