The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
Through recent years many researchers have developed methods to estimate the self-similarity and long memory parameter that is best known as the Hurst parameter. In this paper, we set a comparison between nine different methods. Most of them use the deviations slope to find an estimate for the Hurst parameter like Rescaled range (R/S), Aggregate Variance (AV), and Absolute moments (AM), and some depend on filtration technique like Discrete Variations (DV), Variance versus level using wavelets (VVL) and Second-order discrete derivative using wavelets (SODDW) were the comparison set by a simulation study to find the most efficient method through MASE. The results of simulation experiments were shown that the performance of the meth
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Many business owners suffer major financial problems during periods of financial stagnation, the decline of markets and businesses, or under the impact of financial shocks for certain reasons that result in large debts and the consequent financial and legal obligations. This is the beginning of a long and endless path of suffering and the search for a safe exit. It is even worse for financial institutions to facilitate financial solutions that rely on lending as a solution to their financial problem. Debt and its consequences increase, and the problem deepens and becomes complicated until things become entangled and the escape or declaration of bank
... Show Moreفعالية القفز بالعصا واحده من الفعاليات المميزة بألعاب القوى، وهي تتطلب قدرات بدنية وقابليات حركية خاصة والتي تعتمد بشكل فعَال ومؤثر على النواحي البايوميكانيكية سواء أثناء الركضة التقريبية أو مرحلة الأرتقاء وصولاً الى الأنجاز المتحقق.وتبرز أهمية الدراسة من خلال تتبع المسار الحركي للقافز من خلال تحليل بعض المؤشرات البايوميكانيكية لمرحلتي الأقتراب والارتقاء واللتان تعتبران من اهم المراحل الفنية المؤث
... Show Moreأن أهمية البحث تكمن في أعداد منهج تعليمي مقترح وفق أنموذج بايبي وتعلم مهارتي الاعداد وأستقبال الارسال بالكرة الطائرة للطالبات وتكمن أهمية أنموذج بايبي بالمساعدة على توظيف المعلومات في المواقف المختلفة،وان مشكلة البحث جاءت بعد أطلاع الباحثات على الدراسات والمصادر السابقة لاحظت بأن هناك ضعف في الاداء المهاري في مهارتي الاعداد وأستقبال الارسال بالكرة الطائرة من قبل الطالبات لذلك أرتأت الباحثات الى التع
... Show MoreIn this research, a selection of some mineral water was selected on the basis of being the most marketed by the owners of shops in Najaf province, with six types, where daily samples of this water were taken by 50 ml for two months from (1/11/2018 -1/1/2019). The following ions concentrations were measured (Br-, Cl-, F-, NO3-, SO42-, Na+, K+, Ca2+, Mg2+), pH and the electrical conductivity were measured and the results were compared with the allowable rates according to the international organizations. It was noted that they conform to international and Iraqi standards.
Abstract
This work involves the manufacturing of MAX phase materials include V2AlC and Cr2AlC using powder metallurgy as a new class of materials which characterized by regular crystals in lattice. Corrosion behavior of these materials was investigated by Potentiostat to estimate corrosion resistance and compared with the most resistant material represented by SS 316L. The experiments were carried out in 0.01N of NaOH solution at four temperatures in the range of 30–60oC. Polarization resistance values which calculated by Stern-Geary equation indicated that the MAX phase materials more resistant than SS 316L. Also cyclic polarization tests confirme
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In this study, we compare between the autoregressive approximations (Yule-Walker equations, Least Squares , Least Squares ( forward- backword ) and Burg’s (Geometric and Harmonic ) methods, to determine the optimal approximation to the time series generated from the first - order moving Average non-invertible process, and fractionally - integrated noise process, with several values for d (d=0.15,0.25,0.35,0.45) for different sample sizes (small,median,large)for two processes . We depend on figure of merit function which proposed by author Shibata in 1980, to determine the theoretical optimal order according to min
... Show MoreLand use change, particularly the expansion of urban areas and associated human activities at the expense of natural and semi-natural areas, is a major ecological issue in urban areas around the world. Climate change being a very strong additional driver for changing the temperature and habitat in the cities. This also applies to Baghdad, Iraq, where urbanisation and climate change exerts a major pressure on the natural habitats of the city, and thus may affect the ability of city planners to adapt to future climate change scenarios. Here we present evidence of substantial growth in urban areas, increases in temperature, and degradation of natural vegetation within Baghdad city by using Remote Sensing techniques and an assessment for the
... Show Moreيهدف هذا البحث الى تصميم قائمة بمؤشرات القيم العلمية والاخلاقية التي ينبغي توافرها في محتوى كتاب الحاسوب للصف الثاني المتوسط، وتحليل محتوى الكتاب المذكور آنفاً وفقاً لها، وذلك عن طريق الإجابة عن السؤال الآتي: ما نسبة توافر القيم العلمية والأخلاقية في محتوى كتاب الحاسوب المُعد لطلبة الصف الثاني المتوسط الصادر من وزارة التربية العراقية/ المديرية العامة للمناهج في العام الدراسي ( 2017-2018) م؟ ولتحقيق هدفا البحث أ
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