Statistical methods of forecasting have applied with the intention of constructing a model to predict the number of the old aged people in retirement homes in Iraq. They were based on the monthly data of old aged people in Baghdad and the governorates except for the Kurdistan region from 2016 to 2019. Using Box-Jenkins methodology, the stationarity of the series was examined. The appropriate model order was determined, the parameters were estimated, the significance was tested, adequacy of the model was checked, and then the best model of prediction was used. The best model for forecasting according to criteria of (Normalized BIC, MAPE, RMSE) is ARIMA (0, 1, 2).
The goal of this study was intend to study the effects of induced
thyrotoxicosis on the histological structure of submandibular gland.
Two groups of mature albino mice wen: used, the first group was injected (subcutaneous) daily with (0.2_0.4)ml norma] salinfor 11 days and used as control group, while the second group was injected daily wi th L_thyroxin (T4) 0.2mg /Kg (subcutaneous) for l l days.
At the end of the treatment , supmandibular glands were processed for light microscopic examination .
The result.s have shown the presence of degenertaive changes of major submandibular acini cells in anima
... Show MoreThe Zubair Formation is the most significant sandstone reservoir in Iraq which deposited during the Barremian. The study area is located in the central part of Iraq at the Kifl oil field, in the northern part of the Mesopotamian Zone.
The petrographic study showed that quartz mineral is the main component of the sandstone in Zubair Formation with very low percentage of feldspar and rare rock fragments to classified as quartz arenite sandtone. There are five lithologic changes (lithofacies) that have characterized the studied succession: - well sorted quartz arenite, poorly sorted quartz arenite, poorly sorted graywacke, sandy shale, and shale. These lithofacieses were deposited in the deltaic environments as three associate
... Show More The research includes studying melodic and rhythmic properties, In the audio format for Iraqi musicians. The audio form is one of the important methodological forms in Arab music in general and Iraqi music in particular. It showcases its characteristics, features, internal form, and how important it is in Iraqi music.
Addressed ((the systematic framework)) presenting the research problem and the need for it. Its importance, purpose and limitations of its research, which included music ((Khaled Muhammad Ali)) as a human limit to reveal its characteristics in the composition of the audio form. And define the terms included in the research. And included ((theoretical framework)) on three topics .. The first: composing. The second
Background: Echocardiography has an important role to follow up patients with Iatrogenic atrial septaldefect (IASD) and after Catheter ablation during electro-physiological study.Objectives: evaluating the impact of non-invasive Transthoracic Echocardiography (TTE) parameters(LAVI, LVEF, ASD size and E/e`) post radiofrequency ablation of left atrial arrhythmia.Patients and methods: for the evaluation of the atrial septal defect, a transthoracic echocardiography(TTE) was used in patients who underwent left atrial arrhythmia ablation, enrolled in prospective studyin the Iraqi center for cardiac diseases, in cooperation with university of Baghdad /college of medicineResults: The outcomes of the present study were assessed according to
... Show MoreBackground/Aim: Endometrial abnormalities represent a diagnostic challenge due to overlapping imaging features with normal endometrium. Aim of this study was to assess accuracy of dynamic contrast-enhanced and diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in evaluation of endometrial lesions in comparison with T2 and to assess local staging validity and degree of myometrial invasion in malignancy. Methods: Forty patients with abnormal vaginal bleeding or sonographic thickened endometrial were recruited. MRI examination of pelvis was per-formed using 1.5 T scanner with a pelvic array coil. Conventional T1-and T2, dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) sequences and diffusion-weighted image (DWI) were performed. Results: Mean age of pa
... Show MoreBackground: Several risk managem-ent standards had been developed including the Project Management Institute, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, actuarial societies, and ISO standards.
Objective: The study aimed at evaluating risk management among managers of model and ordinary primary health care centers in Baghdad City and comparing the risk management among these centers.
Methods: A descriptive comparative des
... Show MoreBackground: Spleen is a hemopoietic organ which is capable of supporting elements of different systems. It is affected by several groups of diseases; inflammatory, hematopoietic, reticuloendothelial proliferation, portal hypertension and storage diseases. Ultrasound (US) may detect mild splenomegaly before it is clinically palpable. Knowledge of the normal range of spleen size in the population being examined is a prerequisite. Racial differences in splenic length could result in incorrect interpretation of splenic measurements and such differences would make it difficult to standardize expected splenic length and to determine non- palpable splenic enlargement.Objectives: To measure the normal values of splenic lengthin Iraqi subjects an
... Show MoreThe aim of the present study was to investigate the nephroprotective, hypolipidemic and hypoglycemic effects of Allium porrum (leek) in rabbits with cisplatin nephrotoxicity. Forty adult male New Zealand rabbits were divided randomly into four groups (ten rabbits in each group) as follows: Group I: (negative control) (C) received oral daily dose of distilled water for 15 successive days. Groups II: (Leek) (L) received oral daily dose of aqueous leek extract (500mg/kg/day) for 15 successive days. Group III: (positive control) [cisplatin (CP)] received oral daily dose of distilled water for 15 successive days, and subsequently administered single dose of Cisplatin (3.5mg/kg/day) by intraperitoneal injection from day 10 for five da
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