تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
القنوات الخلفية في السياسة الخارجية الامريكية
هذه الدراسة محاولة جادة لفهم تطور التعليم في كربلاء المقدسة خلال المدة 1958-1968، تناول البحث محاور عدة، ابتدأ في رياض الاطفال، ومن ثم التعليم الابتدائي في كربلاء، فالتعليم الثانوي. اعتمد التربية، التخطيط، الارشاد، فضلاً عن عديد الكتب التي اعتمدت الوثائق والتي سيجدها القارئ في ثبت المصادر.
Black slaves formed a section of the Murabit community, and they had an important role in wars and in settling battles to the Murabit state. Murabit state lords have depended on them in many scales such as, wars or within the community boarders
This research seeks to show the state of the sad female self in Iraqi women's poetry, reveal its psychological potential within the text, analyze the phenomenon of sadness and explain its presence in poetic texts, show the influences of social life, the turmoil that was the main resource for the crisis of the creative woman's self and how to confront it, explain the motives and reasons why the creative woman wrote about the sadness of herself through techniques and methods unique to her
Stress is an inevitable part of life. Stress occurs when stressful events of self, environmental, or social origin affect the individual's resilience and threaten to collapse his psychological and physical systems. The stress represents difficulties and obstacles that may exceed the individual's ability to bear them and deal with them, which causes him stress and causes negative effects on his psychological and physical health. Therefore, the current research aimed to identify the negative effects of psychological stress on the psychological and physical health of the individual through the literature that dealt with this topic. It was among the results of the research that one of the negative effects of stresses on mental health is the
... Show Moreنطاق حماية المستهلك في القطاع المصرفي
The visual attraction of the fundamentals that require the availability in the design business, to achieve the needs of different social interactive and the need for recreation or entertainment as well as financial need and as such has considered the importance of a researcher studying the mechanics of visual attractions in the interior spaces have been identified according to the research problem the following question:
What are the mechanisms of visual attractions in the interior spaces and the current research aims to Recruitment mechanisms of visual attractions in the design of interior spaces as determined by three research limits are:
• Reduce the objective: the mechanics of visual attraction.
• Reducing the spatial: S
There have been many writings and discussions that dealt with the details and interpretation of the research methods and the identification of the methods and methodological methods used by researchers and writers as they deal with research topics and problems in all fields of natural and human sciences. But we noticed that the movement of science and its knowledge and development requires the identification of suitable tools and methodological methods appropriate for each type of science. In other words, attempts should be established to build appropriate methodological tools for human and cognitive activity that can be referred to as a specific science that sets out certain paths of the human sciences which is certainly the ori
... Show MoreRwanga (view) movement is a new Kurdish poetry movement. Some poets and modern storywriters published a manifest in 1970. They have made a group of changes in the content and appearance of Kurdish poetry. They were under the influence of western literature schools such as Surrealism, Dadaism and Existentialism. Likewise, the impact of the new Arabic literature that appeared by the end of 1960s on them was obvious as they were imitating such literatures. Nevertheless, the condition of Kurdistan at that time was in need of a new literature to express that new stage. Sherko Bekas was one of those poets who became the dynamo of the poetic movement in which the rebellion spirit was embodied in the modern way of dealing with culture, rhyme, rh
... Show Moreالفاظ القرأن المجيد في الديوان الفرسي