تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
Every cultural achievement is a creative text, and every text is a group of signs. The Winged Bull sculpture is a sort of text that is not confined to some signs; indeed, its cultural signs go far beyond as they are open-ended, everlasting and it lends itself to various horizons of interpretation. The recipient has to combine the signs of this sculpture, which belong to different patterns, in the pursuit for perfection so that he can decode its media message.
I have tackled this sculpture by adopting a semiotic approach. The semiotic approach is a modern critical approach which is as wide as culture and as rich as knowledge. It has been linked to modernism, which in turn has been linked to modern critical approaches, because it can
One of the main criteria taken by the reader in the correct reading of a statement is the standard morphological, Vabv Eetmisah from the rest of science that examines the word andchanges therein lead to new meanings, which is the rule months in Morphology, every increase in construction lead to an increase in meaning.
Who took behind with the likes of ten readers Morphology a way to show the most rightly reading, to perform the desired effect, it has committed as committed behind bin Hisham statement argument morphological under which the clear sense of the formula of distinguished from Matheladtha of formulas feature to perform their intended meaning. And here that God Almighty was meant to each formula is contained in verse without
Attitude is an important subject that has attracted researchers and thinkers in organizational theory and organizational behavior because of its great importance in various field studies. Field evidence suggests that individuals in their daily lives or careers respond to specific events through a set of internal tendencies Internal tendencies are negative or positive and systematic. These trends tend to be invisible, not limited to certain boundaries, and involve a significant number of individuals within organizations or society.
The research aims to identify the impact of trends in the ethics of public service workers for individuals, through a sample of (72) doctors and (60) administrative staff
... Show MoreThe current research is concerned with the study of (aesthetic discourse in the significance of commercial advertisement designs), according to a knowledge structure defined by function and creativity, and the main goal is to interpret the reality of forms, their various sources, their essence, meanings, formal relationships, and design ideas in order to achieve the visual goal as a typographic achievement. It arises through the designer’s internal mental intuition to produce shapes based on subjective feelings that refer his preconceptions about those shapes with his feelings to creative formations. Aesthetic discourse is produced from the mind depending on the various symbolic, psychological and social functions, production methods,
... Show MoreTheatrical art, from (Plato) to (Heidegger), passing through (Husserl) and (Husserl) has propagated the parallel relations between the overlapping formal patterns in the world of hypotheses crowded with diaspora and scattering, leading to the manifestations of implicit meaning in the intellectual and aesthetic discourse, through the deconstructive pattern that restructures The aesthetic image according to the aesthetic data to be employed, so the effectiveness of the deconstructive system had an important role in authorizing the Ghanaian logic and continuity on which the Western meta meaning was based, and the artistic scene was subjected to it in line with literature and art to be able to pay attention to the achievement and clarify it
... Show MoreThe research aims at showing the media awareness for Students, especially for the students of the preparatory schools through their following the mass media in forming the cultural, educational and political database. It also aims at building a content and prospectives that make them a wide awake stratum that safeguard the society which has faced huge effects of terrorist actions.
Furthermore, it aims at knowing to what extent that students have been acquainted with the printed and electronic newspapers. Finally, it aims at knowing to what extent that they are content with the mass media in covering and
... Show Moreمفهوم البعد الواحد في الرسم العراقي المعاصر
The presence of the other representations in the story of modern Arabic
The other who seek to discuss his presence is the other west, and is nothing new to bring the other whatever, especially the Western literature, especially after the opening of the East West and the occurrence of encounters many Whatever the reasons for them or their causes, and the prevalence of the phenomenon influenced by this Western, and therefore his presence in this literature of any had sex. And certainly our presence (we) also in the literature of the other, and this is very natural, created by the convergence of intellectual, cultural and human, which led to the emergence of the cultural theme of conflict between East and West, and these conflicts take d
(Thimma) in Arabic means compact, and immunity. (People of Thimma) are the free non-Muslim people under Muslim rule. This includes Heavenly Religions people, i. e., Christian and Jews).
They have been called (People of Thimma) because they had paid (Jizyah: tribute) so they became safe for their souls, honor, properties at the custody of Muslims.
Islamic law had posed (Jizyah: tribute) upon the Jews and Christians who were living under Muslim rule as a reaction of not embracing Islam Faith against securing their rights and freedom.
Freedoms secured by Islam for the (People of Thimma) had been many, including the right of faith, not coercing them to be Muslim, the right to live, to possess properties, protect and secure them, the
The research current (Comment formal for Hruvijat in contemporary Iraqi porcelain). In an attempt to study the Arab character that inspired the Iraqi artist of all intellectual its terms of reference and stylistic by taking advantage of the cultural heritage and the rebuilding of the character to create a system ride of relationships that focus on structural body ceramic body ideas and multiple implications are invested in the structural fabric of the products of contemporary ceramic .vdila for ways to achieve and processing techniques and transmission of functional specificity (blogging) and cosmetic particularly to semantics derive from the content and expresses itself templates ceramic raw materials and by building works of art in pla
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