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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 31 2020
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
(Novelist character in the Iraqi press criticism – Fadhil Thamir as a model))
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Novel has recently  received the attention of readers and writers greatly, because of the role they play, and this indicates an important rule, which is whenever there is an art or creativity, there must be a respective criticism, and this criticism is certainly not less important than the author. So there are critics who have a prestigious literary position in the follow-up story development, and trying to describe the transformation of its elements. One of these critics is professor Fadhel Thamer, and who wants to approach one of the elements of the novel exploring, must stop on the visions of this critic about it , and that’s why we take the (character) element following the most important opinions of this critic about

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الفلاسفة الفلاسفة وآراؤهم في العقل وعلاقته بالنفس والروح والقلب
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In this research  I  like  to shed  light on the mind  because  of its  importance  because  it is  what  distinguishes  Human  from all  other  animals and  that  the question  and  status  comes  from his role in the  formulation  of  knowledge  and  science  where the  machers  agreed  that  the word of  mind  in  its  general  sense  is the  source  of  thought  and  thought  and the instrument  of  faith  and  philosophy , Then to the statement  of the  various  stages  pass

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
رواية بوهيميا الخراب دراسة تأويلية في جدلية النص والزمن
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Bohemia AL-Kharab for Salah Salah Which contain 477Paper deal With History of Nathion This Novel Has a different styl from another IraQis Novels, this Novel has no conversation this is the basic reason Which hav this research .

The novel have 3 versions , the first one deal with explain the text in different ways , the second contains the realation ship between the text and the reader .

Which appear very clear in novel from up to down , whil the third one and the last explaine

The hermonologiq

The time bylose the relation in the novel.

The last thing is the conclusion which has the simple things  conclude by the researcher from several readings  to the novel

 

 <

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Space Treatment in the Ceramic Sculpture of the Potter "Shinyar Abdua – Allah"
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Space is considered as an important element in constructing artwork, it can be a dominant and fulfilled part that adds new existence to the content. Each artwork must have a space artistically or analytically. The internal and eternal space of artwork have associated with each other in order to be ann important connected unit that establishes the work epressions and helps the audience to understand it. Such kind of works can be represented by the works of the potter (Sheinyor Abdu Allah) which have uarious expressions of space which this study is based on.The study aims at finding out the treatment of apace in the ceramic sculpture works of the potter (Sheinyar Abdu Allah).The second chapter has many sections. T

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The mechanism of irony in political discourse: Механизм иронии в политическом дискурсе
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         The present paper sheds light on irony as one of the most important and most common linguistic phenomena in modern linguistics, in general ,and in discourse in particular, whether it is (political, literary, journalistic, etc.). When irony is used correctly or positively, it paves the way for the speaker to gain the approval of other parties participating in the dialogue and dissolve barriers between them. It is a simple multi-functional linguistic style and an expression of one’s meaning by using language that normally signifies the opposite according to the context and the situation. Therefore, it is necessary to study its characteristics, define its functions and traces the extent of

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 01 2010
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Corrosion Behavior of Ti-6Al-4V Alloy in Different Media
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     In this work the corrosion behavior of Ti-6Al-4V alloy was studied by using galvanostatic measurements at room temperature in different media which includ sodium chloride (food salt), sodium tartrate (presence in jellies, margarine, and sausage casings,etc.), sodium oxalate (presence in fruits, vegetables,etc.), acetic acid (presence in vinegar), phosphoric acid (presence in drink), sodium carbonate (presence in 7up drink,etc.), and sodium hydroxide in order to compare.

     Corrosion parameters were interpreted in th

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 31 2022
Journal Name
Tikrit Journal Of Administrative And Economic Sciences
التكلفة المستهدفة الخضراء وتأثيرها في تخفيض تكاليف الفشل البيئية
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يهدف البحث إلى تحليل خطوات التكلفة المس تهدفة الخضراء من أجل تخفيض تكاليف الفشل البيئية المتمثلة بالتكاليف الداخلية والخارجية للشركات الصناعية وجعل منتجاتها صديقة للبيئة وذات ضرر قليل من خلال تخضير المنتجات والتي تؤدي إلى تخفيض تكاليف الفشل البيئية

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 31 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التراتيب التراتيب الإدارية في تاريخ خليفة بن خياط (240هـ)
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خليفة بن خياط بن خليفة الشيباني ألليثي العصفري البصري، أبو عمرو، ويعرف بشَبَابه، الفقيه، المُحدَث، الأديب، المؤرخ، النسَابة، وهو سليل أسرةِ اشتهر أبناؤها بالعلم، وأنجبت عدداً من العلماء الأفاضل، الذين عرفوا في ميادين مختلفة، فالجد والأب والحفيد، علماء محدَثون، وبرزوا في علوم عدة ، كان متقناً وعالماً بأيام الناس.

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Religious and Regional Honorifics in Iraqi Arabic
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Honorifics are linguistic expressions which maintain social as well as religious respect to other people. They are linguistic techniques which express politeness to other interlocutors. Semantically speaking, honorifics are of two types: al-Laqab (title) and al-Kuniya (teknonyms) following a specific word order. They form part of the Arab recognitions and are mold into their social and communicative competence.

      The study focuses upon religious and regional honorifics which convey deference and respect. It assumes that religious and cultural recognitions play vital roles in formulating and embedding the sense of honorifics. It is hypothesized that Arab people express respect to religious personalitie

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
work alienation and its impact on Job Satisfaction Applied Research
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The research aims to determine the role of functional alienation and its impact on Job Satisfaction in General Motors Company, that were selected to apply the field side being an important company in Iraq, the problem was research with difficulty in employees adapt and their sense of alienation in their work which is reflected negatively on the level of satisfaction with work in company searched. A questionnaire was adopted as the main tool for data collection research which included (31) items distributed on (50) employees in the company selected, on a randomly chosen and based on the statistical program ready by (SPSS). Sample of this study was the most important findings of the research are the weak management of the company i

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