تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
Sports risk has become a threat to the sports sector in general and the impact on an efficient player and the old stadiums in particular. So have such a thing fertile ground of global insurance companies to exploit it optimally exploited through the development and marketing of insurance lids for the provision of protection for athletes of different risks they may face, which contributed to the growth and development of the performance of these companies and helped in the emergence of sports insurance specialist firms. And through the insurance process in the field of sports and where the insurance is a type of social solidarity. The main problem is this spirit manifested search in question is whether to embrace sports institutions sport
... Show Moreالملخص: تتناول هذه المقالة مشكلة دلالات النموذج النصي باعتبارها من المسائل النشطة في علم اللغة النصي، وتبحث في العلاقات الدلالية ودورها في الكشف عن تلك الروابط المعنوية التي يمكن على أساسها التمييز بين أنواع العلاقات الدلالية «الترادف، والتضاد، وتعدد المعاني»، وتطرح فكرة أن العلاقات الدلالية قادرة على التعبير عن الروابط النموذجية (البارادigmatic) بين وحدات اللغة «الكلمات». كما توضح دور العلاقات الدلالية في ت
... Show MoreSeek Iraqi insurance companies to face the global changes today that may affect the overall performance of the company, it must find an effective means of providing everything you need company information, and by increasing attention to administrative operations in general, especially the marketing process, which from its core focus on activities related to elements of the marketing mix, as the success of any company in achieving the planned objectives, linked to its ability to make sound decisions in the context of the above elements, for the latter of great importance, especially if based on facts and indicators obtained from th
... Show More- The problem of infertility considers one of the chronic problem a which faced the
individual & families equally . This problem causes a negative effects in psychological ,
social and development fields. The infertility contributes in weakening the human
development, when the human development has become as a centre point which centered
about individual preparing , rehabilitation, training and knowledge toreach to the required
excellence.
We think that , the infertility destroys the socially development; therefore the socially and
scientific institutions are working hard to find successful solution to resolve the problem
infertility through sophisticated and scientific methods. This problem
It may say that of difference towards a state that had witnessed the birth of modern party system in England ،and it appear a new case of organization and use ways effecting in general opinion through the election parties that had different in their ideology as Alweel party which dealt with religion related among its members with Buretan with its members participation understandings of free expression of their opinions trying to fight the control of Christ men in a time that Tory party was Enklikanian more than as it was loyalty one .
This research sought to detect the level of organizational culture prevailing in the Integrity Commission as well as the level of the organizational citizenship behavior of staff of the Commission and the impact of organizational culture in these behaviors. To achieve the objectives of the research and test the validity of hypotheses have been used questionnaire derived from measurements ready modern researchers foreigners have been adapted to suit the Iraqi environment, have been distributed (189) questionnaire on the number of employees from the Integrity Commission, which represented the research sample where the research community has a number is (1365) employees in the Baghdad was the use of a number of statistical met
... Show MoreThis research investigates the engagement of the Iraqi audience with ethnographic programs and their impact on knowledge enhancement and intellectual perspectives. A questionnaire consisting of closed-ended questions was designed and administered to a purposive sample of 400 participants who exclusively follow ethnographic programs and documentary channels. The data were transcribed and subjected to statistical analysis using the SPSS software to ensure reliability and test hypotheses. The findings revealed that Al Jazeera Documentary Channel had the highest viewership percentage among respondents for ethnographic programs, while DW (Deutsche Welle) had the lowest viewership percentage. This suggests that Al Jazee
... Show MoreSocial risks posed a great challenge to the development path in Iraq, which resulted in widening the development gaps, whether these gaps were between rural and embargoed areas, or between Iraqi governorates, and the gender gap. Besides, the nature of the reciprocal relationship between the social risks and the development process requires the adoption of development trends that are sensitive to the risks that take upon themselves the prompt and correct response to these risks, away from randomness and confusion that Iraq suffered from for decades. However, currently, the situation has differed a great deal. This is because the size and types of such gaps have widened and become more complicated than before; a matter which has led to hav
... Show Moreأجري البحث لمعرفة الملوثات الميكروبية الموجودة على قشرة وفي صفار وبياض بيض الدجاج المحلي ، السوري ، التركي ، الاوكراني ، حيث جمعت العينات بمعدل 10 بيضة من الاسواق الشعبية في محافظة بغداد . أظهرت النتائج أن بكتريا السالمونيلا واضحة في صفار البيض التركي . وفي قشرة وبياض وصفار البيض الاوكراني . كما أظهرت نتائج فحص البيض
The manuscript (Tuhfat al-Ashab wa Nuzhat al-Albab) by the author Ahmed bin Ibrahim al-Hanafi al-Srouji (d. 0ٓٔ AH / ٖٓٔٔ
AD), one of the important manuscripts because it is an encyclopedia characterized by the diversity of its topics