تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
Tourism plays an important role in Malaysia’s economic development as it can boost business opportunity in its surrounding economic. By apply data mining on tourism data for predicting the area of business opportunity is a good choice. Data mining is the process that takes data as input and produces outputs knowledge. Due to the population of travelling in Asia country has increased in these few years. Many entrepreneurs start their owns business but there are some problems such as wrongly invest in the business fields and bad services quality which affected their business income. The objective of this paper is to use data mining technology to meet the business needs and customer needs of tourism enterprises and find the most effective
... Show MoreThe research studies the melody and rhythmic characteristics in the songs of the Baghdadi quartet, as it is a type of popular singing in Iraq, reviewing its origins, social purposes, special and public events in which it is performed. The methodological framework included the problem of the research, the need for it, its importance, its purpose, and the limits of the research which included the objective limit: the songs of the Baghdadi quartet, the spatial limit: the city of Baghdad and the temporal limit (1960-1980) and identifying the terms included in the research.
The theoretical framework consisted of three items: the first is the popular singing, the second is the Iraqi popular singing and the third is the Baghdadi quartet. It
يستهدف البحث الحالي تعرف مستوى الذكاء الناجح لدى الطلبة في مدارس المتفوقين في المرحلة اإلعدادية، وكذلك تعرف مستوى الذكاء الناجح حسب متغير الجنس )ذكور، إناث(، فضالً عن تعرف لمتغير السيطرة الدماغية لدى الطلبة في مدارس المتفوقين، وتعرف السيطرة الدماغية وفقا الجنس )ذكور، ً إناث(، باإلضافة إلى تعرف العالقة بين متغير الذكاء الناجح والسيطرة الدماغية، وتم اختيار عينة عشوائية طبقية تكونت من )180( طالب وطالبة من مدارس
... Show MoreThe two researchers selected the problem of research which represented with the following asking: Does the use of the shape of Round house strategy have effectiveness in the collection of students of the Department of Art Education of the subjectof teaching methods?
The research aims to "measure the effectiveness of Strategy shape of Round house in the collection of students of the Department of Art Education for the material teaching methods" and to verify the aim of the research two zeroassumptions was identified to measure the level of achievement in the subject of teaching methods of third stage students in the Department of Art Education –College of Fine Arts.
The research community included the students of Art Education Dep
The design fabrics of the most important episodes that are at the core process rhetorical communication, until they became these episodes ample room for research and investigation, and the issue of non-familiar formality is nothing but the result of those relationships Constructivism, which is the result of an effort builders coherent activate the shape and attributes of phenotypic, therefore it will cause him a lot of questions about his and founded the organization in order to activate the speech communication between the product(cloth)and the receiver .On this basis, the research problem identified on imposing the question follows:1. Does the non-familiar formal role in enriching communication discourse of women's fabric designs?2. Ar
... Show MoreThis study deals with the reality of the design of a washing machine automation available in the markets Mahlah.otata importance of this issue is through the development of technological and technical exploited for the benefit of the consumer and always seeking perfection in industrial product through providing comfort to the user and reduce fatigue and the effort and time-saving as well. On this basis, the research aims of this study put the foundations for the development of design automation washer. The boundaries of the study were products company LG producing Sna2012.uahtot this study on five chapters included Allvsal first importance of research and the need for a mechanism in addition to Alchuklh research objectives and Hdodh.ama
... Show MoreThe research topic (The dramatic structure transformations in the Iraqi Feature Film) studies the dramatic structure and its transformations in the Iraqi feature film. The research determined the research problem and the need for it in addition to the aims and the limits of the study as well as its importance. The theoretical framework consists of the following themes: the dramatic transformations mechanism and dramatic data in the Iraq film 1957-2003 then the dramatic values transformations and the performance contradictions in the Iraqi film.
The research, after concluding the theoretical framework, came up with a number of indicators of the theoretical framework that have been used as a tool to analyze the sample. The research proc
The present study aims at identifying the styles, procedures of Iraqi universities to avoid plagiarism and evaluate these steps, also to evaluate the form prepared by the Directory of Scientific Supervision and Evaluation, Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research. The study uses documentary style, 150 teachers in the following colleges (Education Ibn Rushd, Languages and Arts) in university of Baghdad whom already used the aforementioned list were the sample of the study and they asked to give their opinions about the list.The study consists of five sections, first one deals with general view, second explains plagiarism and its types, shapes and reasons,third tackles with ways of detecting plagiarism, its programs, consequences
... Show Moreتتفق الدراسات الحديثة على ان النظام الديمقراطي في بلد ما لايمكن ان يقام الا في ظل جو تسوده الحرية السياسية والدينية، الا ان مصطلح الديمقراطية ومصطلح الحرية وضُعا في دائرة جدلية، لان مفهومهما بقي متعدداً ومختلفا فيه. يعد كارل بوبر من ابرز الفلاسفة في الفكر السياسي الغربي المعاصر المدافعين عن الديمقراطية بوصفها النقيض للديكتاتورية، إذ حدد وظيفتها بقدرتها على كبح جماح النخبة الحاكمة واخضاعها للقانون لمنع نزو
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