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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Public sector in Iraq Transition and partnership with the private sector
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  The role of the public sector- Investment customizations-  economic embargo -  The role of the private sector - Coexistence between the public and private sectors -   Ratio of growth

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Historical Paths of the Political Conflict in Iraq and its Development After 3002
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Following the political development in Iraq Since 7112 exposed kind of political traditions about how to manage the conflicts that have different Iraqi powers .That what was clear since the formation of permanent government since in 7112 .
The case of conflict between political powers in administrating Iraq state and the withdrawal of American Forcesintroduces questions:
0-Is it possible that that the beginning of Iraq state building shall ease this conflict and peacemaking in the post-conflict period?
7- To what extent the Iraqi powerswas to manage their disputes in non-military like elections which was held in 7112?
2- What is the range of the extent of the political operation after the American withdrawal?
The important

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
جغرافية جغرافية العراق في الادبيات الاجنبية والعربية (دراسة تاريخية - تحليلية)
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تناول هذا البحث مراجعة لعدد من الكتب التي ألفت في جغرافية العراق العربية منها والإنكليزية، وتحديداً الكتب في العصر الحديث، إذ توصل البحث الى وجود مجموعة من الكتب التي تناولت مختلف جوانب العراق الطبيعية منها والبشرية، اتضح أن بعض الكتب الجغرافية تناولت الجانب الجغرافي الطبيعي فقط، في حين أن كتب أخرى تناولت الجانب الجغرافي البشري فقط. وأخرى جمعت بين الجغرافية الطبيعية والبشرية للعراق.

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Updating the uniform accounting system in Iraq for installment sales transactions framework
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Due to the intensity of competition between economic units that run the trade in durable goods had to pay a lot of these companies to follow the new selling methods aimed at attracting customers to be able to increase its sales and thereby increase their profits ,  these methods are installment sales, which had been in great demand by the customers with limited income, who provides them with the possibility of possession and use of such goods and to postpone the full amount of the payment to the seller, This transaction sales have grown even became installment sales system at the present time of the common types of sales transactions and deployed a lot in our environment and in many sectors of the market, and in some cases m

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 05 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Challenges of Forming A Culture of Change in Iraq (Self-Obstacles to the Media Role)
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The Iraqi culture faced a set of challenges that can be diagnosed with the most prominent features as follows:

  1. The dominance of authoritarian political systems which entails authoritarian regimes with the absence of contemporary political concepts of human rights.
  2. The prevalence of non- informed cultural systems which have the shortage of capabilities that enable them to activate cultural elements in positive references, historical, or seclusion on itself and not be able to interact with the current active cultures.
  3. Stagnant economic conditions have not had a decent life for individuals, or a certain level of well-being, as well as poor services and others.
  4. Social life controlled by the prevai

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Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Feb 05 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
SPECIALIZED JOURNALISM IN IRAQ : (After The Events of 09-04-2003)
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The specialized Journalism plays an important role in our daily lives using all of its different ways, including news, caricature, commentary and dialogue. The specialized Journalism deserves vigilance and interest for it is caring about having a new media system. It is meant by “specialization”, first: identifying the areas of work in which the person concerned possesses great knowledge in the specialty resulting from a long experience, it also means being able to continuously develop required skills in that specialty. The specialization is not only a feature of the press, but also a feature of human development; thousands of years ago, the primitive society consisted of people from different specializations: fishermen, farmers, her

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 13 2016
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
New Species of the Sub family Cerambycinae (Coleoptera, Cerambycidae) from Iraq: New Species of the Sub family Cerambycinae (Coleoptera, Cerambycidae) from Iraq
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A new Species of the Cerambycinae belonging to the genus Hesperophanes was found new to the fauna of Iraq and Science. H. testaceus was studied in details and the male genitalia were illustrated. Type's paratypes and the locality of this newly described Species were mentioned.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Cultural alienation of residents outside Iraq
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The world has seen in recent years as a result of rapid changes in the information and communication revolution until his limbs became distant as if a small screen can be controlled at the touch of which resulted in a stunning advance in all areas of life button, these changes were not accompanied by all the positive development, but it has many drawbacks on humans resulted in many of the psychological, social, intellectual and cultural problems.

As it is the cultural alienation of the most important challenges faced by the community in light of the tremendous technological progress and rapid jumps that exceeded all expectations in addition to the economic, social and political changes experienced by the country led to the desire

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Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Feb 05 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
International and regional alliances polarization.. Case study IRAQ
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Abstract Iraq has an important place in the regional and international balance, and the competition among countries has increased in rapprochement with Iraq, not only for its geography or its privileged location, but because it has many other components that make regional and international countries want to strengthen their relations with it (Regional and international powers). In addition to that, Iraq has become increasingly important for these international and regional powers after its victory over the terrorist organization (ISIS), which proved an important fact that Iraq represents the most important pillars in the international balance.

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Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2010
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
العراق من التحول الديمقراطيالى التماسك الديمقراطي
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العراق من التحول الديمقراطي الى التماسك الديمقراطي

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