Preferred Language
Articles
/
Pxc4s40BVTCNdQwCChkw
نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
...Show More Authors

تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Nov 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Impact the Organizational downsizing in organizational health: Analytical research in the Directorate of Education in Nineveh
...Show More Authors

This research aims to determine the extent of the contribution of organizational downsizing strategies to enhance the health of the researched organization represented by the Directorate of Education in Nineveh, and to achieve this goal, the study provided a simplified intellectual framework for the most important topics covered by writers and researchers for search variables, reinforced by an applied analytical framework for the opinions of (79) individuals responsible for the researched organization. The research adopted organizational downsizing as an independent variable that includes three dimensions represented by (reduction of human resources, job redesign, systemic strategy), while the organizational health represented th

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Improving performance of the heads of academic departments at the University of Wasit in light of the administrative functions
...Show More Authors

            A field study aimed to improve  administrative performance of the Heads of Departments in Wasit University in light of the administrative functions, a questionnaire constructed was c of 38 items, as have been applied during the academic year 2014/2015 to a group of experts from the deans and assistants, professors and heads of departments using the Delphi method by two rounds the adoption rate of 90% and an agreement was numbered 30 experts and study reached important results have been analyzed and discussed according to fields of study, a planning, organization and direction.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Nov 27 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effect of value stream costs in rationalizing quality costs: applied research in taji mill
...Show More Authors

The research aims to study the importance of applying lean accounting techniques and the tools and methods they contain, the most important of which is the “value path costs” technique and its impact on rationalizing and controlling costs, as well as reducing production costs in general and reducing quality costs in a way Special by reducing or eliminating waste and waste in both time and resources and meeting customer requirements. In order to achieve this goal, the researcher relied on the application of lean accounting tools by obtaining data related to the mill, in addition to that, the information obtained as a result of field coexistence in the mill and being able to view the records of the mill in the research sample. From the

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Feb 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Possible Options in Managing the Exchange Rate of the Iraqi Currency in light of Current Economic Conditions
...Show More Authors

The management of the exchange rate of the most important tools of economic policy because of its wide area in achieving stability and economic growth through the provision of stability in the exchange rate of the currency of the country concerned , as well as the impact and influence of money supply and then treat the economic crisis monetary and reduce the risk of currency exchange rate .For the management of the exchange rate in Iraq has passed through several stages , from installation to link to a basket of currencies to float freely , and we are dealing with in this research regard to the achievements of monetary policy , especially after the enjoyment of independence on according to the Iraqi Central Bank Law No. 56 of 2004 and Ma

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun May 27 2012
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات محاسبية ومالية
إنموذج مقترح للحكمانية في المنظمات العامة بالتطبيق في وزارة التعليم العالي والبحث العلمي
...Show More Authors

تعد الحوكمة من المداخل التي نالت اهتمام العديد من الباحثين والدارسين في مجال الإدارة والسياسة بوصفها إحدى الفلسفات السائدة والمرغوبة في الفترة الحالية , وأصبح ينظر إليها دواء لجميع الامراض التي تعاني منها الأجهزة الإدارية عموماً بالأخص العامة منها . وقد ارتبط هذا المفهوم بمفاهيم إعادة التنظيم Reforme والاصلاح الإداري المجه لتحسين كفاءة وفاعلية أداء تلك الاجهزة وبما ينعكس على مجمل السمات والمميزات التي تتعلق ب

... Show More
Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Discretionary Punishment (Al-Ta'zir) for the Interest and its Effect in Keeping the Public Regulation A Fundamental Applied Study in the Saudi Arabian Courts
...Show More Authors

Discretionary Punishment, Public Regulation, Interest

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring and analysing inequality in the Distribution of Economic Welfare in Suleimania Governorate during (2007):
...Show More Authors

Abstract

 The issue of inequality in distribution of income and / or consumption expenditure is related to economic welfare because there is an inverse relationship between the economic welfare on the one hand, and the degree of inequality, on the other hand. Despite the fact that inequality is considered as normal phenomenon in every society, but if it exceeded certain limits it will lead to undesirable economic, social and political consequences. Therefore, the availability of indicators about inequality is a necessary tool for planning and evaluation of economic development programs. So, current study is aiming at measuring and analyzing the degree of inequality in distribution of consumpti

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
(The impact of strategy warhead numbered in the collection of second grad students At the medium in history)
...Show More Authors

The current research aims to identify the " impact of strategic warheads numbered ( NHT) in the collection average second grade students in the article of history). " To achieve this, I assumed the researcher that there is no different between the statistically significant the average score for the collection of experimental group who teaches the Arab Islamic history on and a strategic warheads numbered and the average score for the collection of the control group who were studying the same article according to the classic method ( traditional) . The study sample consisted of 64 students from the second grade average in the secondary warka bin nawfal in the general Directorate for education first karkh in Baghdad for the annual cources 2

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Nov 13 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المهن المهن الحرة عند البخاري في كتابه التاريخ الكبير دراسة في اهميتها الاقتصادية
...Show More Authors

The importance of the jurist concentrated on Abu-Abdullah Mohammad Bin Ismael Al- Bukhary who wrote his famous writing (the great history) according to his Modern approach.  His style was clearly aimed to record historical events helped narrators reported novel especially through deep reading to be as a sign of special different style from curriculum historians and their ways. It was an approach like an affect charm to the reader and transmitted to a state of grandeur and pride

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2013
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The Leader: His Qualifications and Attributes in the Quranic Perspective in Light of Surat Al-Naml - An Objective Study
...Show More Authors

Praise be to God, prayer and peace be upon the Messenger of Allah and after :
For the Holy Qur’an is the constitution of this nation, and it has included everything that the nation needs, and it has appropriate solutions for all the problems it faces, and for a long time the nation has its vision for the future, waiting for a leader who carries the concerns of this nation and proceeds towards progress and progress, so that it rises to the glory and glory. He brings it out from what it is today, from its deterioration in all levels.
The world has witnessed in recent decades the development of programs and curricula, and books have been prepared showing how to prepare leaders and their industry, and what programs they should adopt

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF