Abstract :

          Researchers have great interest in studying the black box models this thesis has been focused in the study one of the black box models , a ARMAX model which is one of the important models and can be accessed through a number of special cases which models (AR , MA , ARMA, ARX) , which combines method of the time series that depend on historical data and and regression method as explanatory variables addition to that past errors , ARMAX model importance has appeared in many areas of application that direct contact with our daily lives , it consists of constructing ARMAX model several traditional stages of the process , a iden

Grey system theory is a multidisciplinary scientific approach, which deals with systems that have partially unknown information (small sample and uncertain information). Grey modeling as an important component of such theory gives successful results with limited amount of data. Grey Models are divided into two types; univariate and multivariate grey models. The univariate grey model with one order derivative equation GM (1,1) is the base stone of the theory, it is considered the time series prediction model but it doesn’t take the relative factors in account. The traditional multivariate grey models GM(1,M) takes those factor in account but it has a complex structure and some defects in " modeling mechanism", "parameter estimation "and "m

A field experiment was carried out at the research station of the College of Agriculture - Wasit University / Kut, during the fall season 2021 in soil with texture (sandy mixture) using the RCBD design in the arrangement of splintered plates and with three replications, to study the effect of spraying different combinations of organic emulsion (Appetizer) and NPK nano fertilizer with urea fertilizer on the growth of synthetic cultivars of yellow corn. The main panels included three synthetic varieties of yellow corn (Fajr1, Sumer and Baghdad3), which symbolized by (V1,V2,V3) in sequence, while the secondary panels included five fertilization treatments in which mineral fertilizer (urea) was used 46% nitrogen with the full recomme

Alice Walker's novel The Color Purple1983, whose events take place in the rural Georgia and addresses the most important issues in the early 20^thcentury; like male dominant society and women submission to men, weaves a mosaic picture of male-female relationships. Black men like Alphonso, Albert and Harpo are portrayed as oppressors, cruel and they exercise power and violence over their wives and daughters. Through the negative portrayal of black male characters, Walker is accused to be a men hating writer because she ''Views oppression as an essentially masculine activity which springs from the male's aggressive need to dominate. In the novel, man is the premium mobile, the one by whom and t

وضع (woodruff and siddoway, 1965) معادلة لتقدير مفقودات التربة بواسطة التعرية الريحية تدعى (معادلة التعرية الريحية (WEQ، إذ يعطي حل هذه المعادلة الكمية القصوى للتعرية الريحية تحت ظروف حقلية معينة، وتعتبر دليل في تحديد الأساليب الضرورية لمعالجة التعرية الريحية في تلك الظروف (الطيف وآخرون، 1991). تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى معرفة مدى تأثير التغيرات المناخية في منطقة السماوة جنوب العراق وبغداد وسط العراق طوال فترة 34 سنة في قيم مفقودات

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  The life insurance marketing faces many difficulties because it is not a current tangible commodity, so it needs a planning for promotional activities and data about prospective applicants according to many factors such as age and residence area ​​, marital status and profession to determine the group wich need insurance covers.                                                                    &nb

That our focus on cost industrial indirect lies in the fact that the relative importance of these costs compared with elements other costs have increased significantly and in the environment of modern industrial and multiple clauses due to reliance on mechanization high in production and that led to lower cost labor as a natural result of the use of machinery and equipment of high-tech programmed, which requires control and tighten control on this type of an attempt by officials costs reduced to its borders possible requirement to maintain quality.

The method is simple linear regression and multiple, one efficient and effective methods to achieve these goals in the light of modern environ

It was Aristotle who first drew attention to the superior quality of literature to the other factual fields of knowledge. Contradicting his predecessor Plato on the issue of „truth,‟ Aristotle believed that „poetry is more philosophical and deserves more serious attention than history: for while poetry concerns itself with universal truths, history considers only particular facts.‟ (1) The critical attention to the disparity between the literary truth and the historical truth grew up throughout ages to flourish in the Renaissance and after with a bunch of distinctive views on this subject. Sir Philip Sidney (1554-1586), for example, found that literature does not offer a literal description of reality but rather a heightened vers