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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 01 2010
Journal Name
منشورات الحلبي الحقوقية بيروت
التنظيم القانوني للمهني – دراسة مقارنة في نطاق الاعمال التجارية
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التنظيم القانوني للمهني – دراسة مقارنة في نطاق الاعمال التجارية

Publication Date
Wed Jan 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Turkish and Iranian attitudes toward Political changes in Middle East
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There are many developments in political, strategic aspects in the middle east either in
international field which represented by U.S.A as first polar in world or territorial field which
represent by Turkey and Iran, as territorial powers in the region, Turkish role is fit with
American position in order to draw new map of middle east, Turkey advocate new policy to
confirm its attitude in Euro peen Union and its relation with U.S.A.
Iran adopted policy of Expansion in Iraq, Yamen, Lebanon and Syria, in addition Iran
enlist all it efforts to develop its Nuclear program and enter Nuclear club which make Iran,
Super power in middle east and the world, each Turkey and Iran have certain attitudes toward
all political c

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2019
Journal Name
مجلة الحقيقة الجزائر
دور الإدارة المصرفية الرشيدة في ضمان مخاطر الائتمان المصرفي
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دور الإدارة المصرفية الرشيدة في ضمان مخاطر الائتمان المصرفي

Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The aesthetics of the sculptural formulations of swords in the Al-Kafeel Museum of Treasures and Manuscripts
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The research included (the aesthetics of the sculptural formulations of swords in the Al-Kafeel Museum) four chapters. Al-Kafeel Museum.)
Within the time period: (1240 AH / (1824 and 1825) AD - 1312 AH / (1894 and 1895) AD). The second: the types of Islamic swords. The third chapter included (research procedures), and the analysis of samples from the sample (3) as a model according to the descriptive approach, and the fourth chapter dealt with (results, conclusions, recommendations, and proposals). As well as recommendations, proposals and sources.

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
NEWS COVERAGE OF THE TORTURE SCANDAL OF DETAINEES AT ABU GHRAIB PRISON
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According to the topics of study, The intensity of the news coverage of the Abu Ghraib scandal and the US soldiers' torture of Iraqi prisoners have become apparent since the scandal was revealed on April 29, 2004 until May 30, 2004 and the period in which the coverage of this scandal had intensified not only in Al-Zaman, but in all newspapers, magazines and other media locally and internationally. And according to a research taken from Al-Zaman magazine that showed great interest in highlighting the event, interpreting it, following up its roots and results, and showing contradictory claims and slogans between the US and Britain, particularly in respecting human rights and the spread of justice, equality and well-being in Iraq specifical

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jul 07 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Vocational stresses and their relation with the level of ambition among the lecturers of the university
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Vocational stresses and their relation with the level of ambition among the lecturers of the university In general , vocational stresses affect the attention and the process of focusing making individual busy with solving of his daily problems instead of his job. The vocational stresses , anxiety and tension are factors effecting the physical and psychological ability of the individual. This study aims to measure the vocational stresses among the lecturers of the university , to measure the level of ambition among them, to identify the statistical differences significant among them according to sex variable, to identify the differences significant in level of ambition among them according to sex variable and to identify the correlation r

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Preservation of the mind and its development Makassedi study in the light of prayers Almathur
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A great abbey in the Shari'a, and is therefore destined to be preserved in many texts and by methods
There are many prayers in the Qur'an and Sunnah to encourage them
They have a clear relationship with the preservation of the purposes of the Sharia in general, and with a purpose
Save the mind in particular, but the scholars - the mercy of God - when they declare that the costs of Sharia
Due to the preservation of my intentions in the creature, they limit their words to orders and intentions, and are not exposed
In particular,
If they were included in the texts of the Shariah and Tawjiyatiya,
To be related to the preservation of the purposes of the law, which confirms the words of the former leaders, and light the li

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 27 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Obstacles to employing social media applications in measuring public opinion
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Media and communication's research are varied in accordance to research approaches' variety which seeks to reach convergent social, psycholo

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun May 10 2015
Journal Name
Al-academy
Symmetry in designs clothing fabrics: تيجانية عدنان عبد الرحمن
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The art of designing clothing fabrics is a multidisciplinary design important and difficult because it is linked to man and his personality and his tastes and habits and behavior being is a form of creative expression here came the problem of the research , which are summarized by asking the following: Is the similar role in the designs of clothing fabrics The second chapter included two themes design fabrics the symmetry in the design of fabrics the third chapter included research procedures adopted descriptive analytical method to reach the goals of the research and consisted of the research community (9) models of the designs fabrics Iraqi either the research sample was selected (5) models of society current search and search tool Vtm

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Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Функция и значение союзов и союзных слов в русском и арабском языках Тахсин Раззак Азиз
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Одной из трудностей, вызывающих искажение смысла предложения, при переводе и понимании любых текстов зачастую является неправильное понимание функций и значений: союзов и союзных слов или замена одного значения другим. Это объясняется прежде всего тем, что при чтении основное внимание сосредоточено на переводе главных частей речи, на их многофункциональности и многозначности и упускаются из вида втор

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